Suns at Thunder ·

Suns vs Thunder Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 27 Oct 2026

Final: Suns 114, Thunder 125. We had the Thunder at 84% and the Thunder won, as predicted. Our projected score was Suns 103, Thunder 115. Against the closing line (Thunder −8.5) the Thunder won against the spread. The total went over the bookmakers' 221.5 (239); we had 218.

Our model makes the Thunder 84% favourites at home on . The bookmakers have Thunder −8.5 with the total at 221.5. The Suns will be missing Oso Ighodaro, Mark Williams and Drew Timme. The Thunder will be missing Chet Holmgren, Otega Oweh, Thomas Sorber, Nikola Topic, Cason Wallace and Jalen Williams. The Thunder are on the second night of a back-to-back while the Suns are on one day's rest. The Suns have won 3 of their last 5 and are 1–4 against the spread over that stretch. The Thunder have won 3 straight and are 2–3 against the spread over that stretch. They last met on Mon 26 Oct: Thunder 125–114.

Prediction

Suns win chance
16%
Thunder win chance
84%
Bookmakers
Thunder −8.5
total 221.5

Model numbers. Projected score Suns 103, Thunder 115: a margin of Thunder by 11.9 against the bookmakers' Thunder −8.5; total 218 against 221.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.

Injuries and outs

Form and rest

Suns on one day's rest

  • W 131–122 v Warriors, Sat 24 Oct · lost ATS
  • L 83–124 at Trail Blazers, Wed 21 Oct · lost ATS
  • W 135–103 at Thunder, Sun 12 Apr · won ATS
  • L 73–101 at Lakers, Fri 10 Apr · lost ATS
  • W 112–107 v Mavericks, Wed 8 Apr · lost ATS

Thunder on the second night of a back-to-back

  • W 108–101 v Clippers, Sun 25 Oct · lost ATS
  • W 96–84 v Nuggets, Thu 22 Oct · won ATS
  • W 116–104 at Spurs, Tue 20 Oct · won ATS
  • L 103–135 v Suns, Sun 12 Apr · lost ATS
  • L 107–127 at Nuggets, Fri 10 Apr · lost ATS

Game trends in this situation

Each side in this game's situation, this season. Change the situation or date range.

Suns

  • Suns away, as underdog, after a loss, on no rest: no games yet
  • Suns away 0–2 straight up, 0–2 ATS, overs 1–1, -20.0 v spread n=2
  • Suns as underdog 0–2 straight up, 0–2 ATS, overs 1–1, -20.0 v spread n=2
  • Suns on no rest: no games yet
  • Suns after a loss 1–1 straight up, 0–2 ATS, overs 1–1, -19.0 v spread n=2

Thunder

  • Thunder at home, as favourite, after a win, on no rest 1–0 straight up, 1–0 ATS, overs 1–0, +2.5 v spread n=1
  • Thunder at home 3–0 straight up, 2–1 ATS, overs 1–2, -1.1 v spread n=3
  • Thunder as favourite 4–0 straight up, 3–1 ATS, overs 1–3, +1.8 v spread n=4
  • Thunder on no rest 1–0 straight up, 1–0 ATS, overs 1–0, +2.5 v spread n=1
  • Thunder after a win 3–0 straight up, 2–1 ATS, overs 1–2, -1.1 v spread n=3

Meetings this season

Today's NBA tips · Suns · Thunder · Every Suns v Thunder game