Wizards at Thunder ·
Wizards vs Thunder Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 8 Nov 2026
Final: Wizards 75, Thunder 114. We had the Thunder at 74% and the Thunder won, as predicted. Our projected score was Wizards 107, Thunder 115. Against the closing line (Thunder −12.5) the Thunder won against the spread. The total went under the bookmakers' 223.5 (189); we had 223.
Our model makes the Thunder 74% favourites at home on . The bookmakers have Thunder −12.5 with the total at 223.5. The Wizards will be missing Reece Beekman, Justin Champagnie, Anthony Davis, Tristan Vukcevic, Jamir Watkins and Felix Okpara. The Thunder will be missing Chet Holmgren, Thomas Sorber, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams and Nikola Topic. Both sides are on the second night of a back-to-back. The Wizards have won 2 of their last 5 and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch. The Thunder have won 3 straight and are 3–2 against the spread over that stretch. They last met on Sat 7 Nov: Thunder 114–75.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Wizards 107, Thunder 115: a margin of Thunder by 7.8 against the bookmakers' Thunder −12.5; total 223 against 223.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Wizards Out: Reece Beekman, Justin Champagnie, Anthony Davis, Tristan Vukcevic, Jamir Watkins and Felix Okpara
- Thunder Out: Chet Holmgren, Thomas Sorber, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams and Nikola Topic
Form and rest
Wizards on the second night of a back-to-back
- L 132–139 at Hawks, Fri 6 Nov · won ATS
- L 105–120 v Hawks, Wed 4 Nov · lost ATS
- W 103–94 at Magic, Mon 2 Nov · won ATS
- W 95–79 v Hornets, Fri 30 Oct · won ATS
- L 111–121 at Cavaliers, Wed 28 Oct · lost ATS
Thunder on the second night of a back-to-back
- W 128–97 at Grizzlies, Fri 6 Nov · won ATS
- W 124–116 v Cavaliers, Wed 4 Nov · won ATS
- W 117–112 at Cavaliers, Mon 2 Nov · won ATS
- L 98–119 at Rockets, Sat 31 Oct · lost ATS
- L 96–120 at Mavericks, Wed 28 Oct · lost ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, this season. Change the situation or date range.
Wizards
- Wizards away, as underdog, after a loss, on no rest 1–1 straight up, 1–1 ATS, overs 0–2, -10.5 v spread n=2
- Wizards away 2–4 straight up, 3–3 ATS, overs 1–5, -1.9 v spread n=6
- Wizards as underdog 3–6 straight up, 4–5 ATS, overs 1–8, -1.0 v spread n=9
- Wizards on no rest 1–1 straight up, 1–1 ATS, overs 0–2, -10.5 v spread n=2
- Wizards after a loss 3–3 straight up, 4–2 ATS, overs 2–4, +0.7 v spread n=6
Thunder
- Thunder at home, as favourite, after a win, on no rest 2–0 straight up, 2–0 ATS, overs 1–1, +14.5 v spread n=2
- Thunder at home 5–0 straight up, 4–1 ATS, overs 2–3, +5.5 v spread n=5
- Thunder as favourite 7–1 straight up, 6–2 ATS, overs 3–5, +4.5 v spread n=8
- Thunder on no rest 2–0 straight up, 2–0 ATS, overs 1–1, +14.5 v spread n=2
- Thunder after a win 6–1 straight up, 5–2 ATS, overs 3–4, +3.6 v spread n=7
Key players
Wizards
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young | 23/2/10 · 18/2/6 · 15/3/9 · 21/7/9 · 14/5/8 | — | — | — | — |
| Anthony Davis | 26/10/3 · 27/9/1 · 25/13/1 · 18/5/3 · 29/10/0 | — | — | — | — |
| Kyshawn George | 33/4/7 · 25/4/7 · 22/4/5 · 12/3/3 · 8/2/11 | — | — | — | — |
| AJ Dybantsa | 11/9/3 · 9/6/3 · 21/5/2 · 17/8/1 · 19/2/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Alexandre Sarr | 13/8/3 · 11/9/1 · 3/8/0 · 18/4/2 · 12/6/1 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Thunder
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 28/3/4 · 42/4/8 · 43/3/8 · 26/4/3 · 21/6/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Ajay Mitchell | 35/1/5 · 23/7/4 · 20/5/1 · 6/3/5 · 29/4/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 2/6/7 · 3/12/4 · 5/14/4 · 10/7/0 · 10/14/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Jared McCain | 21/5/0 · 9/1/0 · 7/9/2 · 10/4/2 · 10/4/4 | — | — | — | — |
| Bennett Stirtz | 12/1/2 · 16/1/1 · 9/2/0 · 11/1/3 · 8/0/3 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Meetings this season
- Sat 7 Nov: Wizards 75, Thunder 114
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