Mavericks at Spurs ·
Mavericks vs Spurs Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 5 Nov 2026
Final: Mavericks 111, Spurs 112. We had the Spurs at 72% and the Spurs won, as predicted. Our projected score was Mavericks 109, Spurs 116. Against the closing line (Spurs −12.5) the Mavericks won against the spread. The total went under the bookmakers' 226.5 (223); we had 225.
We give the Spurs a 72% chance at home against the Mavericks on . The bookmakers have Spurs −12.5 with the total at 226.5. The Mavericks are without Santi Aldama, Tarik Biberovic, Max Christie, Sergio de Larrea and Dereck Lively II. The Spurs are without Tobias Harris and Jayden Quaintance. The Mavericks have won 3 of their last 5 and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch. The Spurs have won 5 straight and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch. They last met on Wed 4 Nov: Spurs 112–111.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Mavericks 109, Spurs 116: a margin of Spurs by 7.0 against the bookmakers' Spurs −12.5; total 225 against 226.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Mavericks Out: Santi Aldama, Tarik Biberovic, Max Christie, Sergio de Larrea and Dereck Lively II
- Spurs Out: Tobias Harris and Jayden Quaintance
Form and rest
Mavericks on one day's rest
- L 100–115 v Kings, Mon 2 Nov · lost ATS
- W 116–111 v Rockets, Fri 30 Oct · won ATS
- W 120–96 v Thunder, Wed 28 Oct · won ATS
- W 113–109 at Heat, Mon 26 Oct · won ATS
- L 106–122 v Spurs, Sat 24 Oct · lost ATS
Spurs on one day's rest
- W 119–97 v Jazz, Mon 2 Nov · won ATS
- W 121–111 v Timberwolves, Sat 31 Oct · lost ATS
- W 117–111 at Jazz, Wed 28 Oct · lost ATS
- W 130–103 v Kings, Tue 27 Oct · won ATS
- W 122–106 at Mavericks, Sat 24 Oct · won ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, this season. Change the situation or date range.
Mavericks
- Mavericks away, as underdog, after a loss, on no rest: no games yet
- Mavericks away 2–2 straight up, 3–1 ATS, overs 1–3, +9.5 v spread n=4
- Mavericks as underdog 4–3 straight up, 5–2 ATS, overs 2–5, +10.9 v spread n=7
- Mavericks on no rest 0–1 straight up, 0–1 ATS, overs 0–1, -1.5 v spread n=1
- Mavericks after a loss 2–1 straight up, 3–0 ATS, overs 0–3, +15.5 v spread n=3
Spurs
- Spurs at home, as favourite, after a win, on no rest: no games yet
- Spurs at home 4–2 straight up, 2–4 ATS, overs 2–4, -3.5 v spread n=6
- Spurs as favourite 6–1 straight up, 3–4 ATS, overs 2–5, -2.3 v spread n=7
- Spurs on no rest 2–0 straight up, 1–1 ATS, overs 0–2, -3.0 v spread n=2
- Spurs after a win 5–0 straight up, 2–3 ATS, overs 2–3, -1.6 v spread n=5
Key players
Mavericks
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg | 17/4/6 · 33/9/6 · 26/5/8 · 29/6/11 · 14/5/6 | — | — | — | — |
| P.J. Washington | 12/5/1 · 3/10/1 · 18/9/0 · 20/9/2 · 12/4/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Kyrie Irving | 35/4/9 · 15/2/4 · 18/6/6 · 24/1/3 · 15/4/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Zaccharie Risacher | 0/5/1 · 12/6/3 · 13/6/1 · 6/8/1 · 11/4/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Naji Marshall | 5/2/7 · 10/4/5 · 15/4/6 · 16/2/6 · 6/2/0 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Spurs
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Harper | 17/7/8 · 25/7/6 · 13/5/8 · 13/6/6 · 22/5/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Devin Vassell | 11/2/1 · 9/5/2 · 21/5/2 · 14/4/8 · 11/4/6 | — | — | — | — |
| Victor Wembanyama | 12/11/5 · 43/7/4 · 36/14/5 · 29/10/2 · 23/7/2 | — | — | — | — |
| De'Aaron Fox | 12/2/3 · 22/8/7 · 14/3/4 · 11/4/6 · 19/3/9 | — | — | — | — |
| Stephon Castle | 16/5/4 · 0/5/4 · 14/6/8 · 15/5/5 · 19/4/8 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Meetings this season
- Wed 4 Nov: Mavericks 111, Spurs 112
- Sat 24 Oct: Spurs 122, Mavericks 106
Today's NBA tips · Mavericks · Spurs · Every Mavericks v Spurs game