Heat at Clippers ·
Heat vs Clippers Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 5 Nov 2026
Final: Heat 117, Clippers 116. We had the Heat at 57% and the Heat won, as predicted. Our projected score was Heat 118, Clippers 116. Against the closing line (Heat −6) the Clippers won against the spread. The total went under the bookmakers' 233.5 (233); we had 234.
The Heat are 57% to beat the Clippers on the road on , by our numbers. The bookmakers have Heat −6 with the total at 233.5. Bradley Beal, Brandon Ingram, Jordan Miller and Yanic Konan Niederhauser are out for the Clippers. The Heat have won 2 of their last 5 and are 2–3 against the spread over that stretch. The Clippers have lost 5 straight and are 1–4 against the spread over that stretch. They last met on Wed 4 Nov: Heat 117–116.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Heat 118, Clippers 116: a margin of Heat by 2.2 against the bookmakers' Heat −6; total 234 against 233.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Heat no one listed
- Clippers Out: Bradley Beal, Brandon Ingram, Jordan Miller and Yanic Konan Niederhauser
Form and rest
Heat on one day's rest
- L 117–138 at Lakers, Mon 2 Nov · lost ATS
- W 145–125 v Pacers, Fri 30 Oct · won ATS
- W 129–117 at Hawks, Wed 28 Oct · won ATS
- L 109–113 v Mavericks, Mon 26 Oct · lost ATS
- L 110–115 at Hornets, Sat 24 Oct · lost ATS
Clippers on one day's rest
- L 118–125 v Raptors, Mon 2 Nov · lost ATS
- L 112–124 at Warriors, Sun 1 Nov · lost ATS
- L 101–127 at Timberwolves, Fri 30 Oct · lost ATS
- L 87–103 v Lakers, Wed 28 Oct · lost ATS
- L 101–108 at Thunder, Sun 25 Oct · won ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, this season. Change the situation or date range.
Heat
- Heat away, as favourite, after a win, on no rest: no games yet
- Heat away 2–2 straight up, 1–3 ATS, overs 2–2, -4.6 v spread n=4
- Heat as favourite 2–3 straight up, 1–4 ATS, overs 1–4, -8.2 v spread n=5
- Heat on no rest 0–1 straight up, 0–1 ATS, overs 0–1, -9.5 v spread n=1
- Heat after a win 1–1 straight up, 1–1 ATS, overs 2–0, -3.5 v spread n=2
Clippers
- Clippers at home, as underdog, after a loss, on no rest 0–1 straight up, 0–1 ATS, overs 1–0, -1.5 v spread n=1
- Clippers at home 1–3 straight up, 2–2 ATS, overs 1–3, +1.4 v spread n=4
- Clippers as underdog 0–6 straight up, 3–3 ATS, overs 4–2, -2.5 v spread n=6
- Clippers on no rest 0–1 straight up, 0–1 ATS, overs 1–0, -1.5 v spread n=1
- Clippers after a loss 1–6 straight up, 3–4 ATS, overs 3–4, -1.9 v spread n=7
Key players
Heat
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Mitchell 33 min predicted | 15/0/7 · 15/6/11 · 10/1/10 · 21/0/2 · 22/1/10 | — | — | — | — |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo 32 min predicted | 30/12/7 · 31/18/10 · 24/18/3 · 29/14/11 · 14/6/3 | 2/5 over 29.5 | 4/5 over 11.5 | 3/5 over 6.5 | — |
| Bam Adebayo 32 min predicted | 16/9/4 · 27/9/3 · 24/9/3 · 8/8/3 · 20/8/4 | 2/5 over 21.5 | 0/5 over 10.5 | 2/5 over 3.5 | 1/5 over 1.5 |
| Pelle Larsson 29 min predicted | 9/3/2 · 18/3/3 · 17/6/8 · 12/0/4 · 15/7/4 | — | — | — | — |
| Klay Thompson 25 min predicted | 19/1/1 · 25/0/3 · 3/1/2 · 6/1/1 · 14/3/0 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Clippers
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Garland | 16/4/8 · 15/0/7 · 24/2/5 · 14/1/5 · 16/4/11 | — | — | — | — |
| Rui Hachimura | 24/7/0 · 12/5/0 · 5/4/0 · 16/6/1 · 10/8/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Kris Dunn | 12/4/1 · 12/2/4 · 5/5/7 · 5/3/3 · 15/4/6 | — | — | — | — |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 9/7/1 · 10/1/1 · 15/5/0 · 11/6/1 · 16/4/1 | — | — | — | — |
| Keaton Wagler | 6/4/4 · 7/4/4 · 12/6/3 · 21/4/2 · 11/5/4 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Meetings this season
- Wed 4 Nov: Heat 117, Clippers 116
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