Thunder at Trail Blazers ·
Thunder vs Trail Blazers Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 11 Nov 2026 Free game of the day
Final: Thunder 103, Trail Blazers 123. We had the Thunder at 56% and the Trail Blazers won. Our projected score was Thunder 114, Trail Blazers 112. Against the closing line (Thunder −1.5) the Trail Blazers won against the spread. The total went under the bookmakers' 226.5 (226); we had 225.
We give the Thunder a 56% chance on the road against the Trail Blazers on . The bookmakers have Thunder −1.5 with the total at 226.5. The Thunder are without Chet Holmgren, Thomas Sorber, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams and Nikola Topic. The Trail Blazers are without Vit Krejci, Ja Morant, Shaedon Sharpe, Jayson Kent and John Tonje. The Thunder have won 4 straight and are 4–1 against the spread over that stretch. The Trail Blazers have won 3 of their last 5 and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch. They last met on Tue 10 Nov: Trail Blazers 123–103.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Thunder 114, Trail Blazers 112: a margin of Thunder by 1.9 against the bookmakers' Thunder −1.5; total 225 against 226.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Thunder Out: Chet Holmgren, Thomas Sorber, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams and Nikola Topic
- Trail Blazers Out: Vit Krejci, Ja Morant, Shaedon Sharpe, Jayson Kent and John Tonje
Form and rest
Thunder on 2 days' rest
- W 114–75 v Wizards, Sat 7 Nov · won ATS
- W 128–97 at Grizzlies, Fri 6 Nov · won ATS
- W 124–116 v Cavaliers, Wed 4 Nov · won ATS
- W 117–112 at Cavaliers, Mon 2 Nov · won ATS
- L 98–119 at Rockets, Sat 31 Oct · lost ATS
Trail Blazers on 2 days' rest
- L 103–125 v Spurs, Sat 7 Nov · lost ATS
- L 118–124 at Lakers, Fri 6 Nov · lost ATS
- W 132–119 at Suns, Wed 4 Nov · won ATS
- W 118–110 at Nuggets, Mon 2 Nov · won ATS
- W 112–90 at Jazz, Sat 31 Oct · won ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, this season. Change the situation or date range.
Thunder
- Thunder away, as favourite, after a loss, on 2–3 days' rest: no games yet
- Thunder away 3–3 straight up, 3–3 ATS, overs 1–5, -3.8 v spread n=6
- Thunder as favourite 7–2 straight up, 6–3 ATS, overs 3–6, +1.6 v spread n=9
- Thunder on 2–3 days' rest 1–2 straight up, 0–3 ATS, overs 0–3, -16.5 v spread n=3
- Thunder after a loss 2–1 straight up, 2–1 ATS, overs 0–3, +0.5 v spread n=3
Trail Blazers
- Trail Blazers at home, as underdog, after a win, on 2–3 days' rest: no games yet
- Trail Blazers at home 2–2 straight up, 2–2 ATS, overs 0–4, +3.4 v spread n=4
- Trail Blazers as underdog 3–2 straight up, 3–2 ATS, overs 2–3, +4.7 v spread n=5
- Trail Blazers on 2–3 days' rest 2–0 straight up, 2–0 ATS, overs 1–1, +15.0 v spread n=2
- Trail Blazers after a win 4–2 straight up, 3–3 ATS, overs 4–2, -0.4 v spread n=6
Key players
Thunder
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 33 min predicted | 30/2/9 · 28/3/4 · 42/4/8 · 43/3/8 · 26/4/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Ajay Mitchell 32 min predicted | 12/4/0 · 35/1/5 · 23/7/4 · 20/5/1 · 6/3/5 | — | — | — | — |
| Jared McCain 26 min predicted | 19/5/2 · 21/5/0 · 9/1/0 · 7/9/2 · 10/4/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Isaiah Hartenstein 25 min predicted | 2/14/6 · 2/6/7 · 3/12/4 · 5/14/4 · 10/7/0 | — | — | — | — |
| Kenrich Williams 21 min predicted | 9/4/2 · 4/6/3 · 13/4/2 · 12/3/1 · 11/7/3 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Trail Blazers
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija 35 min predicted | 15/4/1 · 22/9/11 · 21/7/12 · 28/3/5 · 24/5/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Damian Lillard 33 min predicted | 12/0/7 · 22/0/4 · 25/3/5 · 20/6/6 · 22/5/4 | — | — | — | — |
| Toumani Camara 30 min predicted | 4/4/0 · 18/6/1 · 11/4/2 · 9/5/1 · 14/4/0 | — | — | — | — |
| Donovan Clingan 29 min predicted | 6/5/0 · 17/11/1 · 24/11/1 · 17/18/3 · 4/9/0 | — | — | — | — |
| Jrue Holiday 28 min predicted | 11/0/0 · 12/1/7 · 15/4/0 · 17/8/10 · 14/4/3 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Player predictions
Every player in the game, our prediction against the line. Lines from Australian bookmakers; a US book stands in where none has priced a player. Edges and the full board for this game.
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Threes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder | ||||
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 30.8 | 3.8 | 5.4 | 1.7 |
| Ajay Mitchell | 19.8 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 1.0 |
| Jared McCain | 13.7 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 8.9 | 10.3 | 4.0 | 0.0 |
| Kenrich Williams | 7.4 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Aday Mara | 9.1 | 6.4 | 1.5 | 0.1 |
| Alex Caruso | 7.2 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| Jaylin Williams | 6.0 | 5.4 | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| Bennett Stirtz | 7.6 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Nique Clifford | 4.7 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Micah Peavy | 2.9 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| Nikola Topic | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Brooks Barnhizer | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Josh Dix | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Trail Blazers | ||||
| Deni Avdija | 23.0 | 6.6 | 6.3 | 1.6 |
| Damian Lillard | 21.0 | 3.4 | 4.4 | 2.7 |
| Toumani Camara | 11.5 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| Donovan Clingan | 11.7 | 11.0 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Jrue Holiday | 12.2 | 3.7 | 4.0 | 2.2 |
| Sidy Cissoko | 7.7 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| Scoot Henderson | 10.2 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| Chris Youngblood | 7.2 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Micah Potter | 5.9 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| Robert Williams III | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Branden Carlson | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Yang Hansen | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jayson Kent | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| John Tonje | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Meetings this season
- Tue 10 Nov: Thunder 103, Trail Blazers 123