Bulls at Nuggets · Sun 11 Oct · 12pm AEDT
Bulls vs Nuggets Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 11 Oct 2026
We give the Nuggets a 67% chance at home against the Bulls on Sunday 11 October at 12pm AEDT. The bookmakers have Nuggets −7.5 with the total at 234.5. The Bulls have won 2 of their last 5 and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch. The Nuggets have won 5 straight and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch. Nuggets at home, as favourite, after a loss: 5–5 against the spread over 10 games last season.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Bulls 116, Nuggets 122: a margin of Nuggets by 5.3 against the bookmakers' Nuggets −7.5; total 238 against 234.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Bulls no one listed
- Nuggets no one listed
Form and rest
Bulls
- L 128–149 at Mavericks, Sun 12 Apr · lost ATS
- L 103–127 v Magic, Fri 10 Apr · lost ATS
- W 119–108 at Wizards, Thu 9 Apr · won ATS
- W 129–98 at Wizards, Tue 7 Apr · won ATS
- L 110–120 v Suns, Sun 5 Apr · won ATS
Nuggets
- W 128–118 at Spurs, Sun 12 Apr · won ATS
- W 127–107 v Thunder, Fri 10 Apr · won ATS
- W 136–119 v Grizzlies, Wed 8 Apr · lost ATS
- W 137–132 v Trail Blazers, Mon 6 Apr · lost ATS
- W 136–134 v Spurs, Sat 4 Apr · won ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, last season (this season has no games yet). Change the situation or date range.
Bulls
- Bulls away, as underdog, after a loss 4–11 straight up, 9–6 ATS, overs 9–6, -0.1 v spread n=15
- Bulls away 13–28 straight up, 18–23 ATS, overs 22–19, -2.2 v spread n=41
- Bulls as underdog 18–34 straight up, 29–23 ATS, overs 24–28, -0.2 v spread n=52
- Bulls after a loss 16–34 straight up, 22–28 ATS, overs 23–27, -1.9 v spread n=50
- Bulls all games 31–51 straight up, 38–44 ATS, overs 37–45, -1.9 v spread n=82
Nuggets
- Nuggets at home, as favourite, after a loss 9–1 straight up, 5–5 ATS, overs 3–7, +4.9 v spread n=10
- Nuggets at home 28–13 straight up, 20–21 ATS, overs 22–19, -0.3 v spread n=41
- Nuggets as favourite 41–16 straight up, 26–31 ATS, overs 37–20, +0.2 v spread n=57
- Nuggets after a loss 21–7 straight up, 17–11 ATS, overs 17–11, +4.4 v spread n=28
- Nuggets all games 54–28 straight up, 44–38 ATS, overs 51–31, +1.2 v spread n=82
Key players
Bulls
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Giddey 25 min predicted | 6/5/5 · 9/7/10 · 18/13/10 · 5/7/11 · 23/9/12 | — | — | — | — |
| Caleb Wilson 25 min predicted | no games yet | — | — | — | — |
| Matas Buzelis 24 min predicted | 14/8/3 · 11/6/0 · 17/9/6 · 12/6/2 · 29/10/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Leonard Miller 21 min predicted | 17/7/2 · 15/7/4 · 26/11/3 · 13/8/1 · 17/10/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Tre Jones 21 min predicted | 6/3/2 · 23/4/4 · 31/6/3 · 20/2/9 · 29/3/6 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Nuggets
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray 32 min predicted | 12/6/4 · 24/4/7 · 30/5/5 · 16/3/4 · 30/7/7 | — | — | — | — |
| Nikola Jokic 31 min predicted | 28/9/10 · 27/12/16 · 24/15/9 · 27/15/3 · 24/15/8 | — | — | — | — |
| Cameron Johnson 26 min predicted | 27/8/3 · 18/6/5 · 9/2/2 · 6/2/1 · 13/1/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Braun 25 min predicted | 3/1/0 · 9/2/3 · 8/5/1 · 2/2/0 · 16/3/5 | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Gordon 24 min predicted | 9/1/0 · 8/7/4 · 17/8/3 · 6/2/6 · 23/9/5 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Player predictions
Every player in the game, our prediction against the line. Lines from Australian bookmakers; a US book stands in where none has priced a player. Edges and the full board for this game.
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Threes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulls | ||||
| Josh Giddey | 11.8 | 6.5 | 7.9 | 1.5 |
| Caleb Wilson | 9.6 | 5.0 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Matas Buzelis | 14.5 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| Leonard Miller | 11.7 | 5.5 | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Tre Jones | 13.2 | 2.6 | 4.2 | 0.6 |
| Isaac Okoro | 7.3 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Nic Claxton | 8.4 | 5.1 | 2.3 | 0.0 |
| Norman Powell | 14.7 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| Brandon Boston | 7.8 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Isaiah Stevens | 5.4 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 0.7 |
| Jordan Hawkins | 7.3 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Jalen Smith | 7.4 | 4.9 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Patrick Williams | 5.4 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Orlando Robinson | 6.2 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| Buddy Hield | 7.6 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Zach Collins | 6.2 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| Dailyn Swain | 4.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| Drew Peterson | 2.4 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| Noa Essengue | 3.5 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| Jalen Bridges | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| Nuggets | ||||
| Jamal Murray | 21.9 | 4.1 | 6.3 | 2.8 |
| Nikola Jokic | 24.4 | 11.6 | 9.4 | 1.6 |
| Cameron Johnson | 13.2 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 |
| Christian Braun | 9.7 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| Aaron Gordon | 13.0 | 4.8 | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 11.5 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| DeMar DeRozan | 12.0 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 0.4 |
| Marvin Bagley III | 10.5 | 5.6 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| Ryan Nembhard | 5.1 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 0.6 |
| Spencer Jones | 4.0 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| Cam Whitmore | 8.5 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Zeke Nnaji | 4.0 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Julian Strawther | 6.1 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| Tyus Jones | 2.8 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0.6 |
| DaRon Holmes II | 4.6 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| Emanuel Miller | 3.0 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
Today's NBA tips · Bulls · Nuggets · Every Bulls v Nuggets game