Wizards at Pelicans · Sat 17 Oct ·
Wizards vs Pelicans Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 17 Oct 2026
Our model makes the Pelicans 69% favourites at home on Saturday 17 October at . The bookmakers have Wizards −1.5 with the total at 230.5. The Wizards will be missing Tristan Vukcevic and Jamir Watkins. The Wizards have lost 5 straight and are 0–5 against the spread over that stretch. The Pelicans have won 1 of their last 5 and are 2–3 against the spread over that stretch. Pelicans at home, as underdog, after a loss: 11–12 against the spread over 23 games last season.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Wizards 116, Pelicans 122: a margin of Pelicans by 5.9 against the bookmakers' Wizards −1.5; total 239 against 230.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Wizards Out: Tristan Vukcevic and Jamir Watkins
- Pelicans no one listed
Form and rest
Wizards
- L 117–130 at Cavaliers, Sun 12 Apr · lost ATS
- L 117–140 v Heat, Fri 10 Apr · lost ATS
- L 108–119 v Bulls, Thu 9 Apr · lost ATS
- L 98–129 v Bulls, Tue 7 Apr · lost ATS
- L 115–121 at Nets, Sun 5 Apr · lost ATS
Pelicans
- L 126–132 at Timberwolves, Sun 12 Apr · lost ATS
- L 118–144 at Celtics, Fri 10 Apr · lost ATS
- W 156–137 v Jazz, Tue 7 Apr · won ATS
- L 108–112 v Magic, Sun 5 Apr · won ATS
- L 113–117 at Kings, Fri 3 Apr · lost ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, last season (this season has no games yet). Change the situation or date range.
Wizards
- Wizards away, as favourite, after a loss: no games yet
- Wizards away 6–35 straight up, 15–26 ATS, overs 24–17, -0.2 v spread n=41
- Wizards as favourite 2–3 straight up, 2–3 ATS, overs 3–2, -7.5 v spread n=5
- Wizards after a loss 13–51 straight up, 27–37 ATS, overs 37–27, -0.4 v spread n=64
- Wizards all games 17–65 straight up, 33–49 ATS, overs 47–35, -1.3 v spread n=82
Pelicans
- Pelicans at home, as underdog, after a loss 3–20 straight up, 11–12 ATS, overs 14–9, -0.2 v spread n=23
- Pelicans at home 17–24 straight up, 25–16 ATS, overs 21–20, +2.0 v spread n=41
- Pelicans as underdog 13–52 straight up, 31–34 ATS, overs 33–32, -0.3 v spread n=65
- Pelicans after a loss 13–42 straight up, 27–28 ATS, overs 27–28, -1.5 v spread n=55
- Pelicans all games 26–56 straight up, 44–38 ATS, overs 41–41, +0.3 v spread n=82
Key players
Wizards
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis 32 min predicted | 21/11/4 · 19/16/2 · 26/12/3 · 13/8/2 · 3/3/0 | — | — | — | — |
| Bub Carrington 26 min predicted | 20/2/9 · 30/2/4 · 12/0/4 · 14/4/7 · 13/3/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Deandre Ayton 24 min predicted | 6/3/1 · 10/6/0 · 3/10/0 · 10/12/2 · 7/16/1 | — | — | — | — |
| AJ Dybantsa 24 min predicted | no games yet | — | — | — | — |
| Will Riley 22 min predicted | 6/5/4 · 16/3/2 · 23/9/7 · 2/6/3 · 30/4/6 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Pelicans
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah Fears 29 min predicted | 36/10/5 · 36/3/6 · 40/5/6 · 19/3/7 · 28/8/6 | — | — | — | — |
| Trey Murphy III 28 min predicted | 13/4/4 · 19/8/2 · 16/6/2 · 10/6/0 · 27/5/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Derik Queen 24 min predicted | 30/22/4 · 25/11/4 · 17/12/7 · 2/4/1 · 8/6/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Zion Williamson 23 min predicted | 17/7/2 · 13/6/3 · 15/1/3 · 18/4/3 · 22/7/4 | — | — | — | — |
| Saddiq Bey 23 min predicted | 32/6/1 · 20/1/3 · 15/6/1 · 18/7/1 · 19/3/2 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Player predictions
Every player in the game, our prediction against the line. Lines from Australian bookmakers; a US book stands in where none has priced a player. Edges and the full board for this game.
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Threes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards | ||||
| Anthony Davis | 22.2 | 11.6 | 3.4 | 0.6 |
| Bub Carrington | 12.4 | 2.9 | 4.9 | 2.1 |
| Deandre Ayton | 10.8 | 7.9 | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| AJ Dybantsa | 9.5 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| Will Riley | 11.5 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| Bilal Coulibaly | 12.0 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| Kyshawn George | 10.5 | 3.2 | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| Alexandre Sarr | 11.5 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| Tre Johnson | 9.7 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Justin Champagnie | 9.1 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Trae Young | 13.1 | 1.5 | 6.1 | 1.5 |
| Reece Beekman | 3.6 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 0.3 |
| Alondes Williams | 7.1 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Anthony Gill | 5.3 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| Khris Middleton | 6.3 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| Chris Livingston | 4.0 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| Trevor Keels | 3.9 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| Tre Mann | 3.8 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| Skal Labissiere | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Jazian Gortman | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Pelicans | ||||
| Jeremiah Fears | 19.8 | 4.3 | 4.8 | 1.6 |
| Trey Murphy III | 17.1 | 4.5 | 3.4 | 2.6 |
| Derik Queen | 13.2 | 7.5 | 3.3 | 0.4 |
| Zion Williamson | 17.2 | 4.8 | 2.7 | 0.0 |
| Saddiq Bey | 14.8 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| Dejounte Murray | 13.0 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 1.1 |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 12.8 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| Julian Reese | 9.2 | 7.6 | 1.3 | 0.0 |
| Yves Missi | 6.6 | 6.2 | 1.4 | 0.0 |
| Herbert Jones | 6.2 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| Jordan Poole | 9.7 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| Bryce McGowens | 4.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Karlo Matkovic | 5.0 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| DeAndre Jordan | 3.5 | 4.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| AJ Johnson | 4.2 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| Caleb Houstan | 4.0 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Christian Koloko | 2.2 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Kobe Bufkin | 3.9 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Trendon Watford | 4.3 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.1 |
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