Suns at Spurs · Thu 15 Oct · 11am AEDT
Suns vs Spurs Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 15 Oct 2026
Our model makes the Spurs 63% favourites at home on Thursday 15 October at 11am AEDT. The bookmakers have Spurs −9.5 with the total at 222.5. The Suns will be missing Mark Williams. The Spurs will be missing Jayden Quaintance. The Suns have won 2 of their last 5 and are 1–4 against the spread over that stretch. The Spurs have won 3 of their last 5 and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch. Spurs at home, as favourite, after a loss: 8–3 against the spread over 11 games last season.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Suns 109, Spurs 113: a margin of Spurs by 4.0 against the bookmakers' Spurs −9.5; total 222 against 222.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Suns Out: Mark Williams
- Spurs Out: Jayden Quaintance
Form and rest
Suns
- L 110–114 v Trail Blazers, Tue 14 Apr · lost ATS
- W 135–103 at Thunder, Sun 12 Apr · won ATS
- L 73–101 at Lakers, Fri 10 Apr · lost ATS
- W 112–107 v Mavericks, Wed 8 Apr · lost ATS
- L 105–119 v Rockets, Tue 7 Apr · lost ATS
Spurs
- L 118–128 v Nuggets, Sun 12 Apr · lost ATS
- W 139–120 v Mavericks, Fri 10 Apr · won ATS
- W 112–101 v Trail Blazers, Wed 8 Apr · won ATS
- W 115–102 v 76ers, Mon 6 Apr · won ATS
- L 134–136 at Nuggets, Sat 4 Apr · lost ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, last season (this season has no games yet). Change the situation or date range.
Suns
- Suns away, as underdog, after a loss 5–8 straight up, 8–5 ATS, overs 7–6, +4.7 v spread n=13
- Suns away 20–21 straight up, 24–17 ATS, overs 22–19, +1.3 v spread n=41
- Suns as underdog 16–27 straight up, 24–19 ATS, overs 21–22, +1.7 v spread n=43
- Suns after a loss 22–15 straight up, 21–16 ATS, overs 15–22, +3.1 v spread n=37
- Suns all games 45–38 straight up, 47–36 ATS, overs 38–45, +1.5 v spread n=83
Spurs
- Spurs at home, as favourite, after a loss 9–2 straight up, 8–3 ATS, overs 2–9, +2.8 v spread n=11
- Spurs at home 32–8 straight up, 23–17 ATS, overs 18–22, +1.1 v spread n=40
- Spurs as favourite 49–14 straight up, 34–29 ATS, overs 28–35, +1.1 v spread n=63
- Spurs after a loss 15–5 straight up, 13–7 ATS, overs 5–15, +4.2 v spread n=20
- Spurs all games 62–21 straight up, 48–35 ATS, overs 36–47, +3.1 v spread n=83
Key players
Suns
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Kennard 24 min predicted | 5/2/2 · 18/2/2 · 10/1/0 · 7/5/1 · 3/3/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Kennedy Chandler 22 min predicted | 26/5/10 · 31/7/8 · 5/0/5 · 2/1/4 · 16/5/6 | — | — | — | — |
| Devin Booker 22 min predicted | 24/0/6 · 16/4/7 · 22/7/4 · 23/6/2 · 20/6/8 | — | — | — | — |
| Dillon Brooks 20 min predicted | 23/4/3 · 33/7/1 · 30/6/1 · 18/7/2 · 13/1/4 | — | — | — | — |
| Haywood Highsmith 18 min predicted | 0/1/0 · 0/2/1 · 0/1/1 · 5/0/0 · 3/2/1 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Spurs
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama 34 min predicted | 19/14/2 · 24/13/1 · 32/8/6 · 29/9/2 · 26/12/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Devin Vassell 32 min predicted | 12/7/2 · 18/5/4 · 11/4/0 · 14/9/5 · 9/9/3 | — | — | — | — |
| De'Aaron Fox 31 min predicted | 7/0/5 · 18/5/7 · 12/3/8 · 20/3/5 · 7/4/5 | — | — | — | — |
| Stephon Castle 29 min predicted | 6/5/4 · 13/5/5 · 23/5/5 · 14/4/4 · 17/8/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Dylan Harper 28 min predicted | 25/5/4 · 21/4/3 · 13/9/4 · 15/6/3 · 16/8/1 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Player predictions
Every player in the game, our prediction against the line. Lines from Australian bookmakers; a US book stands in where none has priced a player. Edges and the full board for this game.
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Threes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suns | ||||
| Luke Kennard | 8.9 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| Kennedy Chandler | 10.3 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 0.9 |
| Devin Booker | 15.7 | 2.4 | 3.5 | 1.2 |
| Dillon Brooks | 12.7 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Haywood Highsmith | 5.1 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Khaman Maluach | 5.9 | 6.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 |
| Collin Gillespie | 6.5 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| Jamaree Bouyea | 6.6 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 0.5 |
| Miles Bridges | 9.1 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Ryan Dunn | 4.5 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| Jordan Goodwin | 6.2 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| CJ Huntley | 5.6 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| Oso Ighodaro | 4.4 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 0.0 |
| Jalen Green | 9.4 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Pat Spencer | 5.4 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 0.7 |
| Rasheer Fleming | 4.4 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.9 |
| Koby Brea | 3.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Koa Peat | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Duop Reath | 2.9 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Phillip Wheeler | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Spurs | ||||
| Victor Wembanyama | 25.1 | 12.3 | 3.1 | 2.2 |
| Devin Vassell | 12.8 | 4.7 | 2.7 | 2.4 |
| De'Aaron Fox | 14.9 | 3.7 | 5.7 | 1.5 |
| Stephon Castle | 15.5 | 4.9 | 5.7 | 1.3 |
| Dylan Harper | 15.5 | 5.1 | 3.6 | 1.2 |
| Julian Champagnie | 8.7 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 1.9 |
| Tobias Harris | 10.9 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| Keldon Johnson | 6.6 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Tarris Reed Jr. | 3.5 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Terry Taylor | 3.4 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Harrison Barnes | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| Luke Kornet | 2.0 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| David Jones Garcia | 3.2 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| Carter Bryant | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 |