Hawks at Mavericks · Sat 17 Oct ·
Hawks vs Mavericks Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 17 Oct 2026
The Mavericks are 54% to beat the Hawks at home on Saturday 17 October at , by our numbers. The bookmakers have Mavericks −0.5 with the total at 233.5. Henri Veesaar is out for the Hawks. The Mavericks list Santi Aldama as questionable. The Hawks have won 2 of their last 5 and are 2–3 against the spread over that stretch. The Mavericks have won 2 of their last 5 and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch. Mavericks at home, as favourite, after a win: 2–3 against the spread over 5 games last season.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Hawks 116, Mavericks 118: a margin of Mavericks by 1.2 against the bookmakers' Mavericks −0.5; total 234 against 233.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Hawks Out: Henri Veesaar
- Mavericks Questionable: Santi Aldama
Form and rest
Hawks
- L 117–143 at Heat, Sun 12 Apr · lost ATS
- W 124–102 v Cavaliers, Fri 10 Apr · won ATS
- L 116–122 at Cavaliers, Wed 8 Apr · lost ATS
- L 105–108 v Knicks, Mon 6 Apr · lost ATS
- W 141–107 at Nets, Fri 3 Apr · won ATS
Mavericks
- W 149–128 v Bulls, Sun 12 Apr · won ATS
- L 120–139 at Spurs, Fri 10 Apr · lost ATS
- L 107–112 at Suns, Wed 8 Apr · won ATS
- L 103–116 at Clippers, Tue 7 Apr · lost ATS
- W 134–128 v Lakers, Sun 5 Apr · won ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, last season (this season has no games yet). Change the situation or date range.
Hawks
- Hawks away, as underdog, after a loss 4–5 straight up, 5–4 ATS, overs 5–4, +1.5 v spread n=9
- Hawks away 22–19 straight up, 23–18 ATS, overs 24–17, +1.8 v spread n=41
- Hawks as underdog 17–22 straight up, 21–18 ATS, overs 20–19, +0.6 v spread n=39
- Hawks after a loss 17–18 straight up, 17–18 ATS, overs 18–17, -0.3 v spread n=35
- Hawks all games 46–36 straight up, 44–38 ATS, overs 41–41, +1.2 v spread n=82
Mavericks
- Mavericks at home, as favourite, after a win 2–3 straight up, 2–3 ATS, overs 4–1, -3.9 v spread n=5
- Mavericks at home 16–25 straight up, 20–21 ATS, overs 22–19, -1.1 v spread n=41
- Mavericks as favourite 12–12 straight up, 9–15 ATS, overs 9–15, -5.0 v spread n=24
- Mavericks after a win 8–17 straight up, 9–16 ATS, overs 14–11, -1.1 v spread n=25
- Mavericks all games 26–56 straight up, 36–46 ATS, overs 37–45, -0.9 v spread n=82
Key players
Hawks
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson 34 min predicted | 21/8/6 · 18/10/6 · 14/3/5 · 24/10/8 · 17/8/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker 32 min predicted | 11/1/2 · 16/0/3 · 15/4/1 · 14/3/0 · 9/5/6 | — | — | — | — |
| Onyeka Okongwu 30 min predicted | 4/6/5 · 16/5/4 · 12/6/1 · 9/7/1 · 15/8/1 | — | — | — | — |
| Dyson Daniels 28 min predicted | 3/0/0 · 17/2/5 · 6/9/6 · 8/13/6 · 6/4/2 | — | — | — | — |
| CJ McCollum 26 min predicted | 11/3/0 · 6/3/1 · 17/1/3 · 23/5/1 · 32/3/6 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Mavericks
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg 27 min predicted | 10/4/1 · 33/6/5 · 11/11/6 · 25/9/2 · 45/8/9 | — | — | — | — |
| P.J. Washington 27 min predicted | 15/6/0 · 5/5/0 · 19/15/1 · 9/3/2 · 21/6/0 | — | — | — | — |
| Santi Aldama 25 min predicted | 12/6/0 · 17/7/2 · 9/5/3 · 18/5/1 · 15/8/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Kyrie Irving 23 min predicted | 7/1/1 · 31/5/3 · 25/9/5 · 35/7/4 · 17/5/4 | — | — | — | — |
| Max Christie 23 min predicted | 12/1/1 · 16/1/2 · 18/2/2 · 12/5/1 · 8/1/2 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Player predictions
Every player in the game, our prediction against the line. Lines from Australian bookmakers; a US book stands in where none has priced a player. Edges and the full board for this game.
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Threes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawks | ||||
| Jalen Johnson | 21.5 | 9.8 | 7.0 | 1.7 |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 18.8 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.1 |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 13.1 | 7.4 | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| Dyson Daniels | 10.6 | 6.2 | 5.3 | 0.5 |
| CJ McCollum | 16.9 | 3.0 | 3.4 | 2.1 |
| Jalen Wilson | 9.2 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| Luguentz Dort | 4.9 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Keshon Gilbert | 4.3 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 0.4 |
| Jock Landale | 6.0 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| Corey Kispert | 5.2 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Aaron Wiggins | 4.0 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Mouhamed Gueye | 2.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| Kingston Flemings | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| RayJ Dennis | 3.1 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| Asa Newell | 3.4 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Mavericks | ||||
| Cooper Flagg | 20.0 | 5.7 | 4.1 | 0.9 |
| P.J. Washington | 12.5 | 6.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Santi Aldama | 12.8 | 6.1 | 2.7 | 1.6 |
| Kyrie Irving | 16.7 | 3.2 | 2.9 | 1.8 |
| Max Christie | 9.4 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| Naji Marshall | 12.2 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 0.6 |
| John Poulakidas | 10.5 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 2.7 |
| Moussa Cisse | 5.8 | 7.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| Zaccharie Risacher | 6.8 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| Daniel Gafford | 8.4 | 5.2 | 0.9 | 0.0 |
| Dwight Powell | 3.6 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 0.1 |
| Marcus Sasser | 4.6 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| Dereck Lively II | 3.8 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| Caleb Martin | 2.9 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Jett Howard | 4.1 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. | 3.2 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
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