Jazz at Pelicans · Thu 5 Nov · 12pm AEDT

Jazz vs Pelicans Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 5 Nov 2026

Final: Jazz 113, Pelicans 120. We had the Pelicans at 82% and the Pelicans won, as predicted. Our projected score was Jazz 111, Pelicans 122. Against the closing line (Pelicans −4.5) the Pelicans won against the spread. The total went over the bookmakers' 232.5 (233); we had 234.

Our model makes the Pelicans 82% favourites at home on Thursday 5 November at 12pm AEDT. The bookmakers have Pelicans −4.5 with the total at 232.5. The Jazz will be missing Trey Alexander, Jaren Jackson Jr., Jusuf Nurkic and Harrison Ingram. The Pelicans will be missing Yves Missi and Trey Murphy III. The Jazz have lost 5 straight and are 1–4 against the spread over that stretch. The Pelicans have won 3 straight and are 4–1 against the spread over that stretch. They last met on Wed 4 Nov: Pelicans 120–113.

Prediction

Jazz win chance

18%

Pelicans win chance

82%

Bookmakers

Pelicans −4.5

total 232.5

Model numbers. Projected score Jazz 111, Pelicans 122: a margin of Pelicans by 11.0 against the bookmakers' Pelicans −4.5; total 234 against 232.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.

Injuries and outs

Jazz Out: Trey Alexander, Jaren Jackson Jr., Jusuf Nurkic and Harrison Ingram
Pelicans Out: Yves Missi and Trey Murphy III

Form and rest

Jazz on one day's rest

L 97–119 at Spurs, Mon 2 Nov · lost ATS
L 90–112 v Trail Blazers, Sat 31 Oct · lost ATS
L 111–117 v Spurs, Wed 28 Oct · won ATS
L 105–110 v Grizzlies, Mon 26 Oct · lost ATS
L 123–132 v Lakers, Sun 25 Oct · lost ATS

Pelicans on one day's rest

W 135–134 at Grizzlies, Mon 2 Nov · won ATS
W 121–99 v Hawks, Sat 31 Oct · won ATS
W 132–120 v Kings, Thu 29 Oct · won ATS
L 91–104 v Nuggets, Wed 28 Oct · lost ATS
L 135–141 at Nuggets, Sat 24 Oct · won ATS

Game trends in this situation

Each side in this game's situation, this season. Change the situation or date range.

Jazz

Jazz away, as underdog, after a loss, on no rest: no games yet
Jazz away 0–3 straight up, 0–3 ATS, overs 1–2, -8.8 v spread n=3
Jazz as underdog 0–7 straight up, 1–6 ATS, overs 2–5, -5.8 v spread n=7
Jazz on no rest 0–1 straight up, 0–1 ATS, overs 0–1, -3.5 v spread n=1
Jazz after a loss 1–6 straight up, 1–6 ATS, overs 1–6, -5.5 v spread n=7

Pelicans

Pelicans at home, as favourite, after a win, on no rest: no games yet
Pelicans at home 3–2 straight up, 3–2 ATS, overs 3–2, +5.3 v spread n=5
Pelicans as favourite 2–0 straight up, 2–0 ATS, overs 2–0, +4.0 v spread n=2
Pelicans on no rest 1–1 straight up, 2–0 ATS, overs 2–0, +5.5 v spread n=2
Pelicans after a win 3–0 straight up, 3–0 ATS, overs 2–1, +12.1 v spread n=3

Key players

Jazz

Player	Last 5	Points v line	Rebounds v line	Assists v line	Threes v line
Lauri Markkanen	22/8/3 · 13/6/1 · 2/0/0 · 28/7/1 · 16/6/3	—	—	—	—
Keyonte George	7/7/0 · 8/3/4 · 31/4/3 · 26/3/6 · 24/9/10	—	—	—	—
Ace Bailey	5/6/2 · 9/7/1 · 19/6/0 · 17/10/3 · 17/12/4	—	—	—	—
Jaren Jackson Jr.	6/3/2 · 20/2/1 · 24/10/3 · 15/5/2 · 23/4/2	—	—	—	—
Darryn Peterson	14/4/6 · 16/4/4 · 18/5/3 · 14/7/4 · 8/3/2	—	—	—	—

Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.

Pelicans

Player	Last 5	Points v line	Rebounds v line	Assists v line	Threes v line
Dejounte Murray	10/8/5 · 22/6/6 · 16/6/6 · 23/3/7 · 9/8/5	—	—	—	—
Zion Williamson	25/11/4 · 15/6/4 · 22/6/2 · 25/5/2 · 17/1/2	—	—	—	—
Trey Murphy III	18/5/5 · 15/5/5 · 19/5/3 · 6/1/3 · 26/6/4	—	—	—	—
Jeremiah Fears	12/4/7 · 20/5/7 · 22/8/13 · 11/4/3 · 10/6/2	—	—	—	—
Saddiq Bey	18/5/1 · 25/6/1 · 10/4/3 · 9/0/3 · 14/4/3	—	—	—	—

Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.

Meetings this season

Wed 4 Nov: Jazz 113, Pelicans 120
Fri 23 Oct: Pelicans 119, Jazz 120

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