Lakers at Bucks ·
Lakers vs Bucks Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 12 Nov 2026
Final: Lakers 123, Bucks 112. We had the Lakers at 81% and the Lakers won, as predicted. Our projected score was Lakers 121, Bucks 110. Against the closing line (Lakers −14.5) the Bucks won against the spread. The total went over the bookmakers' 230.5 (235); we had 231.
The Lakers are 81% to beat the Bucks on the road on , by our numbers. The bookmakers have Lakers −14.5 with the total at 230.5. Quentin Grimes is out for the Lakers. Myles Turner is out for the Bucks. The Bucks are on the second night of a back-to-back while the Lakers are on one day's rest. The Lakers have won 5 straight and are 5–0 against the spread over that stretch. The Bucks have lost 5 straight and are 1–4 against the spread over that stretch. They last met on Wed 11 Nov: Lakers 123–112.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Lakers 121, Bucks 110: a margin of Lakers by 10.4 against the bookmakers' Lakers −14.5; total 231 against 230.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Lakers Out: Quentin Grimes
- Bucks Out: Myles Turner
Form and rest
Lakers on one day's rest
- W 124–114 at Hawks, Mon 9 Nov · won ATS
- W 121–116 at Pistons, Sun 8 Nov · won ATS
- W 124–118 v Trail Blazers, Fri 6 Nov · won ATS
- W 116–103 at Kings, Wed 4 Nov · won ATS
- W 138–117 v Heat, Mon 2 Nov · won ATS
Bucks on the second night of a back-to-back
- L 85–117 at Knicks, Tue 10 Nov · lost ATS
- L 97–117 v Celtics, Sun 8 Nov · lost ATS
- L 107–121 v Raptors, Fri 6 Nov · lost ATS
- L 102–109 at Celtics, Wed 4 Nov · won ATS
- L 100–112 at Timberwolves, Mon 2 Nov · lost ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, this season. Change the situation or date range.
Lakers
- Lakers away, as favourite, after a win, on 1 day's rest 3–1 straight up, 2–2 ATS, overs 2–2, -5.2 v spread n=4
- Lakers away 6–1 straight up, 5–2 ATS, overs 4–3, +3.1 v spread n=7
- Lakers as favourite 8–2 straight up, 6–4 ATS, overs 7–3, +0.9 v spread n=10
- Lakers on 1 day's rest 7–2 straight up, 5–4 ATS, overs 7–2, -1.4 v spread n=9
- Lakers after a win 8–2 straight up, 6–4 ATS, overs 8–2, +1.6 v spread n=10
Bucks
- Bucks at home, as underdog, after a loss, on no rest 0–1 straight up, 1–0 ATS, overs 1–0, +3.5 v spread n=1
- Bucks at home 1–6 straight up, 2–5 ATS, overs 5–2, -7.1 v spread n=7
- Bucks as underdog 1–10 straight up, 4–7 ATS, overs 6–5, -5.3 v spread n=11
- Bucks on no rest 0–2 straight up, 2–0 ATS, overs 2–0, +2.6 v spread n=2
- Bucks after a loss 1–10 straight up, 4–7 ATS, overs 6–5, -3.9 v spread n=11
Key players
Lakers
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic | 32/8/10 · 53/5/5 · 40/9/7 · 42/7/13 · 45/15/6 | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Reaves | 43/5/4 · 25/3/2 · 21/3/4 · 27/2/5 · 19/3/4 | — | — | — | — |
| Walker Kessler | 21/10/4 · 12/16/4 · 16/12/2 · 15/8/0 · 15/15/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Quentin Grimes | 12/1/4 · 2/0/0 · 6/1/1 · 7/4/4 · 7/1/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Jake LaRavia | 4/3/3 · 5/1/2 · 7/8/3 · 9/2/2 · 7/4/2 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Bucks
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro | 13/1/2 · 23/5/10 · 25/5/3 · 21/6/3 · 15/3/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 16/5/3 · 4/2/2 · 14/3/3 · 18/2/2 · 19/8/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Myles Turner | 3/3/2 · 3/5/7 · 0/7/0 · 12/9/6 · 13/5/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Kuzma | 5/5/3 · 27/4/0 · 13/4/3 · 6/5/4 · 2/2/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Rollins | 14/5/2 · 7/5/6 · 10/1/1 · 13/9/5 · 10/3/2 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Meetings this season
- Wed 11 Nov: Lakers 123, Bucks 112