Heat at Kings ·
Heat vs Kings Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 9 Nov 2026
Final: Heat 114, Kings 108. We had the Heat at 62% and the Heat won, as predicted. Our projected score was Heat 120, Kings 116. Against the closing line (Heat −12.25) the Kings won against the spread. The total went under the bookmakers' 235.5 (222); we had 236.
We give the Heat a 62% chance on the road against the Kings on . The bookmakers have Heat −12.25 with the total at 235.5. The Heat are without Vladislav Goldin. The Kings are without Maxime Raynaud, Domantas Sabonis, Ben Simmons and Sean Pedulla. The Heat have won 3 of their last 5 and are 2–3 against the spread over that stretch. The Kings have won 1 of their last 5 and are 2–3 against the spread over that stretch. They last met on Sun 8 Nov: Heat 114–108.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Heat 120, Kings 116: a margin of Heat by 3.5 against the bookmakers' Heat −12.25; total 236 against 235.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Heat Out: Vladislav Goldin
- Kings Out: Maxime Raynaud, Domantas Sabonis, Ben Simmons and Sean Pedulla
Form and rest
Heat on 2 days' rest
- L 100–120 at Warriors, Thu 5 Nov · lost ATS
- W 117–116 at Clippers, Wed 4 Nov · lost ATS
- L 117–138 at Lakers, Mon 2 Nov · lost ATS
- W 145–125 v Pacers, Fri 30 Oct · won ATS
- W 129–117 at Hawks, Wed 28 Oct · won ATS
Kings on one day's rest
- L 109–124 v Spurs, Fri 6 Nov · won ATS
- L 103–116 v Lakers, Wed 4 Nov · lost ATS
- W 115–100 at Mavericks, Mon 2 Nov · won ATS
- L 105–136 at Grizzlies, Sat 31 Oct · lost ATS
- L 120–132 at Pelicans, Thu 29 Oct · lost ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, this season. Change the situation or date range.
Heat
- Heat away, as favourite, after a win, on 2–3 days' rest: no games yet
- Heat away 3–3 straight up, 1–5 ATS, overs 2–4, -6.9 v spread n=6
- Heat as favourite 3–3 straight up, 1–5 ATS, overs 1–5, -7.9 v spread n=6
- Heat on 2–3 days' rest 1–1 straight up, 0–2 ATS, overs 1–1, -12.4 v spread n=2
- Heat after a win 1–2 straight up, 1–2 ATS, overs 2–1, -7.8 v spread n=3
Kings
- Kings at home, as underdog, after a loss, on 1 day's rest 0–4 straight up, 3–1 ATS, overs 2–2, +0.9 v spread n=4
- Kings at home 0–5 straight up, 3–2 ATS, overs 2–3, +0.6 v spread n=5
- Kings as underdog 1–9 straight up, 4–6 ATS, overs 5–5, -3.1 v spread n=10
- Kings on 1 day's rest 1–8 straight up, 4–5 ATS, overs 5–4, -1.2 v spread n=9
- Kings after a loss 1–8 straight up, 4–5 ATS, overs 5–4, -3.4 v spread n=9
Key players
Heat
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Mitchell | 22/2/8 · 11/2/10 · 15/0/7 · 15/6/11 · 10/1/10 | — | — | — | — |
| Bam Adebayo | 18/10/0 · 35/10/4 · 16/9/4 · 27/9/3 · 24/9/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 20/14/4 · 27/14/6 · 30/12/7 · 31/18/10 · 24/18/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Pelle Larsson | 13/1/4 · 7/3/4 · 9/3/2 · 18/3/3 · 17/6/8 | — | — | — | — |
| Andrew Wiggins | 2/6/4 · 3/4/1 · 7/0/2 · 12/2/1 · 18/2/2 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Kings
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Acuff Jr. | 22/3/8 · 22/3/12 · 25/5/6 · 38/5/5 · 34/6/14 | — | — | — | — |
| Domantas Sabonis | 17/12/5 · 16/17/1 · 9/7/4 · 11/14/8 · 9/15/7 | — | — | — | — |
| Zach LaVine | 14/4/3 · 21/4/1 · 23/4/1 · 11/0/1 · 21/3/5 | — | — | — | — |
| De'Andre Hunter | 14/2/2 · 6/7/2 · 19/3/0 · 24/5/1 · 24/6/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Precious Achiuwa | 9/4/0 · 7/3/1 · 6/10/3 · 6/5/1 · 24/9/2 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Meetings this season
- Sun 8 Nov: Heat 114, Kings 108