Kings at Spurs · Sat 17 Oct ·
Kings vs Spurs Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 17 Oct 2026
We give the Spurs a 85% chance at home against the Kings on Saturday 17 October at . The bookmakers have Spurs −14.5 with the total at 230.5. The Kings are without Dylan Cardwell and Maxime Raynaud; Precious Achiuwa and Darius Acuff are questionable. The Spurs are without Jayden Quaintance. The Kings have won 2 of their last 5 and are 4–1 against the spread over that stretch. The Spurs have won 3 of their last 5 and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch. Spurs at home, as favourite, after a loss: 8–3 against the spread over 11 games last season.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Kings 107, Spurs 120: a margin of Spurs by 12.5 against the bookmakers' Spurs −14.5; total 227 against 230.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Kings Out: Dylan Cardwell and Maxime Raynaud; Questionable: Precious Achiuwa and Darius Acuff
- Spurs Out: Jayden Quaintance
Form and rest
Kings
- L 110–122 at Trail Blazers, Sun 12 Apr · won ATS
- W 124–118 v Warriors, Fri 10 Apr · won ATS
- L 105–110 at Warriors, Tue 7 Apr · won ATS
- L 109–138 v Clippers, Sun 5 Apr · lost ATS
- W 117–113 v Pelicans, Fri 3 Apr · won ATS
Spurs
- L 118–128 v Nuggets, Sun 12 Apr · lost ATS
- W 139–120 v Mavericks, Fri 10 Apr · won ATS
- W 112–101 v Trail Blazers, Wed 8 Apr · won ATS
- W 115–102 v 76ers, Mon 6 Apr · won ATS
- L 134–136 at Nuggets, Sat 4 Apr · lost ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, last season (this season has no games yet). Change the situation or date range.
Kings
- Kings away, as underdog, after a loss 7–25 straight up, 16–16 ATS, overs 16–16, -1.2 v spread n=32
- Kings away 7–34 straight up, 18–23 ATS, overs 21–20, -2.5 v spread n=41
- Kings as underdog 16–57 straight up, 32–41 ATS, overs 36–37, -2.1 v spread n=73
- Kings after a loss 15–44 straight up, 25–34 ATS, overs 31–28, -2.1 v spread n=59
- Kings all games 22–60 straight up, 36–46 ATS, overs 42–40, -2.1 v spread n=82
Spurs
- Spurs at home, as favourite, after a loss 9–2 straight up, 8–3 ATS, overs 2–9, +2.8 v spread n=11
- Spurs at home 32–8 straight up, 23–17 ATS, overs 18–22, +1.1 v spread n=40
- Spurs as favourite 49–14 straight up, 34–29 ATS, overs 28–35, +1.1 v spread n=63
- Spurs after a loss 15–5 straight up, 13–7 ATS, overs 5–15, +4.2 v spread n=20
- Spurs all games 62–21 straight up, 48–35 ATS, overs 36–47, +3.1 v spread n=83
Key players
Kings
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nique Clifford 34 min predicted | 24/7/5 · 20/6/6 · 12/6/2 · 18/5/5 · 23/5/6 | — | — | — | — |
| Daeqwon Plowden 26 min predicted | 8/1/2 · 20/9/3 · 11/1/1 · 15/2/3 · 17/3/1 | — | — | — | — |
| Darius Acuff Jr. 25 min predicted | no games yet | — | — | — | — |
| Precious Achiuwa 24 min predicted | 27/11/4 · 5/6/4 · 13/6/4 · 8/5/0 · 12/7/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Keegan Murray 22 min predicted | 3/1/0 · 6/5/5 · 20/2/2 · 15/8/2 · 12/3/0 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Spurs
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama 36 min predicted | 19/14/2 · 24/13/1 · 32/8/6 · 29/9/2 · 26/12/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Devin Vassell 35 min predicted | 12/7/2 · 18/5/4 · 11/4/0 · 14/9/5 · 9/9/3 | — | — | — | — |
| De'Aaron Fox 33 min predicted | 7/0/5 · 18/5/7 · 12/3/8 · 20/3/5 · 7/4/5 | — | — | — | — |
| Stephon Castle 30 min predicted | 6/5/4 · 13/5/5 · 23/5/5 · 14/4/4 · 17/8/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Tobias Harris 29 min predicted | 5/5/2 · 6/5/3 · 13/6/3 · 16/8/5 · 21/5/0 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Player predictions
Every player in the game, our prediction against the line. Lines from Australian bookmakers; a US book stands in where none has priced a player. Edges and the full board for this game.
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Threes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kings | ||||
| Nique Clifford | 13.3 | 5.1 | 3.9 | 1.4 |
| Daeqwon Plowden | 11.6 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 2.1 |
| Darius Acuff Jr. | 9.5 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| Precious Achiuwa | 11.5 | 6.8 | 1.5 | 0.3 |
| Keegan Murray | 8.7 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| Leaky Black | 5.3 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| Zach LaVine | 12.8 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Domantas Sabonis | 10.9 | 8.1 | 3.4 | 0.4 |
| Elfrid Payton | 3.0 | 3.0 | 6.9 | 0.1 |
| De'Andre Hunter | 8.1 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| Ben Simmons | 3.0 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 0.0 |
| Malik Monk | 8.5 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 1.3 |
| Adam Flagler | 3.4 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Jonathan Mogbo | 2.5 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.1 |
| Tristen Newton | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Spurs | ||||
| Victor Wembanyama | 28.4 | 13.1 | 3.3 | 2.2 |
| Devin Vassell | 14.1 | 5.0 | 3.1 | 2.8 |
| De'Aaron Fox | 16.2 | 3.8 | 6.5 | 1.8 |
| Stephon Castle | 16.8 | 5.0 | 6.4 | 1.4 |
| Tobias Harris | 15.4 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| Julian Champagnie | 10.4 | 5.1 | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| Dylan Harper | 13.9 | 4.4 | 3.3 | 1.1 |
| Keldon Johnson | 5.4 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Tarris Reed Jr. | 2.4 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Terry Taylor | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| Harrison Barnes | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| Luke Kornet | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| David Jones Garcia | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Carter Bryant | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 |