Heat at Hawks ·
Heat vs Hawks Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 29 Oct 2026
We give the Hawks a 73% chance at home against the Heat on . The Hawks are without Mouhamed Gueye and Henri Veesaar. The Heat have lost 4 straight and are 1–4 against the spread over that stretch. The Hawks have won 2 of their last 5 and are 2–3 against the spread over that stretch.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Heat 112, Hawks 120: a margin of Hawks by 7.4; total 232. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Heat no one listed
- Hawks Out: Mouhamed Gueye and Henri Veesaar
Form and rest
Heat on one day's rest
- L 109–113 v Mavericks, Mon 26 Oct · lost ATS
- L 110–115 at Hornets, Sat 24 Oct · lost ATS
- L 111–128 v Pistons, Fri 23 Oct · lost ATS
- L 106–131 v Timberwolves, Wed 21 Oct · lost ATS
- W 143–117 v Hawks, Sun 12 Apr · won ATS
Hawks on one day's rest
- L 110–120 at Rockets, Mon 26 Oct · lost ATS
- L 114–121 v Rockets, Sat 24 Oct · lost ATS
- W 128–81 at Hornets, Fri 23 Oct · won ATS
- W 132–125 at Magic, Wed 21 Oct · won ATS
- L 117–143 at Heat, Sun 12 Apr · lost ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, this season. Change the situation or date range.
Heat
- Heat away, after a loss, on 2–3 days' rest: no games yet
- Heat away 0–1 straight up, 0–1 ATS, overs 0–1, -9.5 v spread n=1
- Heat on 2–3 days' rest: no games yet
- Heat after a loss 0–4 straight up, 0–4 ATS, overs 1–3, -15.8 v spread n=4
- Heat all games 0–4 straight up, 0–4 ATS, overs 1–3, -15.8 v spread n=4
Hawks
- Hawks at home, after a loss, on 2–3 days' rest: no games yet
- Hawks at home 0–1 straight up, 0–1 ATS, overs 1–0, -7.5 v spread n=1
- Hawks on 2–3 days' rest: no games yet
- Hawks after a loss 1–1 straight up, 1–1 ATS, overs 2–0, +1.9 v spread n=2
- Hawks all games 2–2 straight up, 2–2 ATS, overs 3–1, +10.2 v spread n=4
Key players
Heat
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo 34 min predicted | 29/14/11 · 14/6/3 · 36/12/5 · 35/6/1 · 31/14/8 | 3/5 over 30.5 | 3/5 over 11.5 | 2/5 over 6.5 | — |
| Davion Mitchell 34 min predicted | 21/0/2 · 22/1/10 · 18/2/5 · 11/0/11 · 28/4/6 | 4/5 over 11.5 | 1/5 over 2.5 | 2/5 over 6.5 | 4/5 over 1.5 |
| Pelle Larsson 34 min predicted | 12/0/4 · 15/7/4 · 7/2/1 · 2/3/4 · 6/3/3 | 2/5 over 9.5 | 3/5 over 2.5 | — | 3/5 over 0.5 |
| Bam Adebayo 33 min predicted | 8/8/3 · 20/8/4 · 4/6/3 · 15/7/4 · 6/3/1 | 1/5 over 17.5 | 0/5 over 8.5 | 2/5 over 3.5 | 1/5 over 1.5 |
| Andrew Wiggins 29 min predicted | 12/3/1 · 4/1/1 · 8/8/2 · 11/2/1 · 27/7/3 | 2/5 over 11.5 | 2/5 over 3.5 | — | 1/5 over 1.5 |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Hawks
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson 35 min predicted | 21/9/4 · 26/9/16 · 19/7/8 · 20/14/6 · 21/8/6 | 1/5 over 22.5 | 1/5 over 9.5 | 2/5 over 6.5 | 2/5 over 1.5 |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker 32 min predicted | 12/2/3 · 18/5/4 · 14/3/5 · 31/4/3 · 11/1/2 | 1/5 over 18.5 | 2/5 over 3.5 | 2/5 over 3.5 | 2/5 over 2.5 |
| Dyson Daniels 31 min predicted | 4/0/4 · 18/8/3 · 11/9/4 · 20/4/3 · 3/0/0 | 2/5 over 11.5 | 2/5 over 6.5 | 0/5 over 4.5 | — |
| CJ McCollum 28 min predicted | 20/1/3 · 17/2/1 · 13/1/2 · 19/2/3 · 11/3/0 | 2/5 over 17.5 | 1/5 over 2.5 | 2/5 over 2.5 | 2/5 over 2.5 |
| Onyeka Okongwu 28 min predicted | 11/9/1 · 8/6/2 · 10/4/1 · 8/5/7 · 4/6/5 | 0/5 over 11.5 | 1/5 over 6.5 | 2/5 over 2.5 | 1/5 over 1.5 |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Player predictions
Every player in the game, our prediction against the line. Lines from Australian bookmakers; a US book stands in where none has priced a player. Edges and the full board for this game.
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Threes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat | ||||
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 31.9 v 30.5 | 11.2 v 11.5 | 5.8 v 6.5 | 0.5 |
| Davion Mitchell | 15.3 v 11.5 | 2.6 v 2.5 | 6.8 v 6.5 | 1.8 v 1.5 |
| Pelle Larsson | 13.3 v 9.5 | 4.3 v 2.5 | 4.0 | 1.0 v 0.5 |
| Bam Adebayo | 18.9 v 17.5 | 9.7 v 8.5 | 4.1 v 3.5 | 1.6 v 1.5 |
| Andrew Wiggins | 13.4 v 11.5 | 4.4 v 3.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 v 1.5 |
| Bobby Portis | 12.8 v 10.5 | 7.1 v 7.5 | 1.5 | 2.1 v 1.5 |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 8.1 v 6.5 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 1.6 v 1.5 |
| Klay Thompson | 8.7 v 9.5 | 1.6 v 2.5 | 0.8 | 2.4 v 2.5 |
| Dru Smith | 4.7 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| Nick Richards | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Nikola Jovic | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Simone Fontecchio | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Myron Gardner | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Keshad Johnson | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ryan Conwell | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Vladislav Goldin | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Hawks | ||||
| Jalen Johnson | 22.8 v 22.5 | 10.3 v 9.5 | 7.8 v 6.5 | 1.6 v 1.5 |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 20.0 v 18.5 | 3.5 v 3.5 | 3.7 v 3.5 | 3.5 v 2.5 |
| Dyson Daniels | 12.7 v 11.5 | 6.7 v 6.5 | 5.1 v 4.5 | 0.5 |
| CJ McCollum | 18.2 v 17.5 | 2.9 v 2.5 | 3.2 v 2.5 | 2.6 v 2.5 |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 11.2 v 11.5 | 6.9 v 6.5 | 2.4 v 2.5 | 1.6 v 1.5 |
| Aaron Wiggins | 12.9 v 12.5 | 3.9 v 2.5 | 1.7 | 2.4 v 1.5 |
| Luguentz Dort | 8.7 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Jock Landale | 7.5 | 4.2 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| Kingston Flemings | 6.1 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 0.7 |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Corey Kispert | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jalen Wilson | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| RayJ Dennis | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Asa Newell | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Zuby Ejiofor | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Keshon Gilbert | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |