Timberwolves at Rockets ·
Timberwolves vs Rockets Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 5 Nov 2026
Final: Timberwolves 117, Rockets 107. We had the Rockets at 62% and the Timberwolves won. Our projected score was Timberwolves 111, Rockets 115. Against the closing line (Rockets −7.5) the Timberwolves won against the spread. The total went over the bookmakers' 219.0 (224); we had 226.
We give the Rockets a 62% chance at home against the Timberwolves on . The bookmakers have Rockets −7.5 with the total at 219.0. The Timberwolves are without Donte DiVincenzo, Anthony Edwards and Terrence Shannon Jr.. The Rockets are without Steven Adams, Clint Capela and Julian Phillips. The Timberwolves have won 2 of their last 5 and are 4–1 against the spread over that stretch. The Rockets have won 4 of their last 5 and are 4–1 against the spread over that stretch. They last met on Wed 4 Nov: Timberwolves 117–107.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Timberwolves 111, Rockets 115: a margin of Rockets by 3.6 against the bookmakers' Rockets −7.5; total 226 against 219.0. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Timberwolves Out: Donte DiVincenzo, Anthony Edwards and Terrence Shannon Jr.
- Rockets Out: Steven Adams, Clint Capela and Julian Phillips
Form and rest
Timberwolves on one day's rest
- W 112–100 v Bucks, Mon 2 Nov · won ATS
- L 111–121 at Spurs, Sat 31 Oct · won ATS
- W 127–101 v Clippers, Fri 30 Oct · won ATS
- L 114–119 v Warriors, Wed 28 Oct · lost ATS
- L 125–127 at Cavaliers, Mon 26 Oct · won ATS
Rockets on one day's rest
- W 109–93 v Celtics, Mon 2 Nov · won ATS
- W 119–98 v Thunder, Sat 31 Oct · won ATS
- L 111–116 at Mavericks, Fri 30 Oct · lost ATS
- W 132–100 at Bucks, Wed 28 Oct · won ATS
- W 120–110 v Hawks, Mon 26 Oct · won ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, this season. Change the situation or date range.
Timberwolves
- Timberwolves away, as underdog, after a win, on no rest 0–2 straight up, 2–0 ATS, overs 2–0, +2.0 v spread n=2
- Timberwolves away 3–2 straight up, 5–0 ATS, overs 3–2, +14.3 v spread n=5
- Timberwolves as underdog 3–2 straight up, 5–0 ATS, overs 3–2, +14.3 v spread n=5
- Timberwolves on no rest 0–2 straight up, 2–0 ATS, overs 2–0, +2.0 v spread n=2
- Timberwolves after a win 3–2 straight up, 5–0 ATS, overs 3–2, +12.9 v spread n=5
Rockets
- Rockets at home, as favourite, after a loss, on no rest 1–0 straight up, 1–0 ATS, overs 0–1, +18.5 v spread n=1
- Rockets at home 4–1 straight up, 4–1 ATS, overs 3–2, +5.3 v spread n=5
- Rockets as favourite 5–2 straight up, 5–2 ATS, overs 5–2, +5.6 v spread n=7
- Rockets on no rest 2–0 straight up, 2–0 ATS, overs 1–1, +13.0 v spread n=2
- Rockets after a loss 2–0 straight up, 2–0 ATS, overs 1–1, +13.5 v spread n=2
Key players
Timberwolves
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden McDaniels | 13/6/3 · 19/3/3 · 23/6/7 · 19/7/4 · 14/6/4 | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 8/10/3 · 19/6/3 · 5/1/0 · 20/3/5 · 10/10/1 | — | — | — | — |
| Rudy Gobert | 10/10/1 · 9/13/4 · 1/4/1 · 5/20/2 · 8/13/0 | — | — | — | — |
| Ayo Dosunmu | 19/12/8 · 27/9/3 · 15/7/2 · 17/3/4 · 9/1/0 | — | — | — | — |
| LaMelo Ball | 34/6/3 · 10/8/4 · 24/4/7 · 8/4/8 · 11/0/6 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Rockets
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alperen Sengun | 26/7/10 · 16/9/9 · 29/9/9 · 17/10/7 · 29/7/7 | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Durant | 12/3/3 · 14/3/4 · 28/5/1 · 18/5/4 · 22/9/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Jabari Smith Jr. | 14/10/0 · 30/9/5 · 22/3/2 · 14/2/2 · 16/12/5 | — | — | — | — |
| Amen Thompson | 14/3/3 · 8/3/1 · 15/3/6 · 23/4/3 · 15/5/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Fred VanVleet | 8/2/9 · 16/5/6 · 24/6/5 · 5/4/5 · 14/3/5 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Meetings this season
- Wed 4 Nov: Timberwolves 117, Rockets 107
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