76ers at Celtics · Sun 11 Oct · 11am AEDT
76ers vs Celtics Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 11 Oct 2026
We give the Celtics a 57% chance at home against the 76ers on Sunday 11 October at 11am AEDT. The bookmakers have Celtics −4.5 with the total at 222.5. The 76ers are without Ariel Hukporti. The 76ers have won 3 straight and are 2–3 against the spread over that stretch. The Celtics have won 4 of their last 5 and are 4–1 against the spread over that stretch. Celtics at home, as favourite, after a loss: 10–5 against the spread over 15 games last season.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score 76ers 110, Celtics 112: a margin of Celtics by 2.1 against the bookmakers' Celtics −4.5; total 221 against 222.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- 76ers Out: Ariel Hukporti
- Celtics no one listed
Form and rest
76ers
- W 109–97 v Magic, Wed 15 Apr · won ATS
- W 126–106 v Bucks, Sun 12 Apr · won ATS
- W 105–94 at Pacers, Fri 10 Apr · lost ATS
- L 102–113 at Rockets, Thu 9 Apr · lost ATS
- L 102–115 at Spurs, Mon 6 Apr · lost ATS
Celtics
- W 113–108 v Magic, Sun 12 Apr · won ATS
- W 144–118 v Pelicans, Fri 10 Apr · won ATS
- L 106–112 at Knicks, Thu 9 Apr · lost ATS
- W 113–102 v Hornets, Tue 7 Apr · won ATS
- W 115–101 v Raptors, Sun 5 Apr · won ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, last season (this season has no games yet). Change the situation or date range.
76ers
- 76ers away, as underdog, after a loss 3–6 straight up, 5–4 ATS, overs 3–6, +0.8 v spread n=9
- 76ers away 22–19 straight up, 25–16 ATS, overs 21–20, +2.4 v spread n=41
- 76ers as underdog 11–27 straight up, 17–21 ATS, overs 16–22, -3.1 v spread n=38
- 76ers after a loss 24–13 straight up, 22–15 ATS, overs 17–20, -1.0 v spread n=37
- 76ers all games 46–37 straight up, 45–38 ATS, overs 41–42, -0.5 v spread n=83
Celtics
- Celtics at home, as favourite, after a loss 13–2 straight up, 10–5 ATS, overs 7–8, +4.7 v spread n=15
- Celtics at home 30–11 straight up, 23–18 ATS, overs 15–26, +0.5 v spread n=41
- Celtics as favourite 44–14 straight up, 34–24 ATS, overs 21–37, +1.9 v spread n=58
- Celtics after a loss 20–6 straight up, 18–8 ATS, overs 11–15, +5.2 v spread n=26
- Celtics all games 56–26 straight up, 49–33 ATS, overs 30–52, +2.9 v spread n=82
Key players
76ers
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Maxey 27 min predicted | 17/2/4 · 17/2/7 · 26/3/6 · 13/3/2 · 30/11/7 | — | — | — | — |
| VJ Edgecombe 25 min predicted | 8/6/7 · 11/7/4 · 17/5/3 · 12/1/2 · 23/6/4 | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Edwards 23 min predicted | 8/1/1 · 0/0/0 · 8/0/0 · 0/0/0 · 2/5/0 | — | — | — | — |
| Rayan Rupert 21 min predicted | 21/12/5 · 16/12/4 · 33/10/10 · 4/4/1 · 14/4/2 | — | — | — | — |
| LeBron James 20 min predicted | 24/12/3 · 19/6/8 · 23/2/6 · 27/4/6 · 28/7/8 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Celtics
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul George 26 min predicted | 7/1/2 · 15/5/3 · 19/6/4 · 17/3/3 · 13/3/1 | — | — | — | — |
| Jayson Tatum 26 min predicted | 17/11/3 · 24/16/4 · 30/7/11 · 25/5/7 · 19/14/9 | — | — | — | — |
| Derrick White 26 min predicted | 26/6/4 · 11/1/1 · 6/1/3 · 6/6/3 · 11/4/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Payton Pritchard 24 min predicted | 13/5/7 · 14/3/5 · 12/2/6 · 32/4/5 · 15/4/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Neemias Queta 22 min predicted | 17/12/1 · 4/11/0 · 8/14/1 · 9/8/1 · 6/7/0 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Player predictions
Every player in the game, our prediction against the line (US market lines). Edges and the full board for this game.
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Threes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers | ||||
| Tyrese Maxey | 17.6 | 2.7 | 4.2 | 2.0 |
| VJ Edgecombe | 10.6 | 4.2 | 2.9 | 1.4 |
| Justin Edwards | 9.0 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Rayan Rupert | 7.6 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| LeBron James | 12.3 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 0.9 |
| Jaylen Brown | 15.1 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 1.1 |
| Joel Embiid | 14.7 | 4.3 | 2.6 | 0.8 |
| Dean Wade | 3.3 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| Anfernee Simons | 9.2 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | 6.2 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Caleb Love | 7.7 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| Adem Bona | 3.7 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| Dominick Barlow | 3.5 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| Jabari Walker | 5.0 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Labaron Philon Jr. | 3.6 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| Dillon Jones | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Celtics | ||||
| Paul George | 13.7 | 4.1 | 2.9 | 2.3 |
| Jayson Tatum | 17.9 | 7.0 | 4.8 | 2.4 |
| Derrick White | 10.1 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 2.0 |
| Payton Pritchard | 12.5 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 2.1 |
| Neemias Queta | 9.4 | 7.7 | 1.5 | 0.0 |
| Sam Hauser | 7.7 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 2.2 |
| Hayden Gray | 6.6 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Mitchell Robinson | 6.0 | 8.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| Jordan Walsh | 4.4 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| Baylor Scheierman | 4.9 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| Devin Carter | 6.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| Mike Conley | 3.6 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| Luka Garza | 5.7 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| Hugo Gonzalez | 2.3 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| Amari Williams | 1.7 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Ron Harper Jr. | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
Today's NBA tips · 76ers · Celtics · Every 76ers v Celtics game