Cavaliers at Thunder ·
Cavaliers vs Thunder Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 5 Nov 2026
Final: Cavaliers 116, Thunder 124. We had the Thunder at 52% and the Thunder won, as predicted. Our projected score was Cavaliers 113, Thunder 113. Against the closing line (Thunder −3.5) the Thunder won against the spread. The total went over the bookmakers' 226.5 (240); we had 226.
The Thunder are 52% to beat the Cavaliers at home on , by our numbers. The bookmakers have Thunder −3.5 with the total at 226.5. Jaylon Tyson and Peyton Watson are out for the Cavaliers. Chet Holmgren, Thomas Sorber, Nikola Topic, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams and Jaylin Williams are out for the Thunder. The Cavaliers have won 3 of their last 5 and are 2–3 against the spread over that stretch. The Thunder have won 3 of their last 5 and are 2–3 against the spread over that stretch. They last met on Wed 4 Nov: Thunder 124–116.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Cavaliers 113, Thunder 113: a margin of Thunder by 0.7 against the bookmakers' Thunder −3.5; total 226 against 226.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Cavaliers Out: Jaylon Tyson and Peyton Watson
- Thunder Out: Chet Holmgren, Thomas Sorber, Nikola Topic, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams and Jaylin Williams
Form and rest
Cavaliers on one day's rest
- L 112–117 v Thunder, Mon 2 Nov · lost ATS
- W 136–111 at Bucks, Sat 31 Oct · won ATS
- L 111–114 at Hawks, Thu 29 Oct · lost ATS
- W 121–111 v Wizards, Wed 28 Oct · won ATS
- W 127–125 v Timberwolves, Mon 26 Oct · lost ATS
Thunder on one day's rest
- W 117–112 at Cavaliers, Mon 2 Nov · won ATS
- L 98–119 at Rockets, Sat 31 Oct · lost ATS
- L 96–120 at Mavericks, Wed 28 Oct · lost ATS
- W 125–114 v Suns, Mon 26 Oct · won ATS
- W 108–101 v Clippers, Sun 25 Oct · lost ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, this season. Change the situation or date range.
Cavaliers
- Cavaliers away, as underdog, after a loss, on no rest: no games yet
- Cavaliers away 1–3 straight up, 1–3 ATS, overs 2–2, +1.0 v spread n=4
- Cavaliers as underdog 0–3 straight up, 0–3 ATS, overs 1–2, -3.8 v spread n=3
- Cavaliers on no rest 0–1 straight up, 0–1 ATS, overs 0–1, -1.5 v spread n=1
- Cavaliers after a loss 2–2 straight up, 1–3 ATS, overs 3–1, -0.3 v spread n=4
Thunder
- Thunder at home, as favourite, after a win, on no rest 1–0 straight up, 1–0 ATS, overs 1–0, +2.5 v spread n=1
- Thunder at home 4–0 straight up, 3–1 ATS, overs 2–2, +0.3 v spread n=4
- Thunder as favourite 5–1 straight up, 4–2 ATS, overs 2–4, -3.0 v spread n=6
- Thunder on no rest 1–0 straight up, 1–0 ATS, overs 1–0, +2.5 v spread n=1
- Thunder after a win 4–1 straight up, 3–2 ATS, overs 2–3, -5.7 v spread n=5
Key players
Cavaliers
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell | 17/5/11 · 15/4/3 · 22/3/3 · 19/5/7 · 26/5/7 | — | — | — | — |
| James Harden | 14/4/6 · 13/6/7 · 24/5/4 · 16/2/6 · 19/5/9 | — | — | — | — |
| Evan Mobley | 16/7/4 · 27/5/3 · 11/4/7 · 24/12/2 · 18/10/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Peyton Watson | 5/2/6 · 4/4/3 · 22/6/2 · 15/8/1 · 11/3/4 | — | — | — | — |
| Jarrett Allen | 14/6/1 · 25/11/4 · 14/8/1 · 8/12/2 · 10/9/2 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Thunder
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 43/3/8 · 26/4/3 · 21/6/2 · 26/3/3 · 34/6/5 | — | — | — | — |
| Ajay Mitchell | 20/5/1 · 6/3/5 · 29/4/3 · 30/2/5 · 18/6/4 | — | — | — | — |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 5/14/4 · 10/7/0 · 10/14/3 · 15/13/3 · 12/12/1 | — | — | — | — |
| Jared McCain | 7/9/2 · 10/4/2 · 10/4/4 · 18/3/4 · 3/1/0 | — | — | — | — |
| Aday Mara | 10/9/0 · 7/9/3 · 6/3/1 · 11/10/2 · 2/3/1 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Meetings this season
- Wed 4 Nov: Cavaliers 116, Thunder 124
- Mon 2 Nov: Thunder 117, Cavaliers 112
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