Jazz at Spurs ·

Jazz vs Spurs Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 3 Nov 2026

Final: Jazz 97, Spurs 119. We had the Spurs at 84% and the Spurs won, as predicted. Our projected score was Jazz 108, Spurs 120. Against the closing line (Spurs −16.5) the Spurs won against the spread. The total went under the bookmakers' 228.5 (216); we had 227.

Our model makes the Spurs 84% favourites at home on . The bookmakers have Spurs −16.5 with the total at 228.5. The Jazz will be missing Trey Alexander, Jaren Jackson Jr., Jusuf Nurkic and Harrison Ingram. The Spurs will be missing Tobias Harris and Jayden Quaintance. The Jazz have lost 4 straight and are 1–4 against the spread over that stretch. The Spurs have won 4 straight and are 2–3 against the spread over that stretch. They last met on Mon 2 Nov: Spurs 119–97.

Prediction

Jazz win chance
16%
Spurs win chance
84%
Bookmakers
Spurs −16.5
total 228.5

Model numbers. Projected score Jazz 108, Spurs 120: a margin of Spurs by 12.1 against the bookmakers' Spurs −16.5; total 227 against 228.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.

Injuries and outs

Form and rest

Jazz on one day's rest

  • L 90–112 v Trail Blazers, Sat 31 Oct · lost ATS
  • L 111–117 v Spurs, Wed 28 Oct · won ATS
  • L 105–110 v Grizzlies, Mon 26 Oct · lost ATS
  • L 123–132 v Lakers, Sun 25 Oct · lost ATS
  • W 120–119 v Pelicans, Fri 23 Oct · lost ATS

Spurs on one day's rest

  • W 121–111 v Timberwolves, Sat 31 Oct · lost ATS
  • W 117–111 at Jazz, Wed 28 Oct · lost ATS
  • W 130–103 v Kings, Tue 27 Oct · won ATS
  • W 122–106 at Mavericks, Sat 24 Oct · won ATS
  • L 110–114 v Rockets, Fri 23 Oct · lost ATS

Game trends in this situation

Each side in this game's situation, this season. Change the situation or date range.

Jazz

  • Jazz away, as underdog, after a loss, on no rest: no games yet
  • Jazz away 0–2 straight up, 0–2 ATS, overs 0–2, -12.0 v spread n=2
  • Jazz as underdog 0–6 straight up, 1–5 ATS, overs 1–5, -6.3 v spread n=6
  • Jazz on no rest 0–1 straight up, 0–1 ATS, overs 0–1, -3.5 v spread n=1
  • Jazz after a loss 1–5 straight up, 1–5 ATS, overs 0–6, -6.0 v spread n=6

Spurs

  • Spurs at home, as favourite, after a win, on no rest: no games yet
  • Spurs at home 3–2 straight up, 2–3 ATS, overs 2–3, -1.9 v spread n=5
  • Spurs as favourite 5–1 straight up, 3–3 ATS, overs 2–4, -0.8 v spread n=6
  • Spurs on no rest 2–0 straight up, 1–1 ATS, overs 0–2, -3.0 v spread n=2
  • Spurs after a win 4–0 straight up, 2–2 ATS, overs 2–2, +0.8 v spread n=4

Key players

Jazz

PlayerLast 5Points v lineRebounds v lineAssists v lineThrees v line
Lauri Markkanen
35 min predicted
13/6/1 · 2/0/0 · 28/7/1 · 16/6/3 · 18/9/3————
Ace Bailey
35 min predicted
9/7/1 · 19/6/0 · 17/10/3 · 17/12/4 · 6/7/2————
Keyonte George
33 min predicted
8/3/4 · 31/4/3 · 26/3/6 · 24/9/10 · 19/1/10————
Darryn Peterson
31 min predicted
16/4/4 · 18/5/3 · 14/7/4 · 8/3/2 · 15/3/1————
Jaxson Hayes
28 min predicted
7/7/2 · 2/11/4 · 9/5/1 · 17/5/2 · 5/5/3————

Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.

Spurs

PlayerLast 5Points v lineRebounds v lineAssists v lineThrees v line
De'Aaron Fox
34 min predicted
22/8/7 · 14/3/4 · 11/4/6 · 19/3/9 · 19/4/9————
Dylan Harper
34 min predicted
25/7/6 · 13/5/8 · 13/6/6 · 22/5/2 · 20/3/2————
Victor Wembanyama
33 min predicted
43/7/4 · 36/14/5 · 29/10/2 · 23/7/2 · 25/13/2————
Devin Vassell
31 min predicted
9/5/2 · 21/5/2 · 14/4/8 · 11/4/6 · 10/4/2————
Stephon Castle
30 min predicted
0/5/4 · 14/6/8 · 15/5/5 · 19/4/8 · 15/7/5————

Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.

Meetings this season

Today's NBA tips · Jazz · Spurs · Every Jazz v Spurs game