Cavaliers at Heat ·
Cavaliers vs Heat Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 14 Nov 2026
Our model makes the Cavaliers 59% favourites on the road on . The bookmakers have Heat −2.5 with the total at 235.5. The Cavaliers will be missing Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley and Nae'Qwan Tomlin. The Heat will be missing Pelle Larsson, Klay Thompson and Vladislav Goldin. The Cavaliers have won 2 of their last 5 and are 2–3 against the spread over that stretch. The Heat have won 3 of their last 5 and are 0–5 against the spread over that stretch.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Cavaliers 118, Heat 115: a margin of Cavaliers by 2.8 against the bookmakers' Heat −2.5; total 233 against 235.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Cavaliers Out: Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley and Nae'Qwan Tomlin
- Heat Out: Pelle Larsson, Klay Thompson and Vladislav Goldin
Form and rest
Cavaliers on one day's rest
- W 115–107 at Knicks, Wed 11 Nov · won ATS
- L 112–124 at Hornets, Mon 9 Nov · lost ATS
- L 97–109 v Knicks, Sat 7 Nov · lost ATS
- W 119–95 v 76ers, Fri 6 Nov · won ATS
- L 116–124 at Thunder, Wed 4 Nov · lost ATS
Heat on 2 days' rest
- W 115–109 at Jazz, Tue 10 Nov · lost ATS
- W 114–108 at Kings, Sun 8 Nov · lost ATS
- L 100–120 at Warriors, Thu 5 Nov · lost ATS
- W 117–116 at Clippers, Wed 4 Nov · lost ATS
- L 117–138 at Lakers, Mon 2 Nov · lost ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, this season. Change the situation or date range.
Cavaliers
- Cavaliers away, as underdog, after a win, on 1 day's rest: no games yet
- Cavaliers away 2–4 straight up, 2–4 ATS, overs 4–2, -0.7 v spread n=6
- Cavaliers as underdog 2–4 straight up, 2–4 ATS, overs 2–4, +3.3 v spread n=6
- Cavaliers on 1 day's rest 6–3 straight up, 4–5 ATS, overs 6–3, +1.4 v spread n=9
- Cavaliers after a win 2–3 straight up, 1–4 ATS, overs 1–4, -3.9 v spread n=5
Heat
- Heat at home, as favourite, after a win, on 2–3 days' rest: no games yet
- Heat at home 1–3 straight up, 1–3 ATS, overs 2–2, -10.5 v spread n=4
- Heat as favourite 4–3 straight up, 1–6 ATS, overs 1–6, -7.1 v spread n=7
- Heat on 2–3 days' rest 1–1 straight up, 0–2 ATS, overs 1–1, -12.4 v spread n=2
- Heat after a win 2–2 straight up, 1–3 ATS, overs 2–2, -6.6 v spread n=4
Key players
Cavaliers
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden 34 min predicted | 32/2/4 · 11/3/5 · 7/2/5 · 17/6/3 · 19/9/6 | — | — | — | — |
| Donovan Mitchell 34 min predicted | 23/7/6 · 11/2/4 · 37/4/4 · 23/7/8 · 27/3/6 | — | — | — | — |
| Peyton Watson 29 min predicted | 7/5/4 · 13/2/1 · 12/6/3 · 13/9/2 · 5/2/6 | — | — | — | — |
| Jarrett Allen 28 min predicted | 11/14/3 · 12/7/1 · 0/1/0 · 14/6/1 · 25/11/4 | — | — | — | — |
| Jaylon Tyson 27 min predicted | 3/0/1 · 3/6/1 · 7/1/2 · 11/4/5 · 15/1/4 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Heat
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Mitchell 37 min predicted | 19/5/8 · 17/3/11 · 22/2/8 · 11/2/10 · 15/0/7 | — | — | — | — |
| Bam Adebayo 36 min predicted | 11/8/4 · 18/8/4 · 18/10/0 · 35/10/4 · 16/9/4 | — | — | — | — |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo 35 min predicted | 30/11/4 · 29/14/3 · 20/14/4 · 27/14/6 · 30/12/7 | — | — | — | — |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. 26 min predicted | 0/0/0 · 0/0/1 · 0/0/0 · 9/0/0 · 2/1/1 | — | — | — | — |
| Andrew Wiggins 26 min predicted | 13/0/0 · 6/3/1 · 2/6/4 · 3/4/1 · 7/0/2 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
The Drop
Jaylon Tyson points under 12.5 at 1.83 (PointsBet). The record.
Player predictions
Every player in the game, our prediction against the line. Lines from Australian bookmakers; a US book stands in where none has priced a player. Edges and the full board for this game.
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Threes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavaliers | ||||
| James Harden | 19.8 | 4.8 | 6.4 | 2.8 |
| Donovan Mitchell | 27.0 | 5.0 | 5.8 | 3.1 |
| Peyton Watson | 13.2 | 4.7 | 3.0 | 1.2 |
| Jarrett Allen | 14.9 | 9.1 | 1.4 | 0.1 |
| Jaylon Tyson | 11.3 | 5.1 | 3.3 | 1.7 |
| Meleek Thomas | 13.2 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 2.5 |
| Mario Hezonja | 7.6 | 5.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Thomas Bryant | 8.8 | 3.9 | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Craig Porter | 3.1 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.4 |
| Tyrese Proctor | 6.7 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| Riley Minix | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Norchad Omier | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Heat | ||||
| Davion Mitchell | 16.3 | 2.7 | 8.6 | 2.1 |
| Bam Adebayo | 19.6 | 10.3 | 3.8 | 1.5 |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 29.6 | 12.2 | 5.7 | 0.5 |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 10.6 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 2.1 |
| Andrew Wiggins | 10.3 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Ryan Conwell | 9.1 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 1.7 |
| Myron Gardner | 7.4 | 5.5 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| Bobby Portis | 7.9 | 5.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Nikola Jovic | 4.1 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| Simone Fontecchio | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Nick Richards | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Dru Smith | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Keshad Johnson | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |