Nuggets at Pacers ·
Nuggets vs Pacers Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 8 Nov 2026
Final: Nuggets 114, Pacers 102. We had the Pacers at 54% and the Nuggets won. Our projected score was Nuggets 113, Pacers 115. Against the closing line (Nuggets −7.5) the Nuggets won against the spread. The total went under the bookmakers' 229.5 (216); we had 228.
We give the Pacers a 54% chance at home against the Nuggets on . The bookmakers have Nuggets −7.5 with the total at 229.5. The Nuggets are without Julian Strawther. The Pacers are without Johnny Furphy, Tyrese Haliburton and Ben Sheppard. The Nuggets have won 3 of their last 5 and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch. The Pacers have won 1 of their last 5 and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch. They last met on Sat 7 Nov: Nuggets 114–102.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Nuggets 113, Pacers 115: a margin of Pacers by 1.3 against the bookmakers' Nuggets −7.5; total 228 against 229.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Nuggets Out: Julian Strawther
- Pacers Out: Johnny Furphy, Tyrese Haliburton and Ben Sheppard
Form and rest
Nuggets on 2 days' rest
- W 128–109 v Raptors, Wed 4 Nov · won ATS
- L 110–118 v Trail Blazers, Mon 2 Nov · lost ATS
- W 127–120 at Suns, Fri 30 Oct · won ATS
- W 104–91 at Pelicans, Wed 28 Oct · won ATS
- L 114–134 v Warriors, Mon 26 Oct · lost ATS
Pacers on 2 days' rest
- W 107–103 at Grizzlies, Wed 4 Nov · won ATS
- L 104–108 v Hawks, Mon 2 Nov · won ATS
- L 90–98 v Nets, Sun 1 Nov · lost ATS
- L 125–145 at Heat, Fri 30 Oct · lost ATS
- L 109–114 v 76ers, Wed 28 Oct · won ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, this season. Change the situation or date range.
Nuggets
- Nuggets away, as favourite, after a win, on 2–3 days' rest 1–0 straight up, 1–0 ATS, overs 0–1, +4.5 v spread n=1
- Nuggets away 3–1 straight up, 3–1 ATS, overs 1–3, +3.1 v spread n=4
- Nuggets as favourite 5–2 straight up, 4–3 ATS, overs 4–3, -2.1 v spread n=7
- Nuggets on 2–3 days' rest 1–1 straight up, 1–1 ATS, overs 0–2, -3.9 v spread n=2
- Nuggets after a win 2–2 straight up, 2–2 ATS, overs 2–2, -8.0 v spread n=4
Pacers
- Pacers at home, as underdog, after a loss, on 2–3 days' rest: no games yet
- Pacers at home 0–5 straight up, 2–3 ATS, overs 0–5, -6.3 v spread n=5
- Pacers as underdog 1–4 straight up, 3–2 ATS, overs 1–4, +0.3 v spread n=5
- Pacers on 2–3 days' rest 0–1 straight up, 0–1 ATS, overs 0–1, -4.5 v spread n=1
- Pacers after a loss 3–4 straight up, 5–2 ATS, overs 3–4, +2.3 v spread n=7
Key players
Nuggets
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray | 14/5/7 · 35/5/6 · 39/8/5 · 23/1/6 · 19/6/8 | — | — | — | — |
| Nikola Jokic | 32/10/11 · 26/9/8 · 18/7/10 · 21/13/10 · 19/7/11 | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Braun | 11/3/3 · 14/3/3 · 31/3/1 · 15/0/4 · 9/4/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Cameron Johnson | 12/2/2 · 7/4/2 · 12/9/3 · 5/2/1 · 27/8/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Gordon | 17/1/0 · 5/6/2 · 15/4/5 · 15/11/3 · 7/4/2 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Pacers
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nembhard | 22/2/5 · 23/3/4 · 22/2/9 · 18/3/14 · 14/1/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Pascal Siakam | 20/4/2 · 17/5/5 · 13/5/4 · 26/11/3 · 20/13/6 | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Nesmith | 16/2/2 · 11/3/4 · 9/3/2 · 18/2/1 · 13/0/1 | — | — | — | — |
| Obi Toppin | 11/5/1 · 13/6/0 · 14/6/2 · 16/6/2 · 13/5/1 | — | — | — | — |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | 11/2/1 · 10/4/1 · 15/3/1 · 9/3/1 · 14/2/2 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
The Drop
Andrew Nembhard assists over 6.5 at 1.72 (Unibet). The record.
Meetings this season
- Sat 7 Nov: Nuggets 114, Pacers 102
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