Warriors at Spurs ·
Warriors vs Spurs Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 14 Nov 2026
Our model makes the Spurs 68% favourites at home on . The bookmakers have Spurs −12.5 with the total at 216.5. The Warriors will be missing Jimmy Butler III, Stephen Curry, Moses Moody, Kristaps Porzingis and Brandon Williams. The Spurs will be missing Tobias Harris and Jayden Quaintance. The Warriors have won 4 of their last 5 and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch. The Spurs have won 5 straight and are 2–3 against the spread over that stretch.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Warriors 112, Spurs 117: a margin of Spurs by 5.8 against the bookmakers' Spurs −12.5; total 229 against 216.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Warriors Out: Jimmy Butler III, Stephen Curry, Moses Moody, Kristaps Porzingis and Brandon Williams
- Spurs Out: Tobias Harris and Jayden Quaintance
Form and rest
Warriors on one day's rest
- L 108–115 at Rockets, Wed 11 Nov · lost ATS
- W 138–87 v Pelicans, Mon 9 Nov · won ATS
- W 126–119 v Magic, Sat 7 Nov · lost ATS
- W 120–100 v Heat, Thu 5 Nov · won ATS
- W 116–113 v Suns, Mon 2 Nov · won ATS
Spurs on one day's rest
- W 124–119 at Bulls, Wed 11 Nov · lost ATS
- W 122–96 at Suns, Mon 9 Nov · won ATS
- W 125–103 at Trail Blazers, Sat 7 Nov · won ATS
- W 124–109 at Kings, Fri 6 Nov · lost ATS
- W 112–111 v Mavericks, Wed 4 Nov · lost ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, this season. Change the situation or date range.
Warriors
- Warriors away, as underdog, after a loss, on 1 day's rest 1–0 straight up, 1–0 ATS, overs 1–0, +27.5 v spread n=1
- Warriors away 2–3 straight up, 3–2 ATS, overs 4–1, +4.2 v spread n=5
- Warriors as underdog 3–3 straight up, 4–2 ATS, overs 4–2, +6.9 v spread n=6
- Warriors on 1 day's rest 6–2 straight up, 5–3 ATS, overs 5–3, +12.2 v spread n=8
- Warriors after a loss 1–3 straight up, 2–2 ATS, overs 2–2, +1.2 v spread n=4
Spurs
- Spurs at home, as favourite, after a win, on 1 day's rest 2–0 straight up, 1–1 ATS, overs 0–2, -3.0 v spread n=2
- Spurs at home 4–2 straight up, 2–4 ATS, overs 2–4, -3.5 v spread n=6
- Spurs as favourite 10–1 straight up, 5–6 ATS, overs 4–7, +0.4 v spread n=11
- Spurs on 1 day's rest 5–0 straight up, 2–3 ATS, overs 2–3, -0.5 v spread n=5
- Spurs after a win 9–0 straight up, 4–5 ATS, overs 4–5, +1.3 v spread n=9
Key players
Warriors
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaxel Lendeborg 34 min predicted | 25/10/0 · 23/7/4 · 23/8/3 · 17/8/6 · 16/5/5 | — | — | — | — |
| Brandin Podziemski 34 min predicted | 22/6/4 · 25/2/4 · 15/7/1 · 9/6/3 · 20/3/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Draymond Green 30 min predicted | 7/5/7 · 2/3/6 · 2/6/13 · 2/5/11 · 4/4/2 | — | — | — | — |
| De'Anthony Melton 27 min predicted | 11/4/4 · 16/4/3 · 4/1/1 · 5/6/2 · 2/7/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Will Richard 23 min predicted | 9/4/0 · 4/2/1 · 10/0/2 · 6/5/0 · 3/0/3 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Spurs
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox 31 min predicted | 17/4/9 · 15/9/6 · 8/3/6 · 9/2/4 · 10/3/4 | — | — | — | — |
| Dylan Harper 31 min predicted | 18/6/10 · 17/5/4 · 13/7/3 · 19/2/3 · 21/5/0 | — | — | — | — |
| Victor Wembanyama 30 min predicted | 32/9/1 · 40/11/3 · 29/7/3 · 30/14/2 · 52/24/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Stephon Castle 28 min predicted | 11/1/3 · 4/8/7 · 14/7/5 · 19/3/7 · 17/10/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Devin Vassell 27 min predicted | 15/2/3 · 19/2/2 · 2/7/4 · 11/2/1 · 9/5/2 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Player predictions
Every player in the game, our prediction against the line. Lines from Australian bookmakers; a US book stands in where none has priced a player. Edges and the full board for this game.
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Threes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors | ||||
| Yaxel Lendeborg | 22.9 | 7.7 | 4.2 | 2.7 |
| Brandin Podziemski | 17.2 | 6.0 | 4.3 | 2.5 |
| Draymond Green | 5.7 | 5.2 | 7.8 | 1.0 |
| De'Anthony Melton | 12.5 | 4.8 | 3.2 | 2.2 |
| Will Richard | 6.7 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Georges Niang | 7.9 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Al Horford | 6.3 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| Gui Santos | 7.0 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| LJ Cryer | 7.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Gary Payton II | 3.9 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| Charles Bassey | 5.2 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Graham Ike | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Malevy Leons | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Spurs | ||||
| De'Aaron Fox | 14.1 | 3.8 | 6.2 | 1.3 |
| Dylan Harper | 17.0 | 5.3 | 4.6 | 1.2 |
| Victor Wembanyama | 27.4 | 10.8 | 2.9 | 1.8 |
| Stephon Castle | 14.0 | 4.8 | 5.3 | 1.4 |
| Devin Vassell | 10.7 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 1.8 |
| Keldon Johnson | 8.8 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| Julian Champagnie | 8.6 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 2.2 |
| Harrison Barnes | 6.5 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Luke Kornet | 4.0 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 0.0 |
| Carter Bryant | 5.2 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Maliq Brown | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ja'Kobi Gillespie | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| David Jones Garcia | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Tarris Reed Jr. | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |