Timberwolves at Pelicans ·
Timberwolves vs Pelicans Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 7 Nov 2026
Final: Timberwolves 115, Pelicans 109. We had the Timberwolves at 51% and the Timberwolves won, as predicted. Our projected score was Timberwolves 117, Pelicans 116. Against the closing line (Timberwolves −3.5) the Timberwolves won against the spread. The total went under the bookmakers' 230.5 (224); we had 233.
Our model makes the Timberwolves 51% favourites on the road on . The bookmakers have Timberwolves −3.5 with the total at 230.5. The Timberwolves will be missing Donte DiVincenzo, Anthony Edwards and Terrence Shannon Jr.. The Pelicans will be missing Yves Missi. The Timberwolves have won 3 of their last 5 and are 4–1 against the spread over that stretch. The Pelicans have won 4 straight and are 4–1 against the spread over that stretch. They last met on Fri 6 Nov: Timberwolves 115–109.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Timberwolves 117, Pelicans 116: a margin of Timberwolves by 0.3 against the bookmakers' Timberwolves −3.5; total 233 against 230.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Timberwolves Out: Donte DiVincenzo, Anthony Edwards and Terrence Shannon Jr.
- Pelicans Out: Yves Missi
Form and rest
Timberwolves on one day's rest
- W 117–107 at Rockets, Wed 4 Nov · won ATS
- W 112–100 v Bucks, Mon 2 Nov · won ATS
- L 111–121 at Spurs, Sat 31 Oct · won ATS
- W 127–101 v Clippers, Fri 30 Oct · won ATS
- L 114–119 v Warriors, Wed 28 Oct · lost ATS
Pelicans on one day's rest
- W 120–113 v Jazz, Wed 4 Nov · won ATS
- W 135–134 at Grizzlies, Mon 2 Nov · won ATS
- W 121–99 v Hawks, Sat 31 Oct · won ATS
- W 132–120 v Kings, Thu 29 Oct · won ATS
- L 91–104 v Nuggets, Wed 28 Oct · lost ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, this season. Change the situation or date range.
Timberwolves
- Timberwolves away, as favourite, after a win, on 1 day's rest 1–0 straight up, 1–0 ATS, overs 0–1, +2.5 v spread n=1
- Timberwolves away 4–2 straight up, 6–0 ATS, overs 3–3, +12.3 v spread n=6
- Timberwolves as favourite 4–1 straight up, 4–1 ATS, overs 2–3, +6.5 v spread n=5
- Timberwolves on 1 day's rest 6–1 straight up, 6–1 ATS, overs 3–4, +10.5 v spread n=7
- Timberwolves after a win 4–2 straight up, 6–0 ATS, overs 3–3, +11.2 v spread n=6
Pelicans
- Pelicans at home, as underdog, after a loss, on 1 day's rest: no games yet
- Pelicans at home 3–3 straight up, 3–3 ATS, overs 3–3, +4.0 v spread n=6
- Pelicans as underdog 2–5 straight up, 4–3 ATS, overs 3–4, +4.1 v spread n=7
- Pelicans on 1 day's rest 3–2 straight up, 4–1 ATS, overs 2–3, +6.8 v spread n=5
- Pelicans after a loss 1–4 straight up, 3–2 ATS, overs 3–2, +0.6 v spread n=5
Key players
Timberwolves
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden McDaniels | 14/8/4 · 13/6/3 · 19/3/3 · 23/6/7 · 19/7/4 | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 16/8/5 · 8/10/3 · 19/6/3 · 5/1/0 · 20/3/5 | — | — | — | — |
| Rudy Gobert | 8/11/2 · 10/10/1 · 9/13/4 · 1/4/1 · 5/20/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Ayo Dosunmu | 21/1/6 · 19/12/8 · 27/9/3 · 15/7/2 · 17/3/4 | — | — | — | — |
| LaMelo Ball | 20/2/6 · 34/6/3 · 10/8/4 · 24/4/7 · 8/4/8 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Pelicans
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray | 20/8/4 · 10/8/5 · 22/6/6 · 16/6/6 · 23/3/7 | — | — | — | — |
| Zion Williamson | 23/4/2 · 25/11/4 · 15/6/4 · 22/6/2 · 25/5/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Trey Murphy III | 18/5/5 · 15/5/5 · 19/5/3 · 6/1/3 · 26/6/4 | — | — | — | — |
| Jeremiah Fears | 19/6/2 · 12/4/7 · 20/5/7 · 22/8/13 · 11/4/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Saddiq Bey | 22/4/3 · 18/5/1 · 25/6/1 · 10/4/3 · 9/0/3 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Meetings this season
- Fri 6 Nov: Timberwolves 115, Pelicans 109
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