Pelicans at Warriors ·
Pelicans vs Warriors Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 10 Nov 2026 Free game of the day
Final: Pelicans 87, Warriors 138. We had the Warriors at 62% and the Warriors won, as predicted. Our projected score was Pelicans 116, Warriors 120. Against the closing line (Warriors −11.5) the Warriors won against the spread. The total went under the bookmakers' 228.5 (225); we had 237.
Our model makes the Warriors 62% favourites at home on . The bookmakers have Warriors −11.5 with the total at 228.5. The Pelicans will be missing Yves Missi, Trey Murphy III, Trendon Watford and Zion Williamson. The Warriors will be missing Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody, Gary Payton II, Kristaps Porzingis and Will Richard. The Pelicans are on the second night of a back-to-back while the Warriors are on one day's rest. The Pelicans have won 3 of their last 5 and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch. The Warriors have won 5 straight and are 4–1 against the spread over that stretch. They last met on Mon 9 Nov: Warriors 138–87.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Pelicans 116, Warriors 120: a margin of Warriors by 3.6 against the bookmakers' Warriors −11.5; total 237 against 228.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Pelicans Out: Yves Missi, Trey Murphy III, Trendon Watford and Zion Williamson
- Warriors Out: Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody, Gary Payton II, Kristaps Porzingis and Will Richard
Form and rest
Pelicans on the second night of a back-to-back
- L 123–139 at Clippers, Sun 8 Nov · lost ATS
- L 109–115 v Timberwolves, Fri 6 Nov · lost ATS
- W 120–113 v Jazz, Wed 4 Nov · won ATS
- W 135–134 at Grizzlies, Mon 2 Nov · won ATS
- W 121–99 v Hawks, Sat 31 Oct · won ATS
Warriors on one day's rest
- W 126–119 v Magic, Sat 7 Nov · lost ATS
- W 120–100 v Heat, Thu 5 Nov · won ATS
- W 116–113 v Suns, Mon 2 Nov · won ATS
- W 124–112 v Clippers, Sun 1 Nov · won ATS
- W 112–95 v Lakers, Fri 30 Oct · won ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, this season. Change the situation or date range.
Pelicans
- Pelicans away, as underdog, after a loss, on no rest 0–2 straight up, 1–1 ATS, overs 1–1, -17.0 v spread n=2
- Pelicans away 1–4 straight up, 3–2 ATS, overs 3–2, -8.9 v spread n=5
- Pelicans as underdog 2–6 straight up, 4–4 ATS, overs 3–5, -1.4 v spread n=8
- Pelicans on no rest 1–2 straight up, 2–1 ATS, overs 2–1, -9.5 v spread n=3
- Pelicans after a loss 1–6 straight up, 3–4 ATS, overs 4–3, -7.8 v spread n=7
Warriors
- Warriors at home, as favourite, after a win, on 1 day's rest 3–0 straight up, 2–1 ATS, overs 2–1, +16.4 v spread n=3
- Warriors at home 6–1 straight up, 5–2 ATS, overs 3–4, +11.3 v spread n=7
- Warriors as favourite 5–1 straight up, 4–2 ATS, overs 3–3, +9.8 v spread n=6
- Warriors on 1 day's rest 6–1 straight up, 5–2 ATS, overs 4–3, +14.1 v spread n=7
- Warriors after a win 7–0 straight up, 6–1 ATS, overs 4–3, +13.6 v spread n=7
Key players
Pelicans
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson | 25/4/2 · 13/8/4 · 23/4/2 · 25/11/4 · 15/6/4 | — | — | — | — |
| Dejounte Murray | 6/3/3 · 7/2/4 · 20/8/4 · 10/8/5 · 22/6/6 | — | — | — | — |
| Trey Murphy III | 26/7/3 · 10/4/5 · 18/5/5 · 15/5/5 · 19/5/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Jeremiah Fears | 25/6/5 · 24/5/5 · 19/6/2 · 12/4/7 · 20/5/7 | — | — | — | — |
| Saddiq Bey | 13/4/3 · 17/5/4 · 22/4/3 · 18/5/1 · 25/6/1 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Warriors
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandin Podziemski | 15/7/1 · 9/6/3 · 20/3/2 · 17/8/8 · 21/5/6 | — | — | — | — |
| Yaxel Lendeborg | 23/8/3 · 17/8/6 · 16/5/5 · 37/4/6 · 6/1/0 | — | — | — | — |
| Stephen Curry | 41/6/6 · 29/1/4 · 34/6/7 · 31/4/6 · 44/8/6 | — | — | — | — |
| Draymond Green | 2/6/13 · 2/5/11 · 4/4/2 · 2/4/9 · 3/9/6 | — | — | — | — |
| Georges Niang | 11/2/1 · 13/4/3 · 13/4/3 · 3/1/2 · 11/5/1 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Meetings this season
- Mon 9 Nov: Pelicans 87, Warriors 138