Nuggets at Grizzlies ·
Nuggets vs Grizzlies Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 12 Nov 2026
Final: Nuggets 123, Grizzlies 118. We had the Grizzlies at 67% and the Nuggets won. Our projected score was Nuggets 111, Grizzlies 116. Against the closing line (Nuggets −3.5) the Nuggets won against the spread. The total went over the bookmakers' 230.5 (241); we had 228.
The Grizzlies are 67% to beat the Nuggets at home on , by our numbers. The bookmakers have Nuggets −3.5 with the total at 230.5. Julian Strawther is out for the Nuggets. Scotty Pippen Jr., Quinten Post and Richie Saunders are out for the Grizzlies. The Nuggets have won 3 of their last 5 and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch. The Grizzlies have won 2 of their last 5 and are 2–3 against the spread over that stretch. They last met on Wed 11 Nov: Nuggets 123–118.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Nuggets 111, Grizzlies 116: a margin of Grizzlies by 5.2 against the bookmakers' Nuggets −3.5; total 228 against 230.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Nuggets Out: Julian Strawther
- Grizzlies Out: Scotty Pippen Jr., Quinten Post and Richie Saunders
Form and rest
Nuggets on one day's rest
- L 100–110 at Rockets, Mon 9 Nov · lost ATS
- W 114–102 at Pacers, Sat 7 Nov · won ATS
- W 128–109 v Raptors, Wed 4 Nov · won ATS
- L 110–118 v Trail Blazers, Mon 2 Nov · lost ATS
- W 127–120 at Suns, Fri 30 Oct · won ATS
Grizzlies on one day's rest
- W 118–102 at Raptors, Mon 9 Nov · won ATS
- L 97–128 v Thunder, Fri 6 Nov · lost ATS
- L 103–107 v Pacers, Wed 4 Nov · lost ATS
- L 134–135 v Pelicans, Mon 2 Nov · lost ATS
- W 136–105 v Kings, Sat 31 Oct · won ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, this season. Change the situation or date range.
Nuggets
- Nuggets away, as favourite, after a win, on 1 day's rest 1–0 straight up, 1–0 ATS, overs 1–0, +3.2 v spread n=1
- Nuggets away 4–2 straight up, 4–2 ATS, overs 2–4, +1.4 v spread n=6
- Nuggets as favourite 6–2 straight up, 5–3 ATS, overs 5–3, -1.6 v spread n=8
- Nuggets on 1 day's rest 5–2 straight up, 4–3 ATS, overs 5–2, -1.5 v spread n=7
- Nuggets after a win 2–3 straight up, 2–3 ATS, overs 2–3, -7.5 v spread n=5
Grizzlies
- Grizzlies at home, as underdog, after a loss, on 1 day's rest 0–1 straight up, 0–1 ATS, overs 1–0, -27.0 v spread n=1
- Grizzlies at home 2–4 straight up, 2–4 ATS, overs 4–2, -0.4 v spread n=6
- Grizzlies as underdog 2–2 straight up, 2–2 ATS, overs 2–2, +2.0 v spread n=4
- Grizzlies on 1 day's rest 3–4 straight up, 3–4 ATS, overs 4–3, -0.9 v spread n=7
- Grizzlies after a loss 2–2 straight up, 2–2 ATS, overs 1–3, -0.9 v spread n=4
Key players
Nuggets
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray | 38/2/2 · 16/6/8 · 14/5/7 · 35/5/6 · 39/8/5 | — | — | — | — |
| Nikola Jokic | 25/16/9 · 19/13/8 · 32/10/11 · 26/9/8 · 18/7/10 | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Braun | 4/5/3 · 6/4/1 · 11/3/3 · 14/3/3 · 31/3/1 | — | — | — | — |
| Cameron Johnson | 8/2/1 · 18/4/1 · 12/2/2 · 7/4/2 · 12/9/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Gordon | 3/5/2 · 12/5/0 · 17/1/0 · 5/6/2 · 15/4/5 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Grizzlies
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Boozer | 22/7/8 · 8/12/4 · 10/6/4 · 18/9/5 · 27/9/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Jerome | 27/6/2 · 21/2/5 · 23/4/3 · 40/5/5 · 10/2/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Cedric Coward | 3/6/4 · 10/9/0 · 23/9/4 · 10/9/3 · 10/7/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Jaylen Wells | 14/4/1 · 7/0/0 · 0/1/3 · 16/3/3 · 4/2/0 | — | — | — | — |
| Jerami Grant | 17/3/2 · 10/0/2 · 11/1/2 · 11/4/2 · 14/2/1 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Meetings this season
- Wed 11 Nov: Nuggets 123, Grizzlies 118