Bucks at Celtics ·
Bucks vs Celtics Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 5 Nov 2026 Free game of the day
Final: Bucks 102, Celtics 109. We had the Celtics at 73% and the Celtics won, as predicted. Our projected score was Bucks 111, Celtics 118. Against the closing line (Celtics −11.5) the Bucks won against the spread. The total went under the bookmakers' 222.5 (211); we had 229.
Our model makes the Celtics 73% favourites at home on . The bookmakers have Celtics −11.5 with the total at 222.5. The Bucks will be missing Kam Jones. The Celtics will be missing Devin Carter, Jayson Tatum and Amari Williams. The Bucks have lost 3 straight and are 2–3 against the spread over that stretch. The Celtics have won 4 of their last 5 and are 2–3 against the spread over that stretch. They last met on Wed 4 Nov: Celtics 109–102.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Bucks 111, Celtics 118: a margin of Celtics by 7.5 against the bookmakers' Celtics −11.5; total 229 against 222.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Bucks Out: Kam Jones
- Celtics Out: Devin Carter, Jayson Tatum and Amari Williams
Form and rest
Bucks on one day's rest
- L 100–112 at Timberwolves, Mon 2 Nov · lost ATS
- L 111–136 v Cavaliers, Sat 31 Oct · lost ATS
- L 100–132 v Rockets, Wed 28 Oct · lost ATS
- W 110–102 v Pacers, Mon 26 Oct · won ATS
- L 116–127 at 76ers, Sat 24 Oct · won ATS
Celtics on one day's rest
- L 93–109 at Rockets, Mon 2 Nov · lost ATS
- W 108–97 at Magic, Sun 1 Nov · won ATS
- W 125–111 v Bulls, Fri 30 Oct · lost ATS
- W 125–124 v Nets, Tue 27 Oct · lost ATS
- W 134–99 v Bulls, Mon 26 Oct · won ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, this season. Change the situation or date range.
Bucks
- Bucks away, as underdog, after a loss, on no rest 0–1 straight up, 1–0 ATS, overs 1–0, +1.8 v spread n=1
- Bucks away 0–4 straight up, 2–2 ATS, overs 2–2, -0.4 v spread n=4
- Bucks as underdog 1–6 straight up, 3–4 ATS, overs 4–3, -4.2 v spread n=7
- Bucks on no rest 0–1 straight up, 1–0 ATS, overs 1–0, +1.8 v spread n=1
- Bucks after a loss 1–6 straight up, 3–4 ATS, overs 4–3, -2.0 v spread n=7
Celtics
- Celtics at home, as favourite, after a win, on no rest 1–0 straight up, 0–1 ATS, overs 1–0, -12.2 v spread n=1
- Celtics at home 5–0 straight up, 2–3 ATS, overs 2–3, +0.9 v spread n=5
- Celtics as favourite 6–1 straight up, 3–4 ATS, overs 3–4, -0.2 v spread n=7
- Celtics on no rest 1–1 straight up, 0–2 ATS, overs 1–1, -11.9 v spread n=2
- Celtics after a win 4–1 straight up, 2–3 ATS, overs 2–3, -0.1 v spread n=5
Key players
Bucks
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro | 21/6/3 · 15/3/2 · 23/3/0 · 23/10/7 · 13/6/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Myles Turner | 13/5/2 · 10/7/2 · 4/2/2 · 6/9/4 · 0/5/1 | — | — | — | — |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 19/8/2 · 8/7/5 · 19/4/2 · 8/6/0 · 21/8/4 | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Kuzma | 2/2/3 · 14/3/3 · 4/6/1 · 17/7/3 · 14/12/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Rollins | 10/3/2 · 9/3/7 · 4/4/5 · 19/2/4 · 15/4/3 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Celtics
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum | 19/6/9 · 32/4/7 · 26/7/7 · 40/5/8 · 23/7/6 | — | — | — | — |
| Paul George | 17/6/8 · 18/6/8 · 20/7/7 · 16/5/2 · 15/7/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Derrick White | 7/2/3 · 12/2/2 · 9/2/4 · 16/5/7 · 5/6/4 | — | — | — | — |
| Payton Pritchard | 4/3/3 · 7/7/3 · 30/3/3 · 4/2/6 · 28/1/4 | — | — | — | — |
| Neemias Queta | 16/6/1 · 8/8/1 · 13/6/0 · 7/3/2 · 7/5/1 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Meetings this season
- Wed 4 Nov: Bucks 102, Celtics 109
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