Rockets at Mavericks · Fri 9 Oct · 11pm AEDT
Rockets vs Mavericks Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 9 Oct 2026 Free game of the day
The Rockets are 67% to beat the Mavericks on the road on Friday 9 October at 11pm AEDT, by our numbers. The Rockets have won 4 of their last 5 and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch. The Mavericks have won 2 of their last 5 and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch. Mavericks at home, after a win: 6–6 against the spread over 12 games last season.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Rockets 117, Mavericks 112: a margin of Rockets by 5.2; total 229.
Injuries and outs
- Rockets no one listed
- Mavericks no one listed
Form and rest
Rockets
- W 132–101 v Grizzlies, Sun 12 Apr · won ATS
- L 132–136 v Timberwolves, Fri 10 Apr · lost ATS
- W 113–102 v 76ers, Thu 9 Apr · won ATS
- W 119–105 at Suns, Tue 7 Apr · won ATS
- W 117–116 at Warriors, Sun 5 Apr · lost ATS
Mavericks
- W 149–128 v Bulls, Sun 12 Apr · won ATS
- L 120–139 at Spurs, Fri 10 Apr · lost ATS
- L 107–112 at Suns, Wed 8 Apr · won ATS
- L 103–116 at Clippers, Tue 7 Apr · lost ATS
- W 134–128 v Lakers, Sun 5 Apr · won ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, last season (this season has no games yet). Change the situation or date range.
Rockets
- Rockets away, after a loss 10–5 straight up, 7–8 ATS, overs 6–9, -0.9 v spread n=15
- Rockets away 22–19 straight up, 19–22 ATS, overs 23–18, -1.5 v spread n=41
- Rockets after a loss 22–8 straight up, 15–15 ATS, overs 12–18, +0.2 v spread n=30
- Rockets all games 52–30 straight up, 36–46 ATS, overs 39–43, -1.1 v spread n=82
Mavericks
- Mavericks at home, after a win 4–8 straight up, 6–6 ATS, overs 7–5, -2.4 v spread n=12
- Mavericks at home 16–25 straight up, 20–21 ATS, overs 22–19, -1.1 v spread n=41
- Mavericks after a win 8–17 straight up, 9–16 ATS, overs 14–11, -1.1 v spread n=25
- Mavericks all games 26–56 straight up, 36–46 ATS, overs 37–45, -0.9 v spread n=82
Key players
Rockets
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson 35 min predicted | 18/8/3 · 15/7/4 · 23/4/7 · 26/11/4 · 16/5/9 | — | — | — | — |
| Jabari Smith Jr. 32 min predicted | 9/12/3 · 22/7/3 · 16/8/3 · 24/6/1 · 18/6/1 | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Durant 30 min predicted | 23/6/4 · 33/7/7 · 29/7/5 · 24/4/3 · 31/8/8 | — | — | — | — |
| Alperen Sengun 30 min predicted | 17/11/1 · 14/9/8 · 19/6/2 · 33/16/6 · 20/11/5 | — | — | — | — |
| Fred VanVleet 22 min predicted | 15/0/3 · 3/1/3 · 13/0/6 · 7/4/9 · 13/2/7 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Mavericks
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg 24 min predicted | 10/4/1 · 33/6/5 · 11/11/6 · 25/9/2 · 45/8/9 | — | — | — | — |
| Santi Aldama 23 min predicted | 12/6/0 · 17/7/2 · 9/5/3 · 18/5/1 · 15/8/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Morez Johnson Jr. 22 min predicted | no games yet | — | — | — | — |
| Naji Marshall 21 min predicted | 6/2/0 · 13/6/7 · 9/4/2 · 19/3/3 · 22/4/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Max Christie 21 min predicted | 12/1/1 · 16/1/2 · 18/2/2 · 12/5/1 · 8/1/2 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Player predictions
Every player in the game, our prediction against the line (US market lines). Edges and the full board for this game.
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Threes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockets | ||||
| Amen Thompson | 17.7 | 7.5 | 5.1 | 0.3 |
| Jabari Smith Jr. | 15.3 | 6.6 | 1.7 | 2.3 |
| Kevin Durant | 22.6 | 4.7 | 4.9 | 2.1 |
| Alperen Sengun | 18.1 | 8.3 | 5.5 | 0.4 |
| Fred VanVleet | 8.7 | 2.3 | 3.6 | 1.7 |
| Tari Eason | 8.6 | 5.1 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 6.6 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Reed Sheppard | 7.1 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.5 |
| Marcus Smart | 5.1 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| Oscar Tshiebwe | 7.4 | 6.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Steven Adams | 3.5 | 5.4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Julian Phillips | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Clint Capela | 3.4 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| Isaiah Crawford | 3.2 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Sean Pedulla | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Mavericks | ||||
| Cooper Flagg | 16.8 | 4.6 | 3.5 | 0.8 |
| Santi Aldama | 11.0 | 5.2 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. | 8.6 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Naji Marshall | 11.3 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 0.6 |
| Max Christie | 8.4 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Zaccharie Risacher | 8.3 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| John Poulakidas | 9.0 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 2.2 |
| P.J. Washington | 7.8 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Kyrie Irving | 11.7 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| Moussa Cisse | 5.5 | 6.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Daniel Gafford | 8.1 | 5.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Dwight Powell | 3.2 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| Marcus Sasser | 4.7 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Dereck Lively II | 3.6 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.0 |
| Caleb Martin | 3.1 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Jett Howard | 4.4 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
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