Pelicans at Mavericks · Thu 15 Oct · 11am AEDT
Pelicans vs Mavericks Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 15 Oct 2026
The Pelicans are 72% to beat the Mavericks on the road on Thursday 15 October at 11am AEDT, by our numbers. The bookmakers have Mavericks −0.5 with the total at 233.5. The Mavericks list Santi Aldama as questionable. The Pelicans have won 1 of their last 5 and are 2–3 against the spread over that stretch. The Mavericks have won 2 of their last 5 and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch. Mavericks at home, as favourite, after a win: 2–3 against the spread over 5 games last season.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Pelicans 122, Mavericks 115: a margin of Pelicans by 6.9 against the bookmakers' Mavericks −0.5; total 238 against 233.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Pelicans no one listed
- Mavericks Questionable: Santi Aldama
Form and rest
Pelicans
- L 126–132 at Timberwolves, Sun 12 Apr · lost ATS
- L 118–144 at Celtics, Fri 10 Apr · lost ATS
- W 156–137 v Jazz, Tue 7 Apr · won ATS
- L 108–112 v Magic, Sun 5 Apr · won ATS
- L 113–117 at Kings, Fri 3 Apr · lost ATS
Mavericks
- W 149–128 v Bulls, Sun 12 Apr · won ATS
- L 120–139 at Spurs, Fri 10 Apr · lost ATS
- L 107–112 at Suns, Wed 8 Apr · won ATS
- L 103–116 at Clippers, Tue 7 Apr · lost ATS
- W 134–128 v Lakers, Sun 5 Apr · won ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, last season (this season has no games yet). Change the situation or date range.
Pelicans
- Pelicans away, as underdog, after a loss 2–19 straight up, 8–13 ATS, overs 8–13, -4.3 v spread n=21
- Pelicans away 9–32 straight up, 19–22 ATS, overs 20–21, -1.5 v spread n=41
- Pelicans as underdog 13–52 straight up, 31–34 ATS, overs 33–32, -0.3 v spread n=65
- Pelicans after a loss 13–42 straight up, 27–28 ATS, overs 27–28, -1.5 v spread n=55
- Pelicans all games 26–56 straight up, 44–38 ATS, overs 41–41, +0.3 v spread n=82
Mavericks
- Mavericks at home, as favourite, after a win 2–3 straight up, 2–3 ATS, overs 4–1, -3.9 v spread n=5
- Mavericks at home 16–25 straight up, 20–21 ATS, overs 22–19, -1.1 v spread n=41
- Mavericks as favourite 12–12 straight up, 9–15 ATS, overs 9–15, -5.0 v spread n=24
- Mavericks after a win 8–17 straight up, 9–16 ATS, overs 14–11, -1.1 v spread n=25
- Mavericks all games 26–56 straight up, 36–46 ATS, overs 37–45, -0.9 v spread n=82
Key players
Pelicans
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah Fears 33 min predicted | 36/10/5 · 36/3/6 · 40/5/6 · 19/3/7 · 28/8/6 | — | — | — | — |
| Bennedict Mathurin 26 min predicted | 23/3/2 · 20/9/8 · 0/0/1 · 10/2/2 · 9/6/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Saddiq Bey 26 min predicted | 32/6/1 · 20/1/3 · 15/6/1 · 18/7/1 · 19/3/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Trey Murphy III 22 min predicted | 13/4/4 · 19/8/2 · 16/6/2 · 10/6/0 · 27/5/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Yves Missi 22 min predicted | 18/13/3 · 6/7/2 · 6/7/0 · 8/5/1 · 7/2/1 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Mavericks
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg 23 min predicted | 10/4/1 · 33/6/5 · 11/11/6 · 25/9/2 · 45/8/9 | — | — | — | — |
| P.J. Washington 23 min predicted | 15/6/0 · 5/5/0 · 19/15/1 · 9/3/2 · 21/6/0 | — | — | — | — |
| Santi Aldama 22 min predicted | 12/6/0 · 17/7/2 · 9/5/3 · 18/5/1 · 15/8/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Moussa Cisse 22 min predicted | 17/20/1 · 7/8/0 · 11/9/0 · 8/13/0 · 6/7/1 | — | — | — | — |
| Kyrie Irving 21 min predicted | 7/1/1 · 31/5/3 · 25/9/5 · 35/7/4 · 17/5/4 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Player predictions
Every player in the game, our prediction against the line. Lines from Australian bookmakers; a US book stands in where none has priced a player. Edges and the full board for this game.
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Threes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelicans | ||||
| Jeremiah Fears | 22.1 | 4.9 | 5.2 | 1.8 |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 16.2 | 5.0 | 2.6 | 1.1 |
| Saddiq Bey | 16.0 | 4.4 | 2.2 | 1.9 |
| Trey Murphy III | 13.7 | 3.7 | 2.6 | 2.1 |
| Yves Missi | 6.8 | 6.7 | 1.7 | 0.0 |
| Zion Williamson | 13.9 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 0.0 |
| Derik Queen | 8.6 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 0.2 |
| Dejounte Murray | 10.1 | 3.5 | 4.2 | 0.9 |
| Herbert Jones | 4.9 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| Karlo Matkovic | 5.7 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| Bryce McGowens | 5.4 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| Julian Reese | 5.7 | 4.8 | 0.9 | 0.0 |
| Jordan Poole | 8.2 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| AJ Johnson | 5.0 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| DeAndre Jordan | 3.6 | 4.9 | 0.9 | 0.0 |
| Caleb Houstan | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| Christian Koloko | 2.5 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| Kobe Bufkin | 4.7 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Trendon Watford | 5.1 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.2 |
| Mavericks | ||||
| Cooper Flagg | 17.2 | 4.9 | 3.8 | 0.8 |
| P.J. Washington | 10.8 | 5.4 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| Santi Aldama | 11.7 | 5.5 | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| Moussa Cisse | 7.8 | 9.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Kyrie Irving | 15.4 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 1.8 |
| Naji Marshall | 11.7 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 0.6 |
| Max Christie | 8.7 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Zaccharie Risacher | 8.5 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| John Poulakidas | 9.2 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 2.4 |
| Daniel Gafford | 8.9 | 5.5 | 0.9 | 0.0 |
| Dwight Powell | 3.5 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 0.1 |
| Dereck Lively II | 4.4 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 0.0 |
| Marcus Sasser | 4.9 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Caleb Martin | 3.2 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Jett Howard | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. | 3.9 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
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