Jazz at Mavericks ·

Jazz vs Mavericks Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 7 Nov 2026

Final: Jazz 100, Mavericks 112. We had the Mavericks at 75% and the Mavericks won, as predicted. Our projected score was Jazz 109, Mavericks 117. Against the closing line (Mavericks −6.5) the Mavericks won against the spread. The total went under the bookmakers' 226.5 (212); we had 226.

Our model makes the Mavericks 75% favourites at home on . The bookmakers have Mavericks −6.5 with the total at 226.5. The Jazz will be missing Trey Alexander, Jaren Jackson Jr., Jusuf Nurkic and Harrison Ingram. The Mavericks will be missing Tarik Biberovic, Sergio de Larrea and Dereck Lively II. The Jazz have lost 5 straight and are 1–4 against the spread over that stretch. The Mavericks have won 3 of their last 5 and are 4–1 against the spread over that stretch. They last met on Fri 6 Nov: Mavericks 112–100.

Prediction

Jazz win chance
25%
Mavericks win chance
75%
Bookmakers
Mavericks −6.5
total 226.5

Model numbers. Projected score Jazz 109, Mavericks 117: a margin of Mavericks by 8.2 against the bookmakers' Mavericks −6.5; total 226 against 226.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.

Injuries and outs

Form and rest

Jazz on one day's rest

  • L 113–120 at Pelicans, Wed 4 Nov · lost ATS
  • L 97–119 at Spurs, Mon 2 Nov · lost ATS
  • L 90–112 v Trail Blazers, Sat 31 Oct · lost ATS
  • L 111–117 v Spurs, Wed 28 Oct · won ATS
  • L 105–110 v Grizzlies, Mon 26 Oct · lost ATS

Mavericks on one day's rest

  • L 111–112 at Spurs, Wed 4 Nov · won ATS
  • L 100–115 v Kings, Mon 2 Nov · lost ATS
  • W 116–111 v Rockets, Fri 30 Oct · won ATS
  • W 120–96 v Thunder, Wed 28 Oct · won ATS
  • W 113–109 at Heat, Mon 26 Oct · won ATS

Game trends in this situation

Each side in this game's situation, this season. Change the situation or date range.

Jazz

  • Jazz away, as underdog, after a loss, on 1 day's rest 0–3 straight up, 0–3 ATS, overs 1–2, -4.5 v spread n=3
  • Jazz away 0–4 straight up, 0–4 ATS, overs 1–3, -8.0 v spread n=4
  • Jazz as underdog 0–8 straight up, 1–7 ATS, overs 2–6, -5.8 v spread n=8
  • Jazz on 1 day's rest 1–5 straight up, 1–5 ATS, overs 2–4, -1.5 v spread n=6
  • Jazz after a loss 1–7 straight up, 1–7 ATS, overs 1–7, -5.5 v spread n=8

Mavericks

  • Mavericks at home, as favourite, after a win, on 1 day's rest: no games yet
  • Mavericks at home 3–2 straight up, 3–2 ATS, overs 1–4, +4.3 v spread n=5
  • Mavericks as favourite 1–1 straight up, 1–1 ATS, overs 0–2, -8.5 v spread n=2
  • Mavericks on 1 day's rest 5–1 straight up, 6–0 ATS, overs 1–5, +15.3 v spread n=6
  • Mavericks after a win 2–3 straight up, 2–3 ATS, overs 2–3, +1.5 v spread n=5

Key players

Jazz

PlayerLast 5Points v lineRebounds v lineAssists v lineThrees v line
Lauri Markkanen21/10/4 · 22/8/3 · 13/6/1 · 2/0/0 · 28/7/1————
Keyonte George39/2/9 · 7/7/0 · 8/3/4 · 31/4/3 · 26/3/6————
Darryn Peterson7/2/7 · 14/4/6 · 16/4/4 · 18/5/3 · 14/7/4————
Ace Bailey15/5/1 · 5/6/2 · 9/7/1 · 19/6/0 · 17/10/3————
Jaxson Hayes2/7/1 · 9/5/0 · 7/7/2 · 2/11/4 · 9/5/1————

Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.

Mavericks

PlayerLast 5Points v lineRebounds v lineAssists v lineThrees v line
Cooper Flagg19/10/5 · 17/4/6 · 33/9/6 · 26/5/8 · 29/6/11————
P.J. Washington21/10/3 · 12/5/1 · 3/10/1 · 18/9/0 · 20/9/2————
Kyrie Irving29/7/5 · 35/4/9 · 15/2/4 · 18/6/6 · 24/1/3————
Zaccharie Risacher2/1/2 · 0/5/1 · 12/6/3 · 13/6/1 · 6/8/1————
Naji Marshall22/5/3 · 5/2/7 · 10/4/5 · 15/4/6 · 16/2/6————

Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.

Meetings this season

Today's NBA tips · Jazz · Mavericks · Every Jazz v Mavericks game