Wizards at Pacers ·
Wizards vs Pacers Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 12 Nov 2026
Final: Wizards 101, Pacers 114. We had the Pacers at 63% and the Pacers won, as predicted. Our projected score was Wizards 110, Pacers 114. Against the closing line (Pacers −3.25) the Pacers won against the spread. The total went under the bookmakers' 227.5 (215); we had 224.
Our model makes the Pacers 63% favourites at home on . The bookmakers have Pacers −3.25 with the total at 227.5. The Wizards will be missing Reece Beekman, Justin Champagnie, Tristan Vukcevic and Jamir Watkins. The Pacers will be missing Johnny Furphy, Tyrese Haliburton and Ben Sheppard. The Wizards have lost 4 straight and are 2–3 against the spread over that stretch. The Pacers have won 1 of their last 5 and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch. They last met on Wed 11 Nov: Pacers 114–101.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Wizards 110, Pacers 114: a margin of Pacers by 3.8 against the bookmakers' Pacers −3.25; total 224 against 227.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Wizards Out: Reece Beekman, Justin Champagnie, Tristan Vukcevic and Jamir Watkins
- Pacers Out: Johnny Furphy, Tyrese Haliburton and Ben Sheppard
Form and rest
Wizards on one day's rest
- L 111–122 at Pistons, Mon 9 Nov · lost ATS
- L 75–114 at Thunder, Sat 7 Nov · lost ATS
- L 132–139 at Hawks, Fri 6 Nov · won ATS
- L 105–120 v Hawks, Wed 4 Nov · lost ATS
- W 103–94 at Magic, Mon 2 Nov · won ATS
Pacers on one day's rest
- L 122–125 at Mavericks, Mon 9 Nov · won ATS
- L 102–114 v Nuggets, Sat 7 Nov · lost ATS
- W 107–103 at Grizzlies, Wed 4 Nov · won ATS
- L 104–108 v Hawks, Mon 2 Nov · won ATS
- L 90–98 v Nets, Sun 1 Nov · lost ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, this season. Change the situation or date range.
Wizards
- Wizards away, as underdog, after a loss, on 1 day's rest 0–4 straight up, 1–3 ATS, overs 2–2, -2.8 v spread n=4
- Wizards away 2–6 straight up, 3–5 ATS, overs 2–6, -2.9 v spread n=8
- Wizards as underdog 3–8 straight up, 4–7 ATS, overs 2–9, -1.9 v spread n=11
- Wizards on 1 day's rest 1–7 straight up, 2–6 ATS, overs 2–6, -1.5 v spread n=8
- Wizards after a loss 3–5 straight up, 4–4 ATS, overs 3–5, -1.0 v spread n=8
Pacers
- Pacers at home, as favourite, after a win, on 1 day's rest 0–1 straight up, 0–1 ATS, overs 0–1, -23.5 v spread n=1
- Pacers at home 1–5 straight up, 3–3 ATS, overs 0–6, -3.6 v spread n=6
- Pacers as favourite 3–3 straight up, 3–3 ATS, overs 2–4, -2.5 v spread n=6
- Pacers on 1 day's rest 3–5 straight up, 5–3 ATS, overs 3–5, -0.2 v spread n=8
- Pacers after a win 0–3 straight up, 0–3 ATS, overs 0–3, -13.2 v spread n=3
Key players
Wizards
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young 35 min predicted | 20/1/7 · 4/5/3 · 23/2/10 · 18/2/6 · 15/3/9 | 3/5 over 16.5 | 2/5 over 2.5 | 2/5 over 8.5 | 2/5 over 2.5 |
| Anthony Davis 34 min predicted | 44/13/1 · 26/10/3 · 27/9/1 · 25/13/1 · 18/5/3 | 4/5 over 22.5 | 2/5 over 10.5 | 2/5 over 2.5 | 3/5 over 0.5 |
| Kyshawn George 34 min predicted | 12/3/2 · 14/7/6 · 33/4/7 · 25/4/7 · 22/4/5 | 4/5 over 13.5 | 1/5 over 4.5 | 4/5 over 4.5 | 5/5 over 1.5 |
| AJ Dybantsa 34 min predicted | 21/8/1 · 19/6/3 · 11/9/3 · 9/6/3 · 21/5/2 | 3/5 over 16.5 | 4/5 over 5.5 | 3/5 over 2.5 | 0/5 over 1.5 |
| Alexandre Sarr 27 min predicted | 4/8/0 · 15/14/1 · 13/8/3 · 11/9/1 · 3/8/0 | 3/5 over 9.5 | 5/5 over 6.5 | 1/5 over 1.5 | 3/5 over 0.5 |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Pacers
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nembhard | 12/3/12 · 9/1/8 · 22/2/5 · 23/3/4 · 22/2/9 | — | — | — | — |
| Pascal Siakam | 29/9/8 · 23/2/5 · 20/4/2 · 17/5/5 · 13/5/4 | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Nesmith | 18/2/2 · 8/5/1 · 16/2/2 · 11/3/4 · 9/3/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Ivica Zubac | 16/3/0 · 10/12/5 · 1/4/2 · 2/1/2 · 9/11/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | 14/2/2 · 2/1/0 · 11/2/1 · 10/4/1 · 15/3/1 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Meetings this season
- Wed 11 Nov: Wizards 101, Pacers 114