Pistons at Wizards · Sun 11 Oct · 10am AEDT
Pistons vs Wizards Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 11 Oct 2026
Our model makes the Pistons 60% favourites on the road on Sunday 11 October at 10am AEDT. The bookmakers have Pistons −3.5 with the total at 222.5. The Wizards will be missing Tristan Vukcevic and Jamir Watkins. The Pistons have won 3 straight and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch. The Wizards have lost 5 straight and are 0–5 against the spread over that stretch. Wizards at home, as underdog, after a loss: 13–15 against the spread over 28 games last season.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Pistons 116, Wizards 113: a margin of Pistons by 3.0 against the bookmakers' Pistons −3.5; total 230 against 222.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Pistons no one listed
- Wizards Out: Tristan Vukcevic and Jamir Watkins
Form and rest
Pistons
- W 133–121 at Pacers, Sun 12 Apr · lost ATS
- W 118–100 at Hornets, Fri 10 Apr · won ATS
- W 137–111 v Bucks, Wed 8 Apr · won ATS
- L 107–123 at Magic, Mon 6 Apr · lost ATS
- W 116–93 at 76ers, Sat 4 Apr · won ATS
Wizards
- L 117–130 at Cavaliers, Sun 12 Apr · lost ATS
- L 117–140 v Heat, Fri 10 Apr · lost ATS
- L 108–119 v Bulls, Thu 9 Apr · lost ATS
- L 98–129 v Bulls, Tue 7 Apr · lost ATS
- L 115–121 at Nets, Sun 5 Apr · lost ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, last season (this season has no games yet). Change the situation or date range.
Pistons
- Pistons away, as favourite, after a loss 3–2 straight up, 2–3 ATS, overs 4–1, +1.3 v spread n=5
- Pistons away 29–13 straight up, 23–18 ATS, overs 18–23, +2.0 v spread n=42
- Pistons as favourite 47–19 straight up, 30–36 ATS, overs 32–34, +1.0 v spread n=66
- Pistons after a loss 17–5 straight up, 13–9 ATS, overs 13–9, +4.7 v spread n=22
- Pistons all games 60–22 straight up, 43–38 ATS, overs 38–43, +2.7 v spread n=82
Wizards
- Wizards at home, as underdog, after a loss 7–21 straight up, 13–15 ATS, overs 16–12, -0.9 v spread n=28
- Wizards at home 11–30 straight up, 18–23 ATS, overs 23–18, -2.4 v spread n=41
- Wizards as underdog 15–62 straight up, 31–46 ATS, overs 44–33, -0.9 v spread n=77
- Wizards after a loss 13–51 straight up, 27–37 ATS, overs 37–27, -0.4 v spread n=64
- Wizards all games 17–65 straight up, 33–49 ATS, overs 47–35, -1.3 v spread n=82
Key players
Pistons
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniss Jenkins 31 min predicted | 17/3/5 · 15/3/3 · 19/2/3 · 2/3/3 · 2/1/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Duncan Robinson 26 min predicted | 13/1/1 · 14/2/2 · 4/1/1 · 15/3/4 · 17/3/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Ausar Thompson 25 min predicted | 5/7/0 · 10/9/4 · 6/7/5 · 4/4/1 · 9/7/5 | — | — | — | — |
| Cade Cunningham 25 min predicted | 13/4/5 · 21/2/8 · 39/7/9 · 19/3/6 · 27/10/10 | — | — | — | — |
| John Collins 22 min predicted | 11/9/0 · 18/9/0 · 0/2/0 · 12/9/3 · 12/7/1 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Wizards
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis 29 min predicted | 21/11/4 · 19/16/2 · 26/12/3 · 13/8/2 · 3/3/0 | — | — | — | — |
| AJ Dybantsa 25 min predicted | no games yet | — | — | — | — |
| Bub Carrington 21 min predicted | 20/2/9 · 30/2/4 · 12/0/4 · 14/4/7 · 13/3/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Alexandre Sarr 20 min predicted | 8/9/3 · 14/5/8 · 2/3/2 · 4/5/0 · 16/4/0 | — | — | — | — |
| Will Riley 20 min predicted | 6/5/4 · 16/3/2 · 23/9/7 · 2/6/3 · 30/4/6 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Player predictions
Every player in the game, our prediction against the line (US market lines). Edges and the full board for this game.
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Threes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pistons | ||||
| Daniss Jenkins | 14.3 | 3.8 | 5.7 | 1.5 |
| Duncan Robinson | 12.0 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.7 |
| Ausar Thompson | 8.3 | 6.2 | 3.3 | 0.1 |
| Cade Cunningham | 17.2 | 3.8 | 6.4 | 1.6 |
| John Collins | 12.7 | 5.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Taurean Prince | 9.0 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| Paul Reed | 15.7 | 7.3 | 1.9 | 0.3 |
| Jalen Duren | 10.8 | 7.1 | 1.7 | 0.0 |
| Elijah Harkless | 5.5 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 0.7 |
| Kevin Huerter | 7.0 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| Javonte Green | 4.7 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.9 |
| Isaiah Joe | 6.7 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Ronald Holland II | 5.1 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| Tolu Smith | 5.9 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 0.0 |
| Ebuka Okorie | 4.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Chaz Lanier | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| Isaac Jones | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Wizards | ||||
| Anthony Davis | 19.5 | 10.2 | 2.9 | 0.5 |
| AJ Dybantsa | 9.8 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| Bub Carrington | 9.6 | 2.2 | 3.5 | 1.6 |
| Alexandre Sarr | 10.9 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| Will Riley | 10.1 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Kyshawn George | 10.3 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 1.4 |
| Deandre Ayton | 7.6 | 5.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Bilal Coulibaly | 10.0 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| Trae Young | 13.1 | 1.5 | 5.7 | 1.4 |
| Justin Champagnie | 8.7 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Tre Johnson | 9.1 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| Anthony Gill | 5.3 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| Khris Middleton | 6.6 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| Reece Beekman | 2.7 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 0.2 |
| Chris Livingston | 4.3 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Trevor Keels | 4.6 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| Tre Mann | 4.6 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Skal Labissiere | 3.3 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| Jazian Gortman | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
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