Nuggets at Pelicans ·
Nuggets vs Pelicans Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 29 Oct 2026
The Pelicans are 63% to beat the Nuggets at home on , by our numbers. Alpha Diallo, Spencer Jones and Julian Strawther are out for the Nuggets. Yves Missi is out for the Pelicans. The Pelicans come in on 3 days' rest, the Nuggets on one day's rest. The Nuggets have won 3 of their last 5 and are 2–3 against the spread over that stretch. The Pelicans have lost 5 straight and are 2–3 against the spread over that stretch. They last met on Sat 24 Oct: Nuggets 141–135.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Nuggets 120, Pelicans 124: a margin of Pelicans by 3.9; total 244. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Nuggets Out: Alpha Diallo, Spencer Jones and Julian Strawther
- Pelicans Out: Yves Missi
Form and rest
Nuggets on one day's rest
- L 114–134 v Warriors, Mon 26 Oct · lost ATS
- W 141–135 v Pelicans, Sat 24 Oct · lost ATS
- L 84–96 at Thunder, Thu 22 Oct · lost ATS
- W 128–118 at Spurs, Sun 12 Apr · won ATS
- W 127–107 v Thunder, Fri 10 Apr · won ATS
Pelicans on 3 days' rest
- L 135–141 at Nuggets, Sat 24 Oct · won ATS
- L 119–120 at Jazz, Fri 23 Oct · won ATS
- L 120–123 v Pacers, Wed 21 Oct · lost ATS
- L 126–132 at Timberwolves, Sun 12 Apr · lost ATS
- L 118–144 at Celtics, Fri 10 Apr · lost ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, this season. Change the situation or date range.
Nuggets
- Nuggets away, after a loss, on 2–3 days' rest: no games yet
- Nuggets away 0–1 straight up, 0–1 ATS, overs 0–1, -3.8 v spread n=1
- Nuggets on 2–3 days' rest: no games yet
- Nuggets after a loss 1–1 straight up, 0–2 ATS, overs 1–1, -4.6 v spread n=2
- Nuggets all games 1–2 straight up, 0–3 ATS, overs 2–1, -12.2 v spread n=3
Pelicans
- Pelicans at home, after a loss, on 4+ days' rest 0–1 straight up, 0–1 ATS, overs 1–0, -0.2 v spread n=1
- Pelicans at home 0–1 straight up, 0–1 ATS, overs 1–0, -0.2 v spread n=1
- Pelicans on 4+ days' rest 0–1 straight up, 0–1 ATS, overs 1–0, -0.2 v spread n=1
- Pelicans after a loss 0–3 straight up, 2–1 ATS, overs 2–1, +1.9 v spread n=3
- Pelicans all games 0–3 straight up, 2–1 ATS, overs 2–1, +1.9 v spread n=3
Key players
Nuggets
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray 36 min predicted | 19/6/8 · 42/3/6 · 6/10/3 · 12/6/4 · 24/4/7 | 2/5 over 23.5 | 3/5 over 4.5 | 2/5 over 6.5 | 2/5 over 2.5 |
| Nikola Jokic 35 min predicted | 19/7/11 · 35/15/10 · 13/7/5 · 28/9/10 · 27/12/16 | 3/5 over 26.5 | 1/5 over 12.5 | 2/5 over 10.5 | 1/5 over 1.5 |
| Christian Braun 35 min predicted | 9/4/2 · 15/8/2 · 7/6/1 · 3/1/0 · 9/2/3 | 1/5 over 12.5 | 2/5 over 4.5 | 1/5 over 2.5 | 0/5 over 1.5 |
| DeMar DeRozan 29 min predicted | 21/4/2 · 12/3/3 · 13/2/0 · 9/0/0 · 14/2/5 | 2/5 over 13.5 | 2/5 over 2.5 | 1/5 over 3.5 | — |
| Aaron Gordon 29 min predicted | 7/4/2 · 7/5/4 · 20/6/1 · 9/1/0 · 8/7/4 | 1/5 over 16.5 | 2/5 over 5.5 | 2/5 over 2.5 | 1/5 over 1.5 |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Pelicans
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray 33 min predicted | 22/6/6 · 16/6/6 · 23/3/7 · 9/8/5 · 19/4/6 | 3/5 over 17.5 | 3/5 over 5.5 | 1/5 over 6.5 | 1/5 over 1.5 |
| Trey Murphy III 33 min predicted | 26/6/4 · 9/6/3 · 11/4/1 · 13/4/4 · 19/8/2 | 2/5 over 16.5 | 3/5 over 4.5 | 3/5 over 2.5 | 1/5 over 2.5 |
| Zion Williamson 29 min predicted | 17/1/2 · 23/5/2 · 22/3/3 · 17/7/2 · 13/6/3 | 2/5 over 19.5 | 2/5 over 5.5 | 0/5 over 3.5 | — |
| Saddiq Bey 24 min predicted | 14/4/3 · 20/3/1 · 13/5/0 · 32/6/1 · 20/1/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Jeremiah Fears 24 min predicted | 10/6/2 · 7/0/1 · 8/3/1 · 36/10/5 · 36/3/6 | 2/5 over 11.5 | 4/5 over 2.5 | 2/5 over 2.5 | 3/5 over 0.5 |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Player predictions
Every player in the game, our prediction against the line. Lines from Australian bookmakers; a US book stands in where none has priced a player. Edges and the full board for this game.
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Threes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | ||||
| Jamal Murray | 23.7 v 23.5 | 4.5 v 4.5 | 6.5 v 6.5 | 3.2 v 2.5 |
| Nikola Jokic | 26.9 v 26.5 | 12.7 v 12.5 | 10.3 v 10.5 | 1.5 v 1.5 |
| Christian Braun | 12.9 v 12.5 | 5.3 v 4.5 | 2.4 v 2.5 | 1.1 v 1.5 |
| DeMar DeRozan | 17.3 v 13.5 | 2.9 v 2.5 | 2.8 v 3.5 | 0.6 |
| Aaron Gordon | 13.9 v 16.5 | 5.5 v 5.5 | 2.9 v 2.5 | 1.6 v 1.5 |
| Bryce Hopkins | 8.8 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| Trevon Brazile | 9.2 | 5.3 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Marvin Bagley III | 5.7 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Cam Whitmore | 5.0 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Tyus Jones | 2.1 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| Cameron Johnson | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Zeke Nnaji | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| DaRon Holmes II | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ryan Nembhard | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Pelicans | ||||
| Dejounte Murray | 19.0 v 17.5 | 6.3 v 5.5 | 7.4 v 6.5 | 1.6 v 1.5 |
| Trey Murphy III | 18.9 v 16.5 | 5.1 v 4.5 | 3.4 v 2.5 | 3.1 v 2.5 |
| Zion Williamson | 19.4 v 19.5 | 5.0 v 5.5 | 2.9 v 3.5 | 0.1 |
| Saddiq Bey | 15.3 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| Jeremiah Fears | 13.6 v 11.5 | 3.4 v 2.5 | 3.0 v 2.5 | 1.2 v 0.5 |
| Derik Queen | 11.6 v 11.5 | 7.3 v 7.5 | 2.5 v 3.5 | 0.3 |
| DeAndre Jordan | 5.3 | 7.5 | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| Jordan Poole | 9.5 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 1.9 |
| Herbert Jones | 4.6 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 7.7 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Karlo Matkovic | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Trendon Watford | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Bryce McGowens | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| AJ Johnson | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Julian Reese | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Meetings this season
- Sat 24 Oct: Pelicans 135, Nuggets 141
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