Celtics at Bucks ·
Celtics vs Bucks Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 9 Nov 2026
Final: Celtics 117, Bucks 97. We had the Celtics at 75% and the Celtics won, as predicted. Our projected score was Celtics 116, Bucks 108. Against the closing line (Celtics −13.5) the Celtics won against the spread. The total went under the bookmakers' 221.5 (214); we had 225.
We give the Celtics a 75% chance on the road against the Bucks on . The bookmakers have Celtics −13.5 with the total at 221.5. The Celtics are without Devin Carter, Dillon Mitchell and Amari Williams. The Bucks are without Gary Trent Jr., Kam Jones, Bogoljub Markovic, Pete Nance and Cormac Ryan. The Celtics have won 4 of their last 5 and are 2–3 against the spread over that stretch. The Bucks have lost 5 straight and are 1–4 against the spread over that stretch. They last met on Sun 8 Nov: Celtics 117–97.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Celtics 116, Bucks 108: a margin of Celtics by 8.0 against the bookmakers' Celtics −13.5; total 225 against 221.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Celtics Out: Devin Carter, Dillon Mitchell and Amari Williams
- Bucks Out: Gary Trent Jr., Kam Jones, Bogoljub Markovic, Pete Nance and Cormac Ryan
Form and rest
Celtics on one day's rest
- W 119–80 at Hornets, Fri 6 Nov · won ATS
- W 109–102 v Bucks, Wed 4 Nov · lost ATS
- L 93–109 at Rockets, Mon 2 Nov · lost ATS
- W 108–97 at Magic, Sun 1 Nov · won ATS
- W 125–111 v Bulls, Fri 30 Oct · lost ATS
Bucks on one day's rest
- L 107–121 v Raptors, Fri 6 Nov · lost ATS
- L 102–109 at Celtics, Wed 4 Nov · won ATS
- L 100–112 at Timberwolves, Mon 2 Nov · lost ATS
- L 111–136 v Cavaliers, Sat 31 Oct · lost ATS
- L 100–132 v Rockets, Wed 28 Oct · lost ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, this season. Change the situation or date range.
Celtics
- Celtics away, as favourite, after a win, on 1 day's rest 3–0 straight up, 3–0 ATS, overs 0–3, +12.8 v spread n=3
- Celtics away 3–2 straight up, 3–2 ATS, overs 1–4, +3.5 v spread n=5
- Celtics as favourite 8–1 straight up, 5–4 ATS, overs 3–6, +3.8 v spread n=9
- Celtics on 1 day's rest 4–0 straight up, 3–1 ATS, overs 0–4, +8.5 v spread n=4
- Celtics after a win 6–1 straight up, 4–3 ATS, overs 2–5, +5.0 v spread n=7
Bucks
- Bucks at home, as underdog, after a loss, on 1 day's rest 1–2 straight up, 1–2 ATS, overs 1–2, -1.8 v spread n=3
- Bucks at home 1–5 straight up, 1–5 ATS, overs 4–2, -8.8 v spread n=6
- Bucks as underdog 1–8 straight up, 3–6 ATS, overs 5–4, -5.1 v spread n=9
- Bucks on 1 day's rest 1–6 straight up, 2–5 ATS, overs 3–4, -4.8 v spread n=7
- Bucks after a loss 1–8 straight up, 3–6 ATS, overs 5–4, -3.5 v spread n=9
Key players
Celtics
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum | 34/8/9 · 19/6/9 · 32/4/7 · 26/7/7 · 40/5/8 | — | — | — | — |
| Derrick White | 18/4/5 · 24/4/7 · 7/2/3 · 12/2/2 · 9/2/4 | — | — | — | — |
| Paul George | 8/5/1 · 25/3/5 · 17/6/8 · 18/6/8 · 20/7/7 | — | — | — | — |
| Payton Pritchard | 12/6/5 · 10/1/5 · 4/3/3 · 7/7/3 · 30/3/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Neemias Queta | 4/3/1 · 9/12/3 · 16/6/1 · 8/8/1 · 13/6/0 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Bucks
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro | 23/5/10 · 25/5/3 · 21/6/3 · 15/3/2 · 23/3/0 | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Kuzma | 13/4/3 · 6/5/4 · 2/2/3 · 14/3/3 · 4/6/1 | — | — | — | — |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 14/3/3 · 18/2/2 · 19/8/2 · 8/7/5 · 19/4/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Myles Turner | 0/7/0 · 12/9/6 · 13/5/2 · 10/7/2 · 4/2/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Rollins | 10/1/1 · 13/9/5 · 10/3/2 · 9/3/7 · 4/4/5 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Meetings this season
- Sun 8 Nov: Celtics 117, Bucks 97
- Wed 4 Nov: Bucks 102, Celtics 109
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