Spurs at Suns · Sun 11 Oct · 1:30pm AEDT
Spurs vs Suns Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 11 Oct 2026
The Suns are 71% to beat the Spurs at home on Sunday 11 October at 1:30pm AEDT, by our numbers. The bookmakers have Spurs −6.5 with the total at 222.5. Jayden Quaintance is out for the Spurs. Mark Williams is out for the Suns. The Spurs have won 3 of their last 5 and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch. The Suns have won 2 of their last 5 and are 1–4 against the spread over that stretch. Suns at home, as underdog, after a loss: 4–2 against the spread over 6 games last season.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Spurs 108, Suns 114: a margin of Suns by 6.6 against the bookmakers' Spurs −6.5; total 222 against 222.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Spurs Out: Jayden Quaintance
- Suns Out: Mark Williams
Form and rest
Spurs
- L 118–128 v Nuggets, Sun 12 Apr · lost ATS
- W 139–120 v Mavericks, Fri 10 Apr · won ATS
- W 112–101 v Trail Blazers, Wed 8 Apr · won ATS
- W 115–102 v 76ers, Mon 6 Apr · won ATS
- L 134–136 at Nuggets, Sat 4 Apr · lost ATS
Suns
- L 110–114 v Trail Blazers, Tue 14 Apr · lost ATS
- W 135–103 at Thunder, Sun 12 Apr · won ATS
- L 73–101 at Lakers, Fri 10 Apr · lost ATS
- W 112–107 v Mavericks, Wed 8 Apr · lost ATS
- L 105–119 v Rockets, Tue 7 Apr · lost ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, last season (this season has no games yet). Change the situation or date range.
Spurs
- Spurs away, as favourite, after a loss 3–2 straight up, 2–3 ATS, overs 2–3, +4.3 v spread n=5
- Spurs away 30–13 straight up, 25–18 ATS, overs 18–25, +4.9 v spread n=43
- Spurs as favourite 49–14 straight up, 34–29 ATS, overs 28–35, +1.1 v spread n=63
- Spurs after a loss 15–5 straight up, 13–7 ATS, overs 5–15, +4.2 v spread n=20
- Spurs all games 62–21 straight up, 48–35 ATS, overs 36–47, +3.1 v spread n=83
Suns
- Suns at home, as underdog, after a loss 3–3 straight up, 4–2 ATS, overs 1–5, +2.3 v spread n=6
- Suns at home 25–17 straight up, 23–19 ATS, overs 16–26, +1.7 v spread n=42
- Suns as underdog 16–27 straight up, 24–19 ATS, overs 21–22, +1.7 v spread n=43
- Suns after a loss 22–15 straight up, 21–16 ATS, overs 15–22, +3.1 v spread n=37
- Suns all games 45–38 straight up, 47–36 ATS, overs 38–45, +1.5 v spread n=83
Key players
Spurs
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama 32 min predicted | 19/14/2 · 24/13/1 · 32/8/6 · 29/9/2 · 26/12/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Devin Vassell 31 min predicted | 12/7/2 · 18/5/4 · 11/4/0 · 14/9/5 · 9/9/3 | — | — | — | — |
| De'Aaron Fox 29 min predicted | 7/0/5 · 18/5/7 · 12/3/8 · 20/3/5 · 7/4/5 | — | — | — | — |
| Stephon Castle 28 min predicted | 6/5/4 · 13/5/5 · 23/5/5 · 14/4/4 · 17/8/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Tobias Harris 27 min predicted | 5/5/2 · 6/5/3 · 13/6/3 · 16/8/5 · 21/5/0 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Suns
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker 30 min predicted | 24/0/6 · 16/4/7 · 22/7/4 · 23/6/2 · 20/6/8 | — | — | — | — |
| Dillon Brooks 28 min predicted | 23/4/3 · 33/7/1 · 30/6/1 · 18/7/2 · 13/1/4 | — | — | — | — |
| Kennedy Chandler 26 min predicted | 26/5/10 · 31/7/8 · 5/0/5 · 2/1/4 · 16/5/6 | — | — | — | — |
| Miles Bridges 25 min predicted | 15/2/1 · 28/9/2 · 7/1/2 · 10/8/3 · 13/12/4 | — | — | — | — |
| Jalen Green 24 min predicted | 23/6/4 · 26/5/6 · 21/5/3 · 17/5/1 · 36/6/4 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Player predictions
Every player in the game, our prediction against the line (US market lines). Edges and the full board for this game.
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Threes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs | ||||
| Victor Wembanyama | 23.9 | 11.7 | 3.0 | 2.1 |
| Devin Vassell | 12.1 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 2.3 |
| De'Aaron Fox | 14.2 | 3.5 | 5.4 | 1.4 |
| Stephon Castle | 14.8 | 4.7 | 5.4 | 1.2 |
| Tobias Harris | 13.8 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| Julian Champagnie | 9.6 | 4.8 | 1.4 | 2.1 |
| Dylan Harper | 13.1 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 1.0 |
| Taelon Peter | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Keldon Johnson | 6.3 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Tarris Reed Jr. | 3.3 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Harrison Barnes | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| Luke Kornet | 1.9 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| David Jones Garcia | 3.1 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| Carter Bryant | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Suns | ||||
| Devin Booker | 21.6 | 3.2 | 4.8 | 1.6 |
| Dillon Brooks | 17.1 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 2.1 |
| Kennedy Chandler | 12.3 | 2.7 | 5.4 | 1.1 |
| Miles Bridges | 13.7 | 4.7 | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| Jalen Green | 16.4 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 2.0 |
| Luke Kennard | 8.4 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| Oso Ighodaro | 6.3 | 5.2 | 2.8 | 0.0 |
| Collin Gillespie | 8.2 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 2.0 |
| Jordan Goodwin | 7.6 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| Pat Spencer | 7.3 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 0.9 |
| CJ Huntley | 6.5 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Rasheer Fleming | 5.2 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 1.1 |
| Ryan Dunn | 3.8 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Khaman Maluach | 4.2 | 4.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 |
| Haywood Highsmith | 3.5 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Jamaree Bouyea | 4.0 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.3 |
| Koby Brea | 4.3 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| Koa Peat | 3.8 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| Duop Reath | 3.4 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| Phillip Wheeler | 2.8 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 |