Thunder at Trail Blazers ·
Thunder vs Trail Blazers Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 12 Nov 2026 Free game of the day
Final: Thunder 108, Trail Blazers 118. We had the Trail Blazers at 58% and the Trail Blazers won, as predicted. Our projected score was Thunder 111, Trail Blazers 114. Against the closing line (Trail Blazers −2.5) the Trail Blazers won against the spread. The total went over the bookmakers' 224.5 (226); we had 225.
The Trail Blazers are 58% to beat the Thunder at home on , by our numbers. The bookmakers have Trail Blazers −2.5 with the total at 224.5. Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Thomas Sorber, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams and Nikola Topic are out for the Thunder. Vit Krejci, Ja Morant, Shaedon Sharpe and Chris Youngblood are out for the Trail Blazers. Both sides are on the second night of a back-to-back. The Thunder have won 4 of their last 5 and are 4–1 against the spread over that stretch. The Trail Blazers have won 3 of their last 5 and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch. They last met on Wed 11 Nov: Trail Blazers 118–108.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Thunder 111, Trail Blazers 114: a margin of Trail Blazers by 2.3 against the bookmakers' Trail Blazers −2.5; total 225 against 224.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Thunder Out: Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Thomas Sorber, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams and Nikola Topic
- Trail Blazers Out: Vit Krejci, Ja Morant, Shaedon Sharpe and Chris Youngblood
Form and rest
Thunder on the second night of a back-to-back
- L 103–123 at Trail Blazers, Tue 10 Nov · lost ATS
- W 114–75 v Wizards, Sat 7 Nov · won ATS
- W 128–97 at Grizzlies, Fri 6 Nov · won ATS
- W 124–116 v Cavaliers, Wed 4 Nov · won ATS
- W 117–112 at Cavaliers, Mon 2 Nov · won ATS
Trail Blazers on the second night of a back-to-back
- W 123–103 v Thunder, Tue 10 Nov · won ATS
- L 103–125 v Spurs, Sat 7 Nov · lost ATS
- L 118–124 at Lakers, Fri 6 Nov · lost ATS
- W 132–119 at Suns, Wed 4 Nov · won ATS
- W 118–110 at Nuggets, Mon 2 Nov · won ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, this season. Change the situation or date range.
Thunder
- Thunder away, as underdog, after a loss, on no rest 0–1 straight up, 0–1 ATS, overs 1–0, -7.5 v spread n=1
- Thunder away 3–4 straight up, 3–4 ATS, overs 2–5, -4.3 v spread n=7
- Thunder as underdog 1–2 straight up, 1–2 ATS, overs 1–2, -5.5 v spread n=3
- Thunder on no rest 2–1 straight up, 2–1 ATS, overs 2–1, +7.2 v spread n=3
- Thunder after a loss 2–2 straight up, 2–2 ATS, overs 1–3, -1.5 v spread n=4
Trail Blazers
- Trail Blazers at home, as favourite, after a win, on no rest 1–0 straight up, 1–0 ATS, overs 1–0, +7.5 v spread n=1
- Trail Blazers at home 3–2 straight up, 3–2 ATS, overs 1–4, +4.2 v spread n=5
- Trail Blazers as favourite 5–1 straight up, 4–2 ATS, overs 3–3, +6.6 v spread n=6
- Trail Blazers on no rest 1–1 straight up, 1–1 ATS, overs 1–1, -4.5 v spread n=2
- Trail Blazers after a win 5–2 straight up, 4–3 ATS, overs 5–2, +0.7 v spread n=7
Key players
Thunder
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 26/8/3 · 30/2/9 · 28/3/4 · 42/4/8 · 43/3/8 | — | — | — | — |
| Ajay Mitchell | 14/3/3 · 12/4/0 · 35/1/5 · 23/7/4 · 20/5/1 | — | — | — | — |
| Jared McCain | 21/3/3 · 19/5/2 · 21/5/0 · 9/1/0 · 7/9/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 7/9/5 · 2/14/6 · 2/6/7 · 3/12/4 · 5/14/4 | — | — | — | — |
| Bennett Stirtz | 13/1/1 · 11/5/3 · 12/1/2 · 16/1/1 · 9/2/0 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Trail Blazers
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija | 24/6/8 · 15/4/1 · 22/9/11 · 21/7/12 · 28/3/5 | — | — | — | — |
| Damian Lillard | 25/3/3 · 12/0/7 · 22/0/4 · 25/3/5 · 20/6/6 | — | — | — | — |
| Toumani Camara | 12/3/3 · 4/4/0 · 18/6/1 · 11/4/2 · 9/5/1 | — | — | — | — |
| Jrue Holiday | 11/1/2 · 11/0/0 · 12/1/7 · 15/4/0 · 17/8/10 | — | — | — | — |
| Donovan Clingan | 7/13/3 · 6/5/0 · 17/11/1 · 24/11/1 · 17/18/3 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Meetings this season
- Wed 11 Nov: Thunder 108, Trail Blazers 118
- Tue 10 Nov: Thunder 103, Trail Blazers 123