Magic at Cavaliers · Sun 11 Oct · 9:30am AEDT
Magic vs Cavaliers Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 11 Oct 2026
We give the Cavaliers a 56% chance at home against the Magic on Sunday 11 October at 9:30am AEDT. The bookmakers have Cavaliers −5.5 with the total at 228.5. The Magic are without Izaiyah Nelson. The Magic have won 3 of their last 5 and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch. The Cavaliers have won 4 of their last 5 and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch. Cavaliers at home, as favourite, after a loss: 6–7 against the spread over 13 games last season.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Magic 111, Cavaliers 113: a margin of Cavaliers by 1.9 against the bookmakers' Cavaliers −5.5; total 224 against 228.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Magic Out: Izaiyah Nelson
- Cavaliers no one listed
Form and rest
Magic
- L 97–109 at 76ers, Wed 15 Apr · lost ATS
- L 108–113 at Celtics, Sun 12 Apr · lost ATS
- W 127–103 at Bulls, Fri 10 Apr · won ATS
- W 132–120 v Timberwolves, Wed 8 Apr · won ATS
- W 123–107 v Pistons, Mon 6 Apr · won ATS
Cavaliers
- W 130–117 v Wizards, Sun 12 Apr · won ATS
- L 102–124 at Hawks, Fri 10 Apr · lost ATS
- W 122–116 v Hawks, Wed 8 Apr · won ATS
- W 142–126 at Grizzlies, Mon 6 Apr · won ATS
- W 117–108 v Pacers, Sun 5 Apr · lost ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, last season (this season has no games yet). Change the situation or date range.
Magic
- Magic away, as underdog, after a loss 2–6 straight up, 3–5 ATS, overs 5–3, -5.0 v spread n=8
- Magic away 20–23 straight up, 18–23 ATS, overs 20–21, -1.0 v spread n=43
- Magic as underdog 11–20 straight up, 16–15 ATS, overs 16–15, -1.5 v spread n=31
- Magic after a loss 22–15 straight up, 20–17 ATS, overs 20–17, -1.4 v spread n=37
- Magic all games 45–38 straight up, 37–44 ATS, overs 42–39, -1.9 v spread n=83
Cavaliers
- Cavaliers at home, as favourite, after a loss 10–3 straight up, 6–7 ATS, overs 6–7, -0.1 v spread n=13
- Cavaliers at home 27–14 straight up, 16–25 ATS, overs 17–24, -3.2 v spread n=41
- Cavaliers as favourite 46–21 straight up, 25–42 ATS, overs 34–33, -2.0 v spread n=67
- Cavaliers after a loss 23–7 straight up, 14–16 ATS, overs 16–14, +0.9 v spread n=30
- Cavaliers all games 52–30 straight up, 33–49 ATS, overs 40–42, -1.8 v spread n=82
Key players
Magic
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero 35 min predicted | 38/9/6 · 17/10/6 · 45/9/7 · 18/8/4 · 25/12/9 | — | — | — | — |
| Wendell Carter Jr. 30 min predicted | 13/5/2 · 9/0/2 · 9/4/4 · 12/11/4 · 14/17/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Desmond Bane 27 min predicted | 16/3/3 · 17/3/1 · 18/5/1 · 22/5/1 · 25/7/0 | — | — | — | — |
| Anthony Black 24 min predicted | 11/5/1 · 8/3/1 · 19/5/3 · 2/2/0 · 8/1/1 | — | — | — | — |
| Jalen Suggs 24 min predicted | 6/4/4 · 7/7/7 · 10/2/5 · 5/2/2 · 15/3/3 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Cavaliers
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden 33 min predicted | 12/4/2 · 19/5/5 · 18/6/2 · 15/4/3 · 9/5/6 | — | — | — | — |
| Donovan Mitchell 30 min predicted | 31/4/1 · 23/1/4 · 26/4/1 · 29/5/3 · 26/6/8 | — | — | — | — |
| Evan Mobley 30 min predicted | 15/7/4 · 24/6/2 · 14/6/3 · 15/14/3 · 21/12/6 | — | — | — | — |
| Peyton Watson 29 min predicted | 6/3/0 · 10/6/5 · 7/5/4 · 21/4/3 · 14/6/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Jarrett Allen 25 min predicted | 6/3/1 · 17/7/0 · 13/10/0 · 10/7/3 · 23/7/1 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Player predictions
Every player in the game, our prediction against the line. Lines from Australian bookmakers; a US book stands in where none has priced a player. Edges and the full board for this game.
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Threes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic | ||||
| Paolo Banchero | 24.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 1.4 |
| Wendell Carter Jr. | 11.0 | 7.5 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| Desmond Bane | 15.5 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 2.0 |
| Anthony Black | 10.2 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| Jalen Suggs | 9.7 | 3.2 | 4.1 | 1.8 |
| Franz Wagner | 16.4 | 4.1 | 3.1 | 1.1 |
| Tristan da Silva | 7.8 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Nikola Vucevic | 7.6 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| Jamal Cain | 5.5 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Jase Richardson | 5.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| Malaki Branham | 6.3 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| Jevon Carter | 4.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Goga Bitadze | 4.1 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 0.0 |
| JD Davison | 3.6 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| Colin Castleton | 2.6 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Kevin Knox II | 3.6 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| Jonathan Isaac | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Noah Penda | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Alex Morales | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Cavaliers | ||||
| James Harden | 18.6 | 4.6 | 5.5 | 2.4 |
| Donovan Mitchell | 23.6 | 4.2 | 3.3 | 2.5 |
| Evan Mobley | 15.6 | 8.1 | 3.2 | 0.9 |
| Peyton Watson | 15.2 | 4.7 | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| Jarrett Allen | 12.0 | 7.3 | 1.1 | 0.0 |
| Kadary Richmond | 7.8 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 0.9 |
| Sam Merrill | 7.4 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Craig Porter | 4.0 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 0.5 |
| Jaylon Tyson | 6.4 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Curtis Jones | 5.6 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| Nae'Qwan Tomlin | 5.4 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| Tyrese Proctor | 7.3 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.1 |
| Tristan Enaruna | 4.7 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| Thomas Bryant | 5.4 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Riley Minix | 4.9 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
Today's NBA tips · Magic · Cavaliers · Every Magic v Cavaliers game