Warriors at Rockets ·
Warriors vs Rockets Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 12 Nov 2026
Final: Warriors 108, Rockets 115. We had the Rockets at 55% and the Rockets won, as predicted. Our projected score was Warriors 112, Rockets 114. Against the closing line (Rockets −6.5) the Rockets won against the spread. The total went over the bookmakers' 219.5 (223); we had 226.
The Rockets are 55% to beat the Warriors at home on , by our numbers. The bookmakers have Rockets −6.5 with the total at 219.5. Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody, Gary Payton II, Kristaps Porzingis and Brandon Williams are out for the Warriors. Steven Adams, Clint Capela and Julian Phillips are out for the Rockets. The Warriors have won 5 straight and are 4–1 against the spread over that stretch. The Rockets have won 3 of their last 5 and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch. They last met on Wed 11 Nov: Rockets 115–108.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Warriors 112, Rockets 114: a margin of Rockets by 1.3 against the bookmakers' Rockets −6.5; total 226 against 219.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Warriors Out: Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody, Gary Payton II, Kristaps Porzingis and Brandon Williams
- Rockets Out: Steven Adams, Clint Capela and Julian Phillips
Form and rest
Warriors on one day's rest
- W 138–87 v Pelicans, Mon 9 Nov · won ATS
- W 126–119 v Magic, Sat 7 Nov · lost ATS
- W 120–100 v Heat, Thu 5 Nov · won ATS
- W 116–113 v Suns, Mon 2 Nov · won ATS
- W 124–112 v Clippers, Sun 1 Nov · won ATS
Rockets on one day's rest
- W 110–100 v Nuggets, Mon 9 Nov · won ATS
- L 99–102 at Suns, Sat 7 Nov · lost ATS
- L 107–117 v Timberwolves, Wed 4 Nov · lost ATS
- W 109–93 v Celtics, Mon 2 Nov · won ATS
- W 119–98 v Thunder, Sat 31 Oct · won ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, this season. Change the situation or date range.
Warriors
- Warriors away, as underdog, after a loss, on 1 day's rest 1–0 straight up, 1–0 ATS, overs 1–0, +27.5 v spread n=1
- Warriors away 2–3 straight up, 3–2 ATS, overs 4–1, +4.2 v spread n=5
- Warriors as underdog 3–3 straight up, 4–2 ATS, overs 4–2, +6.9 v spread n=6
- Warriors on 1 day's rest 6–2 straight up, 5–3 ATS, overs 5–3, +12.2 v spread n=8
- Warriors after a loss 1–3 straight up, 2–2 ATS, overs 2–2, +1.2 v spread n=4
Rockets
- Rockets at home, as favourite, after a win, on 1 day's rest 3–1 straight up, 3–1 ATS, overs 3–1, +0.0 v spread n=4
- Rockets at home 6–1 straight up, 6–1 ATS, overs 4–3, +4.6 v spread n=7
- Rockets as favourite 7–3 straight up, 7–3 ATS, overs 6–4, +3.6 v spread n=10
- Rockets on 1 day's rest 6–2 straight up, 6–2 ATS, overs 5–3, +3.5 v spread n=8
- Rockets after a win 6–2 straight up, 6–2 ATS, overs 6–2, +3.8 v spread n=8
Key players
Warriors
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandin Podziemski | 25/2/4 · 15/7/1 · 9/6/3 · 20/3/2 · 17/8/8 | — | — | — | — |
| Yaxel Lendeborg | 23/7/4 · 23/8/3 · 17/8/6 · 16/5/5 · 37/4/6 | — | — | — | — |
| Stephen Curry | 25/5/2 · 41/6/6 · 29/1/4 · 34/6/7 · 31/4/6 | — | — | — | — |
| Draymond Green | 2/3/6 · 2/6/13 · 2/5/11 · 4/4/2 · 2/4/9 | — | — | — | — |
| De'Anthony Melton | 16/4/3 · 4/1/1 · 5/6/2 · 2/7/2 · 21/6/3 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Rockets
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant | 23/12/8 · 21/10/3 · 21/5/2 · 12/3/3 · 14/3/4 | — | — | — | — |
| Alperen Sengun | 20/12/8 · 15/6/5 · 17/12/10 · 26/7/10 · 16/9/9 | — | — | — | — |
| Jabari Smith Jr. | 14/7/3 · 15/9/2 · 11/4/2 · 14/10/0 · 30/9/5 | — | — | — | — |
| Amen Thompson | 8/9/3 · 17/7/0 · 11/8/1 · 14/3/3 · 8/3/1 | — | — | — | — |
| Fred VanVleet | 12/1/2 · 16/3/4 · 18/3/3 · 8/2/9 · 16/5/6 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Meetings this season
- Wed 11 Nov: Warriors 108, Rockets 115