Pacers at Grizzlies ·
Pacers vs Grizzlies Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 5 Nov 2026
Final: Pacers 107, Grizzlies 103. We had the Grizzlies at 78% and the Pacers won. Our projected score was Pacers 111, Grizzlies 120. Against the closing line (Grizzlies −5.5) the Pacers won against the spread. The total went under the bookmakers' 228.0 (210); we had 231.
Our model makes the Grizzlies 78% favourites at home on . The bookmakers have Grizzlies −5.5 with the total at 228.0. The Pacers will be missing Johnny Furphy, Tyrese Haliburton, T.J. McConnell, Kelly Oubre Jr. and Ben Sheppard. The Grizzlies will be missing Scotty Pippen Jr., Carson Cooper and Javon Small. The Pacers have lost 5 straight and are 2–3 against the spread over that stretch. The Grizzlies have won 4 of their last 5 and are 4–1 against the spread over that stretch. They last met on Wed 4 Nov: Pacers 107–103.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Pacers 111, Grizzlies 120: a margin of Grizzlies by 9.3 against the bookmakers' Grizzlies −5.5; total 231 against 228.0. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Pacers Out: Johnny Furphy, Tyrese Haliburton, T.J. McConnell, Kelly Oubre Jr. and Ben Sheppard
- Grizzlies Out: Scotty Pippen Jr., Carson Cooper and Javon Small
Form and rest
Pacers on one day's rest
- L 104–108 v Hawks, Mon 2 Nov · won ATS
- L 90–98 v Nets, Sun 1 Nov · lost ATS
- L 125–145 at Heat, Fri 30 Oct · lost ATS
- L 109–114 v 76ers, Wed 28 Oct · won ATS
- L 102–110 at Bucks, Mon 26 Oct · lost ATS
Grizzlies on one day's rest
- L 134–135 v Pelicans, Mon 2 Nov · lost ATS
- W 136–105 v Kings, Sat 31 Oct · won ATS
- W 124–103 at Trail Blazers, Thu 29 Oct · won ATS
- W 110–105 at Jazz, Mon 26 Oct · won ATS
- W 123–112 at Kings, Sun 25 Oct · won ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, this season. Change the situation or date range.
Pacers
- Pacers away, as underdog, after a win, on no rest: no games yet
- Pacers away 3–2 straight up, 3–2 ATS, overs 3–2, +1.6 v spread n=5
- Pacers as underdog 1–3 straight up, 3–1 ATS, overs 1–3, +1.5 v spread n=4
- Pacers on no rest 0–2 straight up, 1–1 ATS, overs 0–2, -3.0 v spread n=2
- Pacers after a win 0–2 straight up, 0–2 ATS, overs 0–2, -17.5 v spread n=2
Grizzlies
- Grizzlies at home, as favourite, after a loss, on no rest: no games yet
- Grizzlies at home 2–2 straight up, 2–2 ATS, overs 2–2, +6.5 v spread n=4
- Grizzlies as favourite 4–2 straight up, 4–2 ATS, overs 2–4, +6.2 v spread n=6
- Grizzlies on no rest 1–0 straight up, 1–0 ATS, overs 0–1, +3.5 v spread n=1
- Grizzlies after a loss 1–1 straight up, 1–1 ATS, overs 0–2, +4.5 v spread n=2
Key players
Pacers
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nembhard | 23/3/4 · 22/2/9 · 18/3/14 · 14/1/3 · 16/2/5 | — | — | — | — |
| Pascal Siakam | 17/5/5 · 13/5/4 · 26/11/3 · 20/13/6 · 21/7/6 | — | — | — | — |
| Obi Toppin | 13/6/0 · 14/6/2 · 16/6/2 · 13/5/1 · 20/3/1 | — | — | — | — |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | 11/2/1 · 10/4/1 · 15/3/1 · 9/3/1 · 14/2/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Quenton Jackson | 20/7/3 · 12/3/2 · 24/4/1 · 2/2/6 · 4/2/4 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Grizzlies
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Boozer | 18/9/5 · 27/9/3 · 18/12/12 · 13/7/4 · 16/11/4 | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Jerome | 40/5/5 · 10/2/3 · 15/1/8 · 31/4/6 · 28/2/5 | — | — | — | — |
| Cedric Coward | 10/9/3 · 10/7/2 · 17/7/4 · 16/11/3 · 15/11/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Jaylen Wells | 16/3/3 · 4/2/0 · 10/1/0 · 14/3/0 · 16/5/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Jerami Grant | 11/4/2 · 14/2/1 · 2/1/3 · 13/3/0 · 5/5/3 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Meetings this season
- Wed 4 Nov: Pacers 107, Grizzlies 103
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