Kings at Spurs ·
Kings vs Spurs Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 28 Oct 2026
Final: Kings 103, Spurs 130. We had the Spurs at 79% and the Spurs won, as predicted. Our projected score was Kings 109, Spurs 119. Against the closing line (Spurs −19.25) the Spurs won against the spread. The total went over the bookmakers' 232.5 (233); we had 228.
Our model makes the Spurs 79% favourites at home on . The bookmakers have Spurs −19.25 with the total at 232.5. The Kings will be missing Dylan Cardwell, Keegan Murray, Maxime Raynaud, Ben Simmons and Sean Pedulla. The Spurs will be missing Tobias Harris and Jayden Quaintance. The Kings have lost 4 straight and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch. The Spurs have won 2 of their last 5 and are 2–3 against the spread over that stretch. They last met on Tue 27 Oct: Spurs 130–103.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Kings 109, Spurs 119: a margin of Spurs by 9.6 against the bookmakers' Spurs −19.25; total 228 against 232.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Kings Out: Dylan Cardwell, Keegan Murray, Maxime Raynaud, Ben Simmons and Sean Pedulla
- Spurs Out: Tobias Harris and Jayden Quaintance
Form and rest
Kings on one day's rest
- L 112–123 v Grizzlies, Sun 25 Oct · lost ATS
- L 120–128 v Trail Blazers, Fri 23 Oct · won ATS
- L 96–121 at Clippers, Wed 21 Oct · lost ATS
- L 110–122 at Trail Blazers, Sun 12 Apr · won ATS
- W 124–118 v Warriors, Fri 10 Apr · won ATS
Spurs on 2 days' rest
- W 122–106 at Mavericks, Sat 24 Oct · won ATS
- L 110–114 v Rockets, Fri 23 Oct · lost ATS
- L 104–116 v Thunder, Tue 20 Oct · lost ATS
- L 118–128 v Nuggets, Sun 12 Apr · lost ATS
- W 139–120 v Mavericks, Fri 10 Apr · won ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, this season. Change the situation or date range.
Kings
- Kings away, as underdog, after a loss, on no rest: no games yet
- Kings away 0–2 straight up, 0–2 ATS, overs 1–1, -13.8 v spread n=2
- Kings as underdog 0–4 straight up, 1–3 ATS, overs 2–2, -8.2 v spread n=4
- Kings on no rest: no games yet
- Kings after a loss 0–4 straight up, 1–3 ATS, overs 2–2, -8.2 v spread n=4
Spurs
- Spurs at home, as favourite, after a win, on no rest: no games yet
- Spurs at home 1–2 straight up, 1–2 ATS, overs 1–2, -4.1 v spread n=3
- Spurs as favourite 2–1 straight up, 2–1 ATS, overs 1–2, -0.1 v spread n=3
- Spurs on no rest 1–0 straight up, 1–0 ATS, overs 0–1, +1.5 v spread n=1
- Spurs after a win 1–0 straight up, 1–0 ATS, overs 1–0, +7.8 v spread n=1
Key players
Spurs
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Harper 31 min predicted | 22/5/2 · 20/3/2 · 18/7/5 · 25/5/4 · 21/4/3 | 5/5 over 15.5 | — | — | — |
| De'Aaron Fox 29 min predicted | 19/3/9 · 19/4/9 · 14/7/7 · 7/0/5 · 18/5/7 | 4/5 over 13.5 | — | 4/5 over 6.5 | — |
| Victor Wembanyama 29 min predicted | 23/7/2 · 25/13/2 · 12/13/3 · 19/14/2 · 24/13/1 | 1/5 over 24.5 | 4/5 over 11.5 | — | 3/5 over 1.5 |
| Devin Vassell 28 min predicted | 11/4/6 · 10/4/2 · 7/3/1 · 12/7/2 · 18/5/4 | 2/5 over 11.5 | — | — | 3/5 over 1.5 |
| Stephon Castle 28 min predicted | 19/4/8 · 15/7/5 · 24/7/1 · 6/5/4 · 13/5/5 | 2/5 over 17.5 | — | 1/5 over 5.5 | 3/5 over 1.5 |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
The Drop
Domantas Sabonis pts + reb + ast over 35.5 at 1.83 (PointsBet). The record.
Meetings this season
- Tue 27 Oct: Kings 103, Spurs 130