Nuggets at Rockets ·
Nuggets vs Rockets Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 10 Nov 2026
Final: Nuggets 100, Rockets 110. We had the Rockets at 67% and the Rockets won, as predicted. Our projected score was Nuggets 110, Rockets 115. Against the closing line (Rockets −4.5) the Rockets won against the spread. The total went under the bookmakers' 223.5 (210); we had 225.
The Rockets are 67% to beat the Nuggets at home on , by our numbers. The bookmakers have Rockets −4.5 with the total at 223.5. Julian Strawther is out for the Nuggets. Steven Adams, Clint Capela, Oscar Tshiebwe and Julian Phillips are out for the Rockets. The Nuggets have won 4 of their last 5 and are 4–1 against the spread over that stretch. The Rockets have won 2 of their last 5 and are 2–3 against the spread over that stretch. They last met on Mon 9 Nov: Rockets 110–100.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Nuggets 110, Rockets 115: a margin of Rockets by 5.2 against the bookmakers' Rockets −4.5; total 225 against 223.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Nuggets Out: Julian Strawther
- Rockets Out: Steven Adams, Clint Capela, Oscar Tshiebwe and Julian Phillips
Form and rest
Nuggets on one day's rest
- W 114–102 at Pacers, Sat 7 Nov · won ATS
- W 128–109 v Raptors, Wed 4 Nov · won ATS
- L 110–118 v Trail Blazers, Mon 2 Nov · lost ATS
- W 127–120 at Suns, Fri 30 Oct · won ATS
- W 104–91 at Pelicans, Wed 28 Oct · won ATS
Rockets on one day's rest
- L 99–102 at Suns, Sat 7 Nov · lost ATS
- L 107–117 v Timberwolves, Wed 4 Nov · lost ATS
- W 109–93 v Celtics, Mon 2 Nov · won ATS
- W 119–98 v Thunder, Sat 31 Oct · won ATS
- L 111–116 at Mavericks, Fri 30 Oct · lost ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, this season. Change the situation or date range.
Nuggets
- Nuggets away, as underdog, after a loss, on 1 day's rest: no games yet
- Nuggets away 3–2 straight up, 3–2 ATS, overs 1–4, +1.4 v spread n=5
- Nuggets as underdog 0–2 straight up, 0–2 ATS, overs 0–2, -4.6 v spread n=2
- Nuggets on 1 day's rest 4–2 straight up, 3–3 ATS, overs 4–2, -2.0 v spread n=6
- Nuggets after a loss 3–1 straight up, 2–2 ATS, overs 2–2, +3.4 v spread n=4
Rockets
- Rockets at home, as favourite, after a win, on 1 day's rest 2–1 straight up, 2–1 ATS, overs 2–1, -0.2 v spread n=3
- Rockets at home 5–1 straight up, 5–1 ATS, overs 3–3, +5.3 v spread n=6
- Rockets as favourite 6–3 straight up, 6–3 ATS, overs 5–4, +3.9 v spread n=9
- Rockets on 1 day's rest 5–2 straight up, 5–2 ATS, overs 4–3, +3.9 v spread n=7
- Rockets after a win 5–2 straight up, 5–2 ATS, overs 5–2, +4.2 v spread n=7
Key players
Nuggets
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray | 16/6/8 · 14/5/7 · 35/5/6 · 39/8/5 · 23/1/6 | — | — | — | — |
| Nikola Jokic | 19/13/8 · 32/10/11 · 26/9/8 · 18/7/10 · 21/13/10 | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Braun | 6/4/1 · 11/3/3 · 14/3/3 · 31/3/1 · 15/0/4 | — | — | — | — |
| Cameron Johnson | 18/4/1 · 12/2/2 · 7/4/2 · 12/9/3 · 5/2/1 | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Gordon | 12/5/0 · 17/1/0 · 5/6/2 · 15/4/5 · 15/11/3 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Rockets
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant | 21/10/3 · 21/5/2 · 12/3/3 · 14/3/4 · 28/5/1 | — | — | — | — |
| Alperen Sengun | 15/6/5 · 17/12/10 · 26/7/10 · 16/9/9 · 29/9/9 | — | — | — | — |
| Jabari Smith Jr. | 15/9/2 · 11/4/2 · 14/10/0 · 30/9/5 · 22/3/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Amen Thompson | 17/7/0 · 11/8/1 · 14/3/3 · 8/3/1 · 15/3/6 | — | — | — | — |
| Fred VanVleet | 16/3/4 · 18/3/3 · 8/2/9 · 16/5/6 · 24/6/5 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Meetings this season
- Mon 9 Nov: Nuggets 100, Rockets 110