Thunder at Grizzlies ·
Thunder vs Grizzlies Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 7 Nov 2026
Final: Thunder 128, Grizzlies 97. We had the Grizzlies at 65% and the Thunder won. Our projected score was Thunder 110, Grizzlies 115. Against the closing line (Thunder −4) the Thunder won against the spread. The total went over the bookmakers' 224.0 (225); we had 226.
Our model makes the Grizzlies 65% favourites at home on . The bookmakers have Thunder −4 with the total at 224.0. The Thunder will be missing Chet Holmgren, Thomas Sorber, Nikola Topic, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams and Jaylin Williams. The Grizzlies will be missing Scotty Pippen Jr., Isaiah Stewart and Carson Cooper. The Thunder have won 3 of their last 5 and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch. The Grizzlies have won 3 of their last 5 and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch. They last met on Fri 6 Nov: Thunder 128–97.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Thunder 110, Grizzlies 115: a margin of Grizzlies by 4.6 against the bookmakers' Thunder −4; total 226 against 224.0. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Thunder Out: Chet Holmgren, Thomas Sorber, Nikola Topic, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams and Jaylin Williams
- Grizzlies Out: Scotty Pippen Jr., Isaiah Stewart and Carson Cooper
Form and rest
Thunder on one day's rest
- W 124–116 v Cavaliers, Wed 4 Nov · won ATS
- W 117–112 at Cavaliers, Mon 2 Nov · won ATS
- L 98–119 at Rockets, Sat 31 Oct · lost ATS
- L 96–120 at Mavericks, Wed 28 Oct · lost ATS
- W 125–114 v Suns, Mon 26 Oct · won ATS
Grizzlies on one day's rest
- L 103–107 v Pacers, Wed 4 Nov · lost ATS
- L 134–135 v Pelicans, Mon 2 Nov · lost ATS
- W 136–105 v Kings, Sat 31 Oct · won ATS
- W 124–103 at Trail Blazers, Thu 29 Oct · won ATS
- W 110–105 at Jazz, Mon 26 Oct · won ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, this season. Change the situation or date range.
Thunder
- Thunder away, as favourite, after a win, on 1 day's rest 1–1 straight up, 1–1 ATS, overs 1–1, -1.2 v spread n=2
- Thunder away 3–2 straight up, 3–2 ATS, overs 1–4, -0.2 v spread n=5
- Thunder as favourite 6–1 straight up, 5–2 ATS, overs 3–4, +1.3 v spread n=7
- Thunder on 1 day's rest 4–1 straight up, 4–1 ATS, overs 2–3, +3.0 v spread n=5
- Thunder after a win 5–1 straight up, 4–2 ATS, overs 3–3, -0.2 v spread n=6
Grizzlies
- Grizzlies at home, as underdog, after a loss, on 1 day's rest 0–1 straight up, 0–1 ATS, overs 1–0, -27.0 v spread n=1
- Grizzlies at home 2–3 straight up, 2–3 ATS, overs 3–2, -0.2 v spread n=5
- Grizzlies as underdog 2–1 straight up, 2–1 ATS, overs 1–2, +3.2 v spread n=3
- Grizzlies on 1 day's rest 3–3 straight up, 3–3 ATS, overs 3–3, -0.8 v spread n=6
- Grizzlies after a loss 1–2 straight up, 1–2 ATS, overs 1–2, -6.0 v spread n=3
Key players
Thunder
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 32 min predicted | 42/4/8 · 43/3/8 · 26/4/3 · 21/6/2 · 26/3/3 | 2/5 over 31.5 | — | 2/5 over 5.5 | 3/5 over 2.5 |
| Ajay Mitchell 31 min predicted | 23/7/4 · 20/5/1 · 6/3/5 · 29/4/3 · 30/2/5 | 4/5 over 19.5 | — | 3/5 over 3.5 | — |
| Isaiah Hartenstein 25 min predicted | 3/12/4 · 5/14/4 · 10/7/0 · 10/14/3 · 15/13/3 | 3/5 over 9.5 | 4/5 over 10.5 | — | — |
| Jared McCain 25 min predicted | 9/1/0 · 7/9/2 · 10/4/2 · 10/4/4 · 18/3/4 | 1/5 over 13.5 | — | — | 1/5 over 2.5 |
| Alex Caruso 21 min predicted | 7/4/3 · 9/2/3 · 12/7/6 · 7/4/5 · 9/6/1 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Grizzlies
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Boozer | 10/6/4 · 18/9/5 · 27/9/3 · 18/12/12 · 13/7/4 | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Jerome | 23/4/3 · 40/5/5 · 10/2/3 · 15/1/8 · 31/4/6 | — | — | — | — |
| Cedric Coward | 23/9/4 · 10/9/3 · 10/7/2 · 17/7/4 · 16/11/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Jaylen Wells | 0/1/3 · 16/3/3 · 4/2/0 · 10/1/0 · 14/3/0 | — | — | — | — |
| Jerami Grant | 11/1/2 · 11/4/2 · 14/2/1 · 2/1/3 · 13/3/0 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Meetings this season
- Fri 6 Nov: Thunder 128, Grizzlies 97
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