Heat at Lakers ·
Heat vs Lakers Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 3 Nov 2026
Final: Heat 117, Lakers 138. We had the Lakers at 62% and the Lakers won, as predicted. Our projected score was Heat 117, Lakers 121. Against the closing line (Lakers −2.5) the Lakers won against the spread. The total went over the bookmakers' 237.5 (255); we had 238.
We give the Lakers a 62% chance at home against the Heat on . The bookmakers have Lakers −2.5 with the total at 237.5. The Lakers are without Adou Thiero. The Lakers are on the second night of a back-to-back while the Heat are on 2 days' rest. The Heat have won 2 of their last 5 and are 2–3 against the spread over that stretch. The Lakers have won 3 of their last 5 and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch. They last met on Mon 2 Nov: Lakers 138–117.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Heat 117, Lakers 121: a margin of Lakers by 3.7 against the bookmakers' Lakers −2.5; total 238 against 237.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Heat no one listed
- Lakers Out: Adou Thiero
Form and rest
Heat on 2 days' rest
- W 145–125 v Pacers, Fri 30 Oct · won ATS
- W 129–117 at Hawks, Wed 28 Oct · won ATS
- L 109–113 v Mavericks, Mon 26 Oct · lost ATS
- L 110–115 at Hornets, Sat 24 Oct · lost ATS
- L 111–128 v Pistons, Fri 23 Oct · lost ATS
Lakers on the second night of a back-to-back
- W 131–125 v Raptors, Sun 1 Nov · won ATS
- L 95–112 at Warriors, Fri 30 Oct · lost ATS
- W 103–87 at Clippers, Wed 28 Oct · won ATS
- L 129–136 v Trail Blazers, Tue 27 Oct · lost ATS
- W 132–123 at Jazz, Sun 25 Oct · won ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, this season. Change the situation or date range.
Heat
- Heat away, as underdog, after a loss, on no rest: no games yet
- Heat away 1–2 straight up, 1–2 ATS, overs 2–1, -4.5 v spread n=3
- Heat as underdog 1–2 straight up, 1–2 ATS, overs 3–0, -6.5 v spread n=3
- Heat on no rest 0–1 straight up, 0–1 ATS, overs 0–1, -9.5 v spread n=1
- Heat after a loss 1–4 straight up, 1–4 ATS, overs 2–3, -9.7 v spread n=5
Lakers
- Lakers at home, as favourite, after a win, on no rest 1–0 straight up, 1–0 ATS, overs 1–0, +18.5 v spread n=1
- Lakers at home 4–1 straight up, 3–2 ATS, overs 4–1, +5.5 v spread n=5
- Lakers as favourite 5–2 straight up, 4–3 ATS, overs 5–2, +1.4 v spread n=7
- Lakers on no rest 2–0 straight up, 2–0 ATS, overs 1–1, +18.0 v spread n=2
- Lakers after a win 3–2 straight up, 2–3 ATS, overs 4–1, -1.8 v spread n=5
Key players
Heat
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Mitchell 34 min predicted | 15/6/11 · 10/1/10 · 21/0/2 · 22/1/10 · 18/2/5 | — | — | — | — |
| Bam Adebayo 33 min predicted | 27/9/3 · 24/9/3 · 8/8/3 · 20/8/4 · 4/6/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo 32 min predicted | 31/18/10 · 24/18/3 · 29/14/11 · 14/6/3 · 36/12/5 | — | — | — | — |
| Pelle Larsson 32 min predicted | 18/3/3 · 17/6/8 · 12/0/4 · 15/7/4 · 7/2/1 | — | — | — | — |
| Andrew Wiggins 28 min predicted | 12/2/1 · 18/2/2 · 12/3/1 · 4/1/1 · 8/8/2 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Lakers
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic 36 min predicted | 45/15/6 · 37/7/5 · 41/5/9 · 52/8/10 · 23/6/7 | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Reaves 35 min predicted | 19/3/4 · 21/4/5 · 16/6/1 · 26/4/7 · 29/1/4 | — | — | — | — |
| Walker Kessler 31 min predicted | 16/15/1 · 10/13/2 · 11/9/1 · 13/8/0 · 2/7/0 | — | — | — | — |
| Jake LaRavia 25 min predicted | 8/2/4 · 10/2/0 · 2/10/0 · 5/1/1 · 0/4/1 | — | — | — | — |
| Matisse Thybulle 23 min predicted | 6/2/3 · 10/3/0 · 15/1/0 · 5/2/1 · 11/1/1 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Meetings this season
- Mon 2 Nov: Heat 117, Lakers 138