Celtics at Rockets ·
Celtics vs Rockets Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 3 Nov 2026 Free game of the day
Final: Celtics 93, Rockets 109. We had the Rockets at 65% and the Rockets won, as predicted. Our projected score was Celtics 112, Rockets 116. Against the closing line (Rockets −4.5) the Rockets won against the spread. The total went under the bookmakers' 215.5 (202); we had 228.
Our model makes the Rockets 65% favourites at home on . The bookmakers have Rockets −4.5 with the total at 215.5. The Celtics will be missing Devin Carter and Paul George. The Rockets will be missing Steven Adams, Clint Capela and Julian Phillips. The Celtics are on the second night of a back-to-back while the Rockets are on one day's rest. The Celtics have won 5 straight and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch. The Rockets have won 4 of their last 5 and are 4–1 against the spread over that stretch. They last met on Mon 2 Nov: Rockets 109–93.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Celtics 112, Rockets 116: a margin of Rockets by 4.6 against the bookmakers' Rockets −4.5; total 228 against 215.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Celtics Out: Devin Carter and Paul George
- Rockets Out: Steven Adams, Clint Capela and Julian Phillips
Form and rest
Celtics on the second night of a back-to-back
- W 108–97 at Magic, Sun 1 Nov · won ATS
- W 125–111 v Bulls, Fri 30 Oct · lost ATS
- W 125–124 v Nets, Tue 27 Oct · lost ATS
- W 134–99 v Bulls, Mon 26 Oct · won ATS
- W 107–103 v Knicks, Fri 23 Oct · won ATS
Rockets on one day's rest
- W 119–98 v Thunder, Sat 31 Oct · won ATS
- L 111–116 at Mavericks, Fri 30 Oct · lost ATS
- W 132–100 at Bucks, Wed 28 Oct · won ATS
- W 120–110 v Hawks, Mon 26 Oct · won ATS
- W 121–114 at Hawks, Sat 24 Oct · won ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, this season. Change the situation or date range.
Celtics
- Celtics away, as underdog, after a loss, on no rest: no games yet
- Celtics away 1–2 straight up, 1–2 ATS, overs 1–2, -5.8 v spread n=3
- Celtics as underdog 0–1 straight up, 0–1 ATS, overs 0–1, -11.5 v spread n=1
- Celtics on no rest 1–1 straight up, 0–2 ATS, overs 1–1, -11.9 v spread n=2
- Celtics after a loss 1–1 straight up, 1–1 ATS, overs 1–1, -4.0 v spread n=2
Rockets
- Rockets at home, as favourite, after a win, on no rest: no games yet
- Rockets at home 4–0 straight up, 4–0 ATS, overs 2–2, +11.0 v spread n=4
- Rockets as favourite 5–1 straight up, 5–1 ATS, overs 4–2, +9.5 v spread n=6
- Rockets on no rest 2–0 straight up, 2–0 ATS, overs 1–1, +13.0 v spread n=2
- Rockets after a win 5–1 straight up, 5–1 ATS, overs 4–2, +7.8 v spread n=6
Key players
Celtics
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum 35 min predicted | 32/4/7 · 26/7/7 · 40/5/8 · 23/7/6 · 36/9/7 | — | — | — | — |
| Paul George 32 min predicted | 17/6/8 · 18/6/8 · 20/7/7 · 16/5/2 · 15/7/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Derrick White 31 min predicted | 12/2/2 · 9/2/4 · 16/5/7 · 5/6/4 · 12/4/6 | — | — | — | — |
| Payton Pritchard 26 min predicted | 7/7/3 · 30/3/3 · 4/2/6 · 28/1/4 · 4/1/4 | — | — | — | — |
| Neemias Queta 24 min predicted | 8/8/1 · 13/6/0 · 7/3/2 · 7/5/1 · 15/6/1 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Rockets
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant 35 min predicted | 14/3/4 · 28/5/1 · 18/5/4 · 22/9/3 · 22/4/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Alperen Sengun 34 min predicted | 16/9/9 · 29/9/9 · 17/10/7 · 29/7/7 · 23/10/5 | — | — | — | — |
| Amen Thompson 34 min predicted | 8/3/1 · 15/3/6 · 23/4/3 · 15/5/2 · 17/11/6 | — | — | — | — |
| Jabari Smith Jr. 33 min predicted | 30/9/5 · 22/3/2 · 14/2/2 · 16/12/5 · 14/5/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Fred VanVleet 30 min predicted | 16/5/6 · 24/6/5 · 5/4/5 · 14/3/5 · 6/2/11 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Meetings this season
- Mon 2 Nov: Celtics 93, Rockets 109
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