Hawks at Pacers ·
Hawks vs Pacers Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 3 Nov 2026
Final: Hawks 108, Pacers 104. We had the Hawks at 74% and the Hawks won, as predicted. Our projected score was Hawks 119, Pacers 111. Against the closing line (Hawks −9.5) the Pacers won against the spread. The total went under the bookmakers' 227.5 (212); we had 230.
We give the Hawks a 74% chance on the road against the Pacers on . The bookmakers have Hawks −9.5 with the total at 227.5. The Hawks are without Kingston Flemings, Mouhamed Gueye, Jalen Johnson, Jock Landale, Henri Veesaar, Keshon Gilbert and Jalen Wilson. The Pacers are without Johnny Furphy, Tyrese Haliburton, T.J. McConnell, Larry Nance Jr., Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Kelly Oubre Jr., Ben Sheppard, Pascal Siakam, Obi Toppin and Ivica Zubac. The Pacers are on the second night of a back-to-back while the Hawks are on one day's rest. The Hawks have won 1 of their last 5 and are 1–4 against the spread over that stretch. The Pacers have lost 4 straight and are 2–3 against the spread over that stretch. They last met on Mon 2 Nov: Hawks 108–104.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Hawks 119, Pacers 111: a margin of Hawks by 7.6 against the bookmakers' Hawks −9.5; total 230 against 227.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Hawks Out: Kingston Flemings, Mouhamed Gueye, Jalen Johnson, Jock Landale, Henri Veesaar, Keshon Gilbert and Jalen Wilson
- Pacers Out: Johnny Furphy, Tyrese Haliburton, T.J. McConnell, Larry Nance Jr., Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Kelly Oubre Jr., Ben Sheppard, Pascal Siakam, Obi Toppin and Ivica Zubac
Form and rest
Hawks on one day's rest
- L 99–121 at Pelicans, Sat 31 Oct · lost ATS
- W 114–111 v Cavaliers, Thu 29 Oct · won ATS
- L 117–129 v Heat, Wed 28 Oct · lost ATS
- L 110–120 at Rockets, Mon 26 Oct · lost ATS
- L 114–121 v Rockets, Sat 24 Oct · lost ATS
Pacers on the second night of a back-to-back
- L 90–98 v Nets, Sun 1 Nov · lost ATS
- L 125–145 at Heat, Fri 30 Oct · lost ATS
- L 109–114 v 76ers, Wed 28 Oct · won ATS
- L 102–110 at Bucks, Mon 26 Oct · lost ATS
- W 136–109 at Nets, Sun 25 Oct · won ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, this season. Change the situation or date range.
Hawks
- Hawks away, as favourite, after a win, on no rest: no games yet
- Hawks away 3–2 straight up, 2–3 ATS, overs 2–3, +3.1 v spread n=5
- Hawks as favourite 3–3 straight up, 2–4 ATS, overs 2–4, -1.5 v spread n=6
- Hawks on no rest 1–1 straight up, 1–1 ATS, overs 1–1, -3.0 v spread n=2
- Hawks after a win 1–2 straight up, 1–2 ATS, overs 1–2, +3.2 v spread n=3
Pacers
- Pacers at home, as underdog, after a loss, on no rest 0–1 straight up, 1–0 ATS, overs 0–1, +5.5 v spread n=1
- Pacers at home 0–4 straight up, 2–2 ATS, overs 0–4, -6.8 v spread n=4
- Pacers as underdog 0–3 straight up, 2–1 ATS, overs 1–2, -1.2 v spread n=3
- Pacers on no rest 0–2 straight up, 1–1 ATS, overs 0–2, -3.0 v spread n=2
- Pacers after a loss 2–4 straight up, 4–2 ATS, overs 3–3, +1.1 v spread n=6
Key players
Hawks
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson 33 min predicted | 13/7/4 · 17/8/7 · 12/9/11 · 21/9/4 · 26/9/16 | — | — | — | — |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker 31 min predicted | 12/2/1 · 25/3/1 · 23/3/1 · 12/2/3 · 18/5/4 | — | — | — | — |
| Onyeka Okongwu 29 min predicted | 6/10/1 · 29/12/2 · 11/4/4 · 11/9/1 · 8/6/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Dyson Daniels 29 min predicted | 8/4/3 · 4/6/5 · 7/4/7 · 4/0/4 · 18/8/3 | — | — | — | — |
| CJ McCollum 28 min predicted | 14/2/2 · 5/3/8 · 13/2/1 · 20/1/3 · 17/2/1 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Pacers
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam 33 min predicted | 17/5/5 · 13/5/4 · 26/11/3 · 20/13/6 · 21/7/6 | — | — | — | — |
| Andrew Nembhard 33 min predicted | 23/3/4 · 22/2/9 · 18/3/14 · 14/1/3 · 16/2/5 | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Nesmith 28 min predicted | 11/3/4 · 9/3/2 · 18/2/1 · 13/0/1 · 13/1/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. 26 min predicted | 11/2/1 · 10/4/1 · 15/3/1 · 9/3/1 · 14/2/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Obi Toppin 23 min predicted | 13/6/0 · 14/6/2 · 16/6/2 · 13/5/1 · 20/3/1 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Meetings this season
- Mon 2 Nov: Hawks 108, Pacers 104
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