Thunder at Hawks · Tue 13 Oct · 10am AEDT
Thunder vs Hawks Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 13 Oct 2026 Free game of the day
The Thunder are 59% to beat the Hawks on the road on Tuesday 13 October at 10am AEDT, by our numbers. The bookmakers have Hawks −3.5 with the total at 227.5. Henri Veesaar is out for the Hawks; Nickeil Alexander-Walker is questionable. The Thunder have won 3 of their last 5 and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch. The Hawks have won 2 of their last 5 and are 2–3 against the spread over that stretch. Hawks at home, as favourite, after a loss: 4–7 against the spread over 11 games last season.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Thunder 115, Hawks 112: a margin of Thunder by 2.8 against the bookmakers' Hawks −3.5; total 227 against 227.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Thunder no one listed
- Hawks Out: Henri Veesaar; Questionable: Nickeil Alexander-Walker
Form and rest
Thunder
- L 103–135 v Suns, Sun 12 Apr · lost ATS
- L 107–127 at Nuggets, Fri 10 Apr · lost ATS
- W 128–110 at Clippers, Wed 8 Apr · won ATS
- W 123–87 at Lakers, Tue 7 Apr · won ATS
- W 146–111 v Jazz, Sun 5 Apr · won ATS
Hawks
- L 117–143 at Heat, Sun 12 Apr · lost ATS
- W 124–102 v Cavaliers, Fri 10 Apr · won ATS
- L 116–122 at Cavaliers, Wed 8 Apr · lost ATS
- L 105–108 v Knicks, Mon 6 Apr · lost ATS
- W 141–107 at Nets, Fri 3 Apr · won ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, last season (this season has no games yet). Change the situation or date range.
Thunder
- Thunder away, as underdog, after a loss: no games yet
- Thunder away 30–11 straight up, 20–20 ATS, overs 22–18, +2.0 v spread n=41
- Thunder as underdog 2–3 straight up, 3–2 ATS, overs 5–0, +1.5 v spread n=5
- Thunder after a loss 12–5 straight up, 8–9 ATS, overs 10–7, -5.0 v spread n=17
- Thunder all games 64–18 straight up, 39–42 ATS, overs 44–37, +0.8 v spread n=82
Hawks
- Hawks at home, as favourite, after a loss 6–5 straight up, 4–7 ATS, overs 4–7, -3.0 v spread n=11
- Hawks at home 24–17 straight up, 21–20 ATS, overs 17–24, +0.6 v spread n=41
- Hawks as favourite 29–14 straight up, 23–20 ATS, overs 21–22, +1.8 v spread n=43
- Hawks after a loss 17–18 straight up, 17–18 ATS, overs 18–17, -0.3 v spread n=35
- Hawks all games 46–36 straight up, 44–38 ATS, overs 41–41, +1.2 v spread n=82
Key players
Thunder
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 28 min predicted | 35/4/9 · 15/1/4 · 32/2/9 · 19/4/7 · 26/2/12 | — | — | — | — |
| Chet Holmgren 23 min predicted | 4/4/0 · 10/11/1 · 16/11/1 · 10/9/2 · 14/3/1 | — | — | — | — |
| Aday Mara 22 min predicted | no games yet | — | — | — | — |
| Bennett Stirtz 22 min predicted | no games yet | — | — | — | — |
| Cason Wallace 20 min predicted | 17/7/4 · 11/3/1 · 7/4/5 · 5/4/1 · 11/5/4 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Hawks
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson 25 min predicted | 21/8/6 · 18/10/6 · 14/3/5 · 24/10/8 · 17/8/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker 24 min predicted | 11/1/2 · 16/0/3 · 15/4/1 · 14/3/0 · 9/5/6 | — | — | — | — |
| Onyeka Okongwu 23 min predicted | 4/6/5 · 16/5/4 · 12/6/1 · 9/7/1 · 15/8/1 | — | — | — | — |
| Dyson Daniels 22 min predicted | 3/0/0 · 17/2/5 · 6/9/6 · 8/13/6 · 6/4/2 | — | — | — | — |
| CJ McCollum 20 min predicted | 11/3/0 · 6/3/1 · 17/1/3 · 23/5/1 · 32/3/6 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Player predictions
Every player in the game, our prediction against the line. Lines from Australian bookmakers; a US book stands in where none has priced a player. Edges and the full board for this game.
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Threes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder | ||||
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 23.2 | 3.1 | 6.3 | 1.2 |
| Chet Holmgren | 12.0 | 7.0 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| Aday Mara | 8.1 | 6.1 | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| Bennett Stirtz | 8.5 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| Cason Wallace | 7.3 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| Jalen Williams | 13.0 | 3.2 | 3.6 | 0.8 |
| Ajay Mitchell | 10.1 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 0.8 |
| Alex Caruso | 8.1 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 7.1 | 7.2 | 2.5 | 0.0 |
| Jared McCain | 9.8 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Brooks Barnhizer | 3.5 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| Jaylin Williams | 5.0 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Kenrich Williams | 5.3 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| Nikola Topic | 2.7 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 0.3 |
| Hawks | ||||
| Jalen Johnson | 14.6 | 7.1 | 4.6 | 1.2 |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 13.6 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 9.2 | 5.6 | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| Dyson Daniels | 7.7 | 4.7 | 3.7 | 0.4 |
| CJ McCollum | 12.7 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| Kingston Flemings | 7.8 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| Jock Landale | 8.5 | 4.9 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| Jalen Wilson | 7.1 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Corey Kispert | 7.7 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| Asa Newell | 6.6 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| Luguentz Dort | 4.2 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| Keshon Gilbert | 3.9 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0.4 |
| Aaron Wiggins | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Mouhamed Gueye | 2.5 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| RayJ Dennis | 3.2 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
Today's NBA tips · Thunder · Hawks · Every Thunder v Hawks game