Celtics at Pistons · Wed 21 Oct ·
Celtics vs Pistons Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 21 Oct 2026
The Pistons are 65% to beat the Celtics at home on Wednesday 21 October at , by our numbers. The bookmakers have Celtics −0.5 with the total at 221.5. Devin Carter is out for the Celtics. The Celtics have won 4 of their last 5 and are 4–1 against the spread over that stretch. The Pistons have won 3 straight and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch. Celtics away, as favourite, after a loss: 4–1 against the spread over 5 games last season.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Celtics 107, Pistons 112: a margin of Pistons by 4.8 against the bookmakers' Celtics −0.5; total 218 against 221.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Celtics Out: Devin Carter
- Pistons no one listed
Form and rest
Celtics
- W 113–108 v Magic, Sun 12 Apr · won ATS
- W 144–118 v Pelicans, Fri 10 Apr · won ATS
- L 106–112 at Knicks, Thu 9 Apr · lost ATS
- W 113–102 v Hornets, Tue 7 Apr · won ATS
- W 115–101 v Raptors, Sun 5 Apr · won ATS
Pistons
- W 133–121 at Pacers, Sun 12 Apr · lost ATS
- W 118–100 at Hornets, Fri 10 Apr · won ATS
- W 137–111 v Bucks, Wed 8 Apr · won ATS
- L 107–123 at Magic, Mon 6 Apr · lost ATS
- W 116–93 at 76ers, Sat 4 Apr · won ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, last season (this season has no games yet). Change the situation or date range.
Celtics
- Celtics away, as favourite, after a loss 4–1 straight up, 4–1 ATS, overs 2–3, +7.5 v spread n=5
- Celtics away 26–15 straight up, 26–15 ATS, overs 15–26, +5.3 v spread n=41
- Celtics as favourite 44–14 straight up, 34–24 ATS, overs 21–37, +1.9 v spread n=58
- Celtics after a loss 20–6 straight up, 18–8 ATS, overs 11–15, +5.2 v spread n=26
- Celtics all games 56–26 straight up, 49–33 ATS, overs 30–52, +2.9 v spread n=82
Pistons
- Pistons at home, as underdog, after a loss 1–0 straight up, 1–0 ATS, overs 1–0, +20.5 v spread n=1
- Pistons at home 31–9 straight up, 20–20 ATS, overs 20–20, +3.4 v spread n=40
- Pistons as underdog 12–3 straight up, 13–2 ATS, overs 6–9, +10.2 v spread n=15
- Pistons after a loss 17–5 straight up, 13–9 ATS, overs 13–9, +4.7 v spread n=22
- Pistons all games 60–22 straight up, 43–38 ATS, overs 38–43, +2.7 v spread n=82
Key players
Celtics
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick White 36 min predicted | 26/6/4 · 11/1/1 · 6/1/3 · 6/6/3 · 11/4/2 | 1/5 over 15.5 | 3/5 over 3.5 | 0/5 over 4.5 | 2/5 over 2.5 |
| Payton Pritchard 34 min predicted | 13/5/7 · 14/3/5 · 12/2/6 · 32/4/5 · 15/4/2 | 1/5 over 15.5 | 3/5 over 3.5 | 4/5 over 4.5 | 2/5 over 2.5 |
| Paul George 33 min predicted | 7/1/2 · 15/5/3 · 19/6/4 · 17/3/3 · 13/3/1 | 2/5 over 15.5 | 2/5 over 4.5 | 1/5 over 3.5 | 4/5 over 2.5 |
| Neemias Queta 27 min predicted | 17/12/1 · 4/11/0 · 8/14/1 · 9/8/1 · 6/7/0 | 1/5 over 9.5 | 4/5 over 7.5 | — | — |
| Sam Hauser 27 min predicted | 11/3/1 · 5/4/1 · 8/5/0 · 6/4/1 · 6/3/0 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Pistons
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham 36 min predicted | 13/4/5 · 21/2/8 · 39/7/9 · 19/3/6 · 27/10/10 | 2/5 over 24.5 | 2/5 over 5.5 | 1/5 over 9.5 | 4/5 over 1.5 |
| Jalen Duren 30 min predicted | 7/9/3 · 15/11/0 · 9/5/4 · 8/2/2 · 11/4/1 | 0/5 over 17.5 | 1/5 over 9.5 | 3/5 over 1.5 | — |
| Duncan Robinson 29 min predicted | 13/1/1 · 14/2/2 · 4/1/1 · 15/3/4 · 17/3/3 | 4/5 over 10.5 | 2/5 over 2.5 | — | 4/5 over 2.5 |
| John Collins 29 min predicted | 11/9/0 · 18/9/0 · 0/2/0 · 12/9/3 · 12/7/1 | 3/5 over 11.5 | 4/5 over 5.5 | — | 0/5 over 1.5 |
| Ausar Thompson 28 min predicted | 5/7/0 · 10/9/4 · 6/7/5 · 4/4/1 · 9/7/5 | 0/5 over 10.5 | 4/5 over 6.5 | 3/5 over 3.5 | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Player predictions
Every player in the game, our prediction against the line. Lines from Australian bookmakers; a US book stands in where none has priced a player. Edges and the full board for this game.
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Threes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics | ||||
| Derrick White | 14.3 v 15.5 | 4.2 v 3.5 | 4.2 v 4.5 | 2.7 v 2.5 |
| Payton Pritchard | 18.5 v 15.5 | 3.8 v 3.5 | 5.1 v 4.5 | 3.0 v 2.5 |
| Paul George | 15.8 v 15.5 | 4.8 v 4.5 | 3.3 v 3.5 | 2.8 v 2.5 |
| Neemias Queta | 11.1 v 9.5 | 8.8 v 7.5 | 1.7 | 0.0 |
| Sam Hauser | 10.0 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 2.7 |
| Mitchell Robinson | 6.4 v 6.5 | 8.8 v 7.5 | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| Baylor Scheierman | 7.4 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| Jordan Walsh | 4.7 v 4.5 | 4.1 v 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| Jayson Tatum | 11.0 v 26.5 | 4.0 v 8.5 | 2.8 v 5.5 | 1.4 v 2.5 |
| Mike Conley | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| Luka Garza | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Hugo Gonzalez | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Ron Harper Jr. | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Amari Williams | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| Pistons | ||||
| Cade Cunningham | 23.8 v 24.5 | 5.3 v 5.5 | 8.5 v 9.5 | 2.4 v 1.5 |
| Jalen Duren | 14.2 v 17.5 | 10.0 v 9.5 | 2.3 v 1.5 | 0.0 |
| Duncan Robinson | 12.9 v 10.5 | 2.7 v 2.5 | 2.4 | 3.2 v 2.5 |
| John Collins | 14.5 v 11.5 | 6.3 v 5.5 | 1.2 | 1.5 v 1.5 |
| Ausar Thompson | 8.3 v 10.5 | 6.3 v 6.5 | 3.3 v 3.5 | 0.1 |
| Taurean Prince | 9.6 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 2.3 |
| Kevin Huerter | 9.5 | 3.5 | 3.2 | 1.7 |
| Daniss Jenkins | 9.6 v 9.5 | 2.6 v 2.5 | 3.7 v 3.5 | 1.1 v 1.5 |
| Elijah Harkless | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Ronald Holland II | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Javonte Green | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Isaiah Joe | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.7 |
| Paul Reed | 2.9 v 7.5 | 1.4 v 4.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Tolu Smith | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| Ebuka Okorie | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Isaac Jones | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| Chaz Lanier | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
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