Warriors at Nuggets ·
Warriors vs Nuggets Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 27 Oct 2026 Free game of the day
Final: Warriors 134, Nuggets 114. We had the Nuggets at 64% and the Warriors won. Our projected score was Warriors 114, Nuggets 118. Against the closing line (Nuggets −7.5) the Warriors won against the spread. The total went over the bookmakers' 236.5 (248); we had 232.
Our model makes the Nuggets 64% favourites at home on . The bookmakers have Nuggets −7.5 with the total at 236.5. The Warriors will be missing Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody and Kristaps Porzingis. The Nuggets will be missing Alpha Diallo, Cameron Johnson, Spencer Jones and Julian Strawther. The Warriors have lost 5 straight and are 1–4 against the spread over that stretch. The Nuggets have won 4 of their last 5 and are 2–3 against the spread over that stretch. They last met on Mon 26 Oct: Warriors 134–114.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Warriors 114, Nuggets 118: a margin of Nuggets by 4.3 against the bookmakers' Nuggets −7.5; total 232 against 236.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Warriors Out: Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody and Kristaps Porzingis
- Nuggets Out: Alpha Diallo, Cameron Johnson, Spencer Jones and Julian Strawther
Form and rest
Warriors on one day's rest
- L 122–131 at Suns, Sat 24 Oct · won ATS
- L 108–111 v Grizzlies, Fri 23 Oct · lost ATS
- L 105–127 at Lakers, Wed 21 Oct · lost ATS
- L 110–115 at Clippers, Sun 12 Apr · lost ATS
- L 118–124 at Kings, Fri 10 Apr · lost ATS
Nuggets on one day's rest
- W 141–135 v Pelicans, Sat 24 Oct · lost ATS
- L 84–96 at Thunder, Thu 22 Oct · lost ATS
- W 128–118 at Spurs, Sun 12 Apr · won ATS
- W 127–107 v Thunder, Fri 10 Apr · won ATS
- W 136–119 v Grizzlies, Wed 8 Apr · lost ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, this season. Change the situation or date range.
Warriors
- Warriors away, as underdog, after a win, on no rest: no games yet
- Warriors away 1–2 straight up, 2–1 ATS, overs 2–1, +4.2 v spread n=3
- Warriors as underdog 1–2 straight up, 2–1 ATS, overs 2–1, +4.2 v spread n=3
- Warriors on no rest 0–1 straight up, 1–0 ATS, overs 1–0, +0.5 v spread n=1
- Warriors after a win: no games yet
Nuggets
- Nuggets at home, as favourite, after a loss, on no rest: no games yet
- Nuggets at home 1–1 straight up, 0–2 ATS, overs 2–0, -16.5 v spread n=2
- Nuggets as favourite 1–1 straight up, 0–2 ATS, overs 2–0, -16.5 v spread n=2
- Nuggets on no rest: no games yet
- Nuggets after a loss 1–1 straight up, 0–2 ATS, overs 1–1, -4.6 v spread n=2
Meetings this season
- Mon 26 Oct: Warriors 134, Nuggets 114
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