Nuggets at Lakers · Sat 17 Oct ·
Nuggets vs Lakers Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 17 Oct 2026
We give the Lakers a 57% chance at home against the Nuggets on Saturday 17 October at . The bookmakers have Lakers −6.5 with the total at 230.5. The Nuggets have won 5 straight and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch. The Lakers have won 3 straight and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch. Lakers at home, as favourite, after a loss: 6–2 against the spread over 8 games last season.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Nuggets 114, Lakers 115: a margin of Lakers by 1.9 against the bookmakers' Lakers −6.5; total 229 against 230.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Nuggets no one listed
- Lakers no one listed
Form and rest
Nuggets
- W 128–118 at Spurs, Sun 12 Apr · won ATS
- W 127–107 v Thunder, Fri 10 Apr · won ATS
- W 136–119 v Grizzlies, Wed 8 Apr · lost ATS
- W 137–132 v Trail Blazers, Mon 6 Apr · lost ATS
- W 136–134 v Spurs, Sat 4 Apr · won ATS
Lakers
- W 131–107 v Jazz, Sun 12 Apr · won ATS
- W 101–73 v Suns, Fri 10 Apr · won ATS
- W 119–103 at Warriors, Thu 9 Apr · won ATS
- L 87–123 v Thunder, Tue 7 Apr · lost ATS
- L 128–134 at Mavericks, Sun 5 Apr · lost ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, last season (this season has no games yet). Change the situation or date range.
Nuggets
- Nuggets away, as underdog, after a loss 2–3 straight up, 4–1 ATS, overs 4–1, +5.3 v spread n=5
- Nuggets away 26–15 straight up, 24–17 ATS, overs 29–12, +2.8 v spread n=41
- Nuggets as underdog 13–12 straight up, 18–7 ATS, overs 14–11, +3.5 v spread n=25
- Nuggets after a loss 21–7 straight up, 17–11 ATS, overs 17–11, +4.4 v spread n=28
- Nuggets all games 54–28 straight up, 44–38 ATS, overs 51–31, +1.2 v spread n=82
Lakers
- Lakers at home, as favourite, after a loss 6–2 straight up, 6–2 ATS, overs 3–5, +6.4 v spread n=8
- Lakers at home 28–13 straight up, 25–16 ATS, overs 22–19, +0.4 v spread n=41
- Lakers as favourite 38–11 straight up, 31–18 ATS, overs 23–26, +0.7 v spread n=49
- Lakers after a loss 19–10 straight up, 18–11 ATS, overs 16–13, +1.4 v spread n=29
- Lakers all games 53–29 straight up, 46–36 ATS, overs 41–41, -0.4 v spread n=82
Key players
Nuggets
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray 33 min predicted | 12/6/4 · 24/4/7 · 30/5/5 · 16/3/4 · 30/7/7 | — | — | — | — |
| Nikola Jokic 30 min predicted | 28/9/10 · 27/12/16 · 24/15/9 · 27/15/3 · 24/15/8 | — | — | — | — |
| Cameron Johnson 25 min predicted | 27/8/3 · 18/6/5 · 9/2/2 · 6/2/1 · 13/1/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Braun 23 min predicted | 3/1/0 · 9/2/3 · 8/5/1 · 2/2/0 · 16/3/5 | — | — | — | — |
| Lonnie Walker IV 22 min predicted | 31/6/2 · 12/5/3 · 24/0/1 · 29/1/2 · 18/3/5 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Lakers
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Reaves 35 min predicted | 27/7/6 · 17/3/9 · 31/2/6 · 8/5/6 · 15/3/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Walker Kessler 27 min predicted | 4/13/1 · 18/12/4 · 25/11/4 · 3/9/2 · 22/9/4 | — | — | — | — |
| Collin Sexton 26 min predicted | 19/3/1 · 12/2/4 · 27/3/2 · 15/9/7 · 18/9/1 | — | — | — | — |
| Luka Doncic 24 min predicted | 12/4/7 · 42/5/12 · 41/8/3 · 43/6/7 · 32/7/6 | — | — | — | — |
| Quentin Grimes 23 min predicted | 6/0/0 · 6/2/2 · 7/3/3 · 5/1/4 · 3/6/4 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Player predictions
Every player in the game, our prediction against the line. Lines from Australian bookmakers; a US book stands in where none has priced a player. Edges and the full board for this game.
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Threes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | ||||
| Jamal Murray | 22.1 | 3.9 | 6.1 | 2.7 |
| Nikola Jokic | 22.5 | 11.0 | 9.3 | 1.1 |
| Cameron Johnson | 11.7 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| Christian Braun | 8.7 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 12.0 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 2.1 |
| Aaron Gordon | 11.0 | 4.1 | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| DeMar DeRozan | 13.5 | 1.9 | 3.4 | 0.4 |
| Spencer Jones | 4.9 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Ryan Nembhard | 5.9 | 2.1 | 5.5 | 0.7 |
| Marvin Bagley III | 7.4 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| Zeke Nnaji | 3.6 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Julian Strawther | 5.9 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| Cam Whitmore | 6.1 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| DaRon Holmes II | 4.1 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Tyus Jones | 2.3 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| Emanuel Miller | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Lakers | ||||
| Austin Reaves | 21.0 | 4.5 | 5.7 | 2.3 |
| Walker Kessler | 10.5 | 11.0 | 1.9 | 0.3 |
| Collin Sexton | 17.9 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 2.0 |
| Luka Doncic | 23.7 | 5.2 | 5.5 | 2.9 |
| Quentin Grimes | 9.9 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| Ziaire Williams | 11.1 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Jake LaRavia | 5.7 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Jaden Hardy | 11.0 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2.1 |
| Bronny James | 5.9 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| Kevon Looney | 3.5 | 6.1 | 1.8 | 0.1 |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 6.5 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| Matisse Thybulle | 4.4 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Dalton Knecht | 5.9 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| Adou Thiero | 3.5 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| Cameron Carr | 3.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| Chris Manon | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
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