Trail Blazers at Warriors · Sat 17 Oct ·
Trail Blazers vs Warriors Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 17 Oct 2026
We give the Trail Blazers a 64% chance on the road against the Warriors on Saturday 17 October at . The bookmakers have Trail Blazers −2.5 with the total at 225.5. The Trail Blazers are without Shaedon Sharpe. The Warriors are without Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody and Kristaps Porzingis. The Trail Blazers have won 3 of their last 5 and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch. The Warriors have lost 3 straight and are 1–4 against the spread over that stretch. Warriors at home, as underdog, after a loss: 4–3 against the spread over 7 games last season.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Trail Blazers 116, Warriors 111: a margin of Trail Blazers by 4.5 against the bookmakers' Trail Blazers −2.5; total 227 against 225.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Trail Blazers Out: Shaedon Sharpe
- Warriors Out: Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody and Kristaps Porzingis
Form and rest
Trail Blazers
- W 122–110 v Kings, Sun 12 Apr · lost ATS
- W 116–97 v Clippers, Fri 10 Apr · won ATS
- L 101–112 at Spurs, Wed 8 Apr · lost ATS
- L 132–137 at Nuggets, Mon 6 Apr · won ATS
- W 118–106 v Pelicans, Thu 2 Apr · won ATS
Warriors
- L 110–115 at Clippers, Sun 12 Apr · lost ATS
- L 118–124 at Kings, Fri 10 Apr · lost ATS
- L 103–119 v Lakers, Thu 9 Apr · lost ATS
- W 110–105 v Kings, Tue 7 Apr · lost ATS
- L 116–117 v Rockets, Sun 5 Apr · won ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, last season (this season has no games yet). Change the situation or date range.
Trail Blazers
- Trail Blazers away, as favourite, after a loss 8–3 straight up, 6–5 ATS, overs 6–5, +0.6 v spread n=11
- Trail Blazers away 18–23 straight up, 19–22 ATS, overs 18–23, -2.3 v spread n=41
- Trail Blazers as favourite 28–9 straight up, 20–17 ATS, overs 24–13, +1.3 v spread n=37
- Trail Blazers after a loss 22–18 straight up, 23–17 ATS, overs 21–19, +1.5 v spread n=40
- Trail Blazers all games 42–40 straight up, 44–38 ATS, overs 43–39, -0.2 v spread n=82
Warriors
- Warriors at home, as underdog, after a loss 1–6 straight up, 4–3 ATS, overs 5–2, +0.2 v spread n=7
- Warriors at home 22–19 straight up, 18–23 ATS, overs 25–16, -2.4 v spread n=41
- Warriors as underdog 8–24 straight up, 14–18 ATS, overs 15–17, -1.0 v spread n=32
- Warriors after a loss 22–22 straight up, 22–22 ATS, overs 25–19, -0.4 v spread n=44
- Warriors all games 37–45 straight up, 35–47 ATS, overs 48–34, -2.0 v spread n=82
Key players
Trail Blazers
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard 31 min predicted | 16/3/4 · 19/1/2 · 25/10/8 · 22/6/10 · 15/3/11 | — | — | — | — |
| Jrue Holiday 29 min predicted | 8/6/7 · 20/6/4 · 29/6/5 · 16/5/9 · 9/4/11 | — | — | — | — |
| Toumani Camara 28 min predicted | 7/8/2 · 8/5/1 · 2/3/1 · 10/9/1 · 8/2/1 | — | — | — | — |
| Deni Avdija 28 min predicted | 22/3/3 · 26/7/3 · 19/6/9 · 14/4/3 · 30/10/5 | — | — | — | — |
| Ja Morant 24 min predicted | 23/2/12 · 24/5/13 · 16/3/11 · 40/2/3 · 21/0/7 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Warriors
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry 28 min predicted | 17/4/4 · 35/1/4 · 24/6/3 · 11/3/5 · 17/5/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Draymond Green 25 min predicted | 5/2/6 · 7/6/9 · 7/4/6 · 2/5/6 · 1/6/7 | — | — | — | — |
| Brandin Podziemski 25 min predicted | 23/10/0 · 17/7/2 · 10/4/2 · 30/3/1 · 17/1/1 | — | — | — | — |
| Yaxel Lendeborg 24 min predicted | no games yet | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Burton 22 min predicted | 10/3/0 · 17/4/1 · 18/5/3 · 5/2/1 · 6/2/1 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Player predictions
Every player in the game, our prediction against the line. Lines from Australian bookmakers; a US book stands in where none has priced a player. Edges and the full board for this game.
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Threes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trail Blazers | ||||
| Damian Lillard | 22.4 | 4.2 | 6.0 | 3.0 |
| Jrue Holiday | 15.3 | 4.4 | 5.4 | 2.4 |
| Toumani Camara | 10.9 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 2.2 |
| Deni Avdija | 20.2 | 5.8 | 5.6 | 1.4 |
| Ja Morant | 18.7 | 3.0 | 6.8 | 1.3 |
| Jaylen Martin | 7.2 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Donovan Clingan | 8.3 | 8.3 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Scoot Henderson | 10.3 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| Micah Potter | 9.7 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Branden Carlson | 8.0 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| Vit Krejci | 4.8 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| John Tonje | 5.0 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Robert Williams III | 5.0 | 5.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| Sidy Cissoko | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| Jayson Kent | 3.1 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| Jeremy Sochan | 3.0 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Chris Youngblood | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| Yang Hansen | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Warriors | ||||
| Stephen Curry | 23.3 | 3.3 | 4.5 | 3.8 |
| Draymond Green | 7.5 | 4.9 | 6.1 | 1.4 |
| Brandin Podziemski | 14.1 | 4.6 | 2.8 | 1.6 |
| Yaxel Lendeborg | 9.4 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| Tyler Burton | 9.7 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 1.6 |
| Gui Santos | 9.6 | 4.0 | 2.6 | 1.0 |
| Brandon Williams | 12.3 | 2.5 | 3.6 | 0.5 |
| De'Anthony Melton | 9.7 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| Al Horford | 8.1 | 4.1 | 2.3 | 1.7 |
| Georges Niang | 8.1 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Will Richard | 3.8 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| Charles Bassey | 6.6 | 5.2 | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| Gary Payton II | 5.8 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| LJ Cryer | 4.8 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Malevy Leons | 3.0 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| Dalen Terry | 3.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
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