Thunder at Mavericks ·
Thunder vs Mavericks Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 29 Oct 2026
Our model makes the Thunder 66% favourites on the road on . The Thunder will be missing Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Otega Oweh, Thomas Sorber, Nikola Topic, Cason Wallace and Jalen Williams. The Mavericks will be missing Santi Aldama, Tarik Biberovic, Sergio de Larrea, Dereck Lively II and Caleb Martin. The Thunder have won 4 straight and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch. The Mavericks have won 3 of their last 5 and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Thunder 113, Mavericks 108: a margin of Thunder by 4.9; total 222. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Thunder Out: Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Otega Oweh, Thomas Sorber, Nikola Topic, Cason Wallace and Jalen Williams
- Mavericks Out: Santi Aldama, Tarik Biberovic, Sergio de Larrea, Dereck Lively II and Caleb Martin
Form and rest
Thunder on one day's rest
- W 125–114 v Suns, Mon 26 Oct · won ATS
- W 108–101 v Clippers, Sun 25 Oct · lost ATS
- W 96–84 v Nuggets, Thu 22 Oct · won ATS
- W 116–104 at Spurs, Tue 20 Oct · won ATS
- L 103–135 v Suns, Sun 12 Apr · lost ATS
Mavericks on one day's rest
- W 113–109 at Heat, Mon 26 Oct · won ATS
- L 106–122 v Spurs, Sat 24 Oct · lost ATS
- W 121–105 at Pacers, Fri 23 Oct · won ATS
- L 110–128 at Rockets, Wed 21 Oct · lost ATS
- W 149–128 v Bulls, Sun 12 Apr · won ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, this season. Change the situation or date range.
Thunder
- Thunder away, after a win, on 2–3 days' rest: no games yet
- Thunder away 1–0 straight up, 1–0 ATS, overs 0–1, +10.5 v spread n=1
- Thunder on 2–3 days' rest 1–0 straight up, 0–1 ATS, overs 0–1, -9.5 v spread n=1
- Thunder after a win 3–0 straight up, 2–1 ATS, overs 1–2, -1.1 v spread n=3
- Thunder all games 4–0 straight up, 3–1 ATS, overs 1–3, +1.8 v spread n=4
Mavericks
- Mavericks at home, after a win, on 2–3 days' rest: no games yet
- Mavericks at home 0–1 straight up, 0–1 ATS, overs 0–1, -1.5 v spread n=1
- Mavericks on 2–3 days' rest: no games yet
- Mavericks after a win 0–2 straight up, 0–2 ATS, overs 1–1, -5.0 v spread n=2
- Mavericks all games 2–2 straight up, 2–2 ATS, overs 1–3, +6.2 v spread n=4
Key players
Thunder
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 35 min predicted | 26/3/3 · 34/6/5 · 17/2/3 · 32/6/4 · 35/4/9 | 2/5 over 32.5 | — | 1/5 over 6.5 | 3/5 over 1.5 |
| Ajay Mitchell 32 min predicted | 30/2/5 · 18/6/4 · 12/0/0 · 4/5/6 · 2/5/1 | 1/5 over 18.5 | — | 3/5 over 3.5 | — |
| Jared McCain 31 min predicted | 18/3/4 · 3/1/0 · 4/0/1 · 20/2/2 · 12/1/0 | 2/5 over 16.5 | — | — | 2/5 over 2.5 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein 27 min predicted | 15/13/3 · 12/12/1 · 6/6/2 · 4/3/3 · 7/5/0 | 2/5 over 9.5 | 2/5 over 9.5 | — | — |
| Kenrich Williams 24 min predicted | 3/7/0 · 3/1/0 · 3/1/1 · 3/2/0 · 2/1/0 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Mavericks
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg 34 min predicted | 29/6/11 · 14/5/6 · 32/5/2 · 10/4/1 · 33/6/5 | 3/5 over 24.5 | 0/5 over 6.5 | 1/5 over 6.5 | 3/5 over 1.5 |
| Kyrie Irving 33 min predicted | 18/6/6 · 24/1/3 · 15/4/2 · 7/1/1 · 31/5/3 | 2/5 over 20.5 | 3/5 over 3.5 | 1/5 over 3.5 | 1/5 over 2.5 |
| P.J. Washington 33 min predicted | 20/9/2 · 12/4/2 · 20/13/0 · 10/4/2 · 15/6/0 | 3/5 over 14.5 | 2/5 over 6.5 | — | 4/5 over 1.5 |
| Zaccharie Risacher 30 min predicted | 6/8/1 · 11/4/2 · 11/6/1 · 4/6/2 · 8/3/0 | — | — | — | — |
| Naji Marshall 29 min predicted | 10/4/5 · 15/4/6 · 16/2/6 · 6/2/0 · 13/6/7 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Player predictions
Every player in the game, our prediction against the line. Lines from Australian bookmakers; a US book stands in where none has priced a player. Edges and the full board for this game.
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Threes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder | ||||
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 31.4 v 32.5 | 4.0 | 7.0 v 6.5 | 1.7 v 1.5 |
| Ajay Mitchell | 20.0 v 18.5 | 4.1 | 5.3 v 3.5 | 1.2 |
| Jared McCain | 18.1 v 16.5 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 3.1 v 2.5 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 11.3 v 9.5 | 10.6 v 9.5 | 3.8 | 0.0 |
| Kenrich Williams | 9.7 | 5.7 | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| Jaylin Williams | 7.7 | 7.1 | 3.1 | 1.9 |
| Josh Dix | 6.7 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Bennett Stirtz | 9.0 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| Aday Mara | 8.1 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| Brooks Barnhizer | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Micah Peavy | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Mavericks | ||||
| Cooper Flagg | 25.2 v 24.5 | 6.9 v 6.5 | 5.6 v 6.5 | 1.3 v 1.5 |
| Kyrie Irving | 22.1 v 20.5 | 4.7 v 3.5 | 4.1 v 3.5 | 2.7 v 2.5 |
| P.J. Washington | 13.2 v 14.5 | 7.6 v 6.5 | 1.5 | 1.7 v 1.5 |
| Zaccharie Risacher | 10.2 | 5.9 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| Naji Marshall | 14.3 | 4.4 | 4.3 | 0.9 |
| Max Christie | 9.9 v 10.5 | 3.3 v 3.5 | 1.9 | 2.1 v 1.5 |
| Daniel Gafford | 10.1 v 9.5 | 7.0 v 7.5 | 1.9 | 0.0 |
| Walter Clayton Jr. | 6.1 | 1.8 | 3.7 | 1.0 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. | 5.8 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| Moussa Cisse | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Marcus Sasser | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jett Howard | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Tobi Lawal | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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