Pistons at Timberwolves · Thu 15 Oct · 11am AEDT
Pistons vs Timberwolves Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 15 Oct 2026
We give the Timberwolves a 65% chance at home against the Pistons on Thursday 15 October at 11am AEDT. The bookmakers have Timberwolves −2.5 with the total at 227.5. The Timberwolves are without Donte DiVincenzo. The Pistons have won 3 straight and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch. The Timberwolves have won 3 of their last 5 and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch. Timberwolves at home, as favourite, after a loss: 5–8 against the spread over 13 games last season.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Pistons 109, Timberwolves 114: a margin of Timberwolves by 4.7 against the bookmakers' Timberwolves −2.5; total 223 against 227.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Pistons no one listed
- Timberwolves Out: Donte DiVincenzo
Form and rest
Pistons
- W 133–121 at Pacers, Sun 12 Apr · lost ATS
- W 118–100 at Hornets, Fri 10 Apr · won ATS
- W 137–111 v Bucks, Wed 8 Apr · won ATS
- L 107–123 at Magic, Mon 6 Apr · lost ATS
- W 116–93 at 76ers, Sat 4 Apr · won ATS
Timberwolves
- W 132–126 v Pelicans, Sun 12 Apr · won ATS
- W 136–132 at Rockets, Fri 10 Apr · won ATS
- L 120–132 at Magic, Wed 8 Apr · lost ATS
- W 124–104 at Pacers, Tue 7 Apr · won ATS
- L 108–122 v Hornets, Sun 5 Apr · lost ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, last season (this season has no games yet). Change the situation or date range.
Pistons
- Pistons away, as underdog, after a loss 4–1 straight up, 4–1 ATS, overs 2–3, +4.5 v spread n=5
- Pistons away 29–13 straight up, 23–18 ATS, overs 18–23, +2.0 v spread n=42
- Pistons as underdog 12–3 straight up, 13–2 ATS, overs 6–9, +10.2 v spread n=15
- Pistons after a loss 17–5 straight up, 13–9 ATS, overs 13–9, +4.7 v spread n=22
- Pistons all games 60–22 straight up, 43–38 ATS, overs 38–43, +2.7 v spread n=82
Timberwolves
- Timberwolves at home, as favourite, after a loss 8–5 straight up, 5–8 ATS, overs 5–8, -3.4 v spread n=13
- Timberwolves at home 26–15 straight up, 18–23 ATS, overs 14–27, -2.6 v spread n=41
- Timberwolves as favourite 41–19 straight up, 26–34 ATS, overs 26–34, -1.6 v spread n=60
- Timberwolves after a loss 20–13 straight up, 17–16 ATS, overs 15–18, +0.1 v spread n=33
- Timberwolves all games 49–33 straight up, 37–45 ATS, overs 38–44, -1.0 v spread n=82
Key players
Pistons
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham 34 min predicted | 13/4/5 · 21/2/8 · 39/7/9 · 19/3/6 · 27/10/10 | — | — | — | — |
| Duncan Robinson 27 min predicted | 13/1/1 · 14/2/2 · 4/1/1 · 15/3/4 · 17/3/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Ausar Thompson 26 min predicted | 5/7/0 · 10/9/4 · 6/7/5 · 4/4/1 · 9/7/5 | — | — | — | — |
| Jalen Duren 26 min predicted | 7/9/3 · 15/11/0 · 9/5/4 · 8/2/2 · 11/4/1 | — | — | — | — |
| John Collins 23 min predicted | 11/9/0 · 18/9/0 · 0/2/0 · 12/9/3 · 12/7/1 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Timberwolves
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards 30 min predicted | 24/2/2 · 20/2/2 · 36/6/2 · 32/14/6 · 12/3/0 | — | — | — | — |
| Jaden McDaniels 27 min predicted | 13/1/3 · 17/6/2 · 14/6/0 · 17/7/2 · 12/3/4 | — | — | — | — |
| LaMelo Ball 26 min predicted | 23/2/5 · 30/5/10 · 19/7/6 · 27/5/8 · 36/5/6 | — | — | — | — |
| Rudy Gobert 25 min predicted | 0/3/0 · 4/5/0 · 11/13/4 · 13/7/2 · 5/10/1 | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Kuminga 24 min predicted | 11/2/3 · 13/4/1 · 10/2/0 · 21/4/0 · 19/4/1 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Player predictions
Every player in the game, our prediction against the line. Lines from Australian bookmakers; a US book stands in where none has priced a player. Edges and the full board for this game.
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Threes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pistons | ||||
| Cade Cunningham | 23.7 | 5.3 | 8.2 | 2.1 |
| Duncan Robinson | 12.4 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 2.7 |
| Ausar Thompson | 8.2 | 6.2 | 3.1 | 0.1 |
| Jalen Duren | 13.2 | 8.9 | 2.5 | 0.0 |
| John Collins | 12.4 | 5.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| Taurean Prince | 8.9 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| Daniss Jenkins | 9.2 | 2.5 | 3.4 | 0.9 |
| Elijah Harkless | 5.7 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 0.7 |
| Kevin Huerter | 7.2 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| Javonte Green | 4.6 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.9 |
| Isaiah Joe | 6.7 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| Ronald Holland II | 5.0 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Tolu Smith | 5.6 | 4.4 | 1.1 | 0.0 |
| Paul Reed | 8.3 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Ebuka Okorie | 4.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| Chaz Lanier | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| Isaac Jones | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Timberwolves | ||||
| Anthony Edwards | 22.3 | 4.3 | 2.8 | 2.7 |
| Jaden McDaniels | 13.1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| LaMelo Ball | 20.2 | 4.1 | 6.1 | 3.6 |
| Rudy Gobert | 6.9 | 8.2 | 1.6 | 0.0 |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 12.9 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| Ayo Dosunmu | 12.0 | 3.0 | 3.2 | 1.4 |
| Zyon Pullin | 9.2 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 1.0 |
| Terrence Shannon Jr. | 10.2 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Trey Lyles | 6.2 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| Cody Williams | 6.8 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.3 |
| KJ Martin | 4.7 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| Bones Hyland | 6.7 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| Antonio Reeves | 6.0 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Enrique Freeman | 3.6 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Jaylen Clark | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| Joan Beringer | 5.4 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Drew Timme | 4.2 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Rocco Zikarsky | 3.8 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Isaiah Evans | 4.1 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Norchad Omier | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
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